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Lotte Shopping Co Ltd reports 4.0% EBITDA growth and 1.4% Revenue growth

09 Feb 2017 • About Lotte Shopping Co Ltd ($LOTS) • By InTwits

Lotte Shopping Co Ltd reported 2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Lotte Shopping Co Ltd has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 5.6%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 2.9%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 2,324,112 in 2016, 2,560,244 in 2015, 3,505,549 in 2014, 6,569,613 in 2013, 7,054,543 in 2012
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 2.9%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 6.4x while industry average is 1.6x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Lotte Shopping Co Ltd ($LOTS) key annual financial indicators

mln. KRW201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue25,043,68028,211,70228,099,56729,127,65529,526,4131.4%
Gross Profit7,628,1888,664,6828,762,8968,910,5119,330,1324.7%
SG&A5,522,1856,425,6926,747,7747,107,4267,505,8965.6%
EBITDA2,191,7352,306,1502,087,7531,839,9041,913,5254.0%
Net Income1,080,260788,446526,650-383,067168,195-143.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash933,9971,309,4841,928,1361,751,2682,269,17729.6%
Short Term Debt4,111,1364,774,5434,569,6504,278,4215,084,33418.8%
Long Term Debt8,014,2807,901,0648,182,3999,849,3089,444,162-4.1%
Cash flow
Capex1,778,5301,833,6751,863,1491,094,9391,206,95710.2%
Ratios
Revenue growth12.5%12.6%-0.4%3.7%1.4%
EBITDA growth-7.9%5.2%-9.5%-11.9%4.0%
Gross Margin30.5%30.7%31.2%30.6%31.6%1.0%
EBITDA Margin8.8%8.2%7.4%6.3%6.5%0.2%
Net Income Margin4.3%2.8%1.9%-1.3%0.6%1.9%
SG&A, % of revenue22.1%22.8%24.0%24.4%25.4%1.0%
CAPEX, % of revenue7.1%6.5%6.6%3.8%4.1%0.3%
ROIC5.3%4.9%3.8%2.6%2.9%0.2%
ROE7.5%5.1%3.1%-2.4%1.0%3.4%
Net Debt/EBITDA5.1x4.9x5.2x6.7x6.4x-0.3x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue increased slightly on 1.4% in 2016. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.8 pp from 9.7% to 11.4% in 2016.

Gross Margin increased slightly on 1.0 pp from 30.6% to 31.6% in 2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 1.0 pp from 24.4% to 25.4% in 2016.

Net Income marign increased slightly on 1.9 pp from -1.3% to 0.57% in 2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2016 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 4.1%. The company's CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 2.4 pp from 6.5% in 2013 to 4.1% in 2016. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 4.8%.Lotte Shopping Co Ltd maintained rich investment policy and has spent a big chunk of EBITDA (63.1%) to CAPEX.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (2.85%) and ROE (0.95%). ROIC showed almost no change in 2016. ROE increased on 3.4 pp from -2.4% to 0.95% in 2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 6.4x Net Debt / EBITDA and 7.6x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.3x from 6.7x to 6.4x in 2016. Debt increased on 2.8% in 2016 while cash surged on 29.6% in 2016.

Appendix 1: Peers in General Retailers


Below you can find Lotte Shopping Co Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in General Retailers industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Just Eat ($JE.)57.7%51.7%
AO World ($AO.)31.3%40.0%23.8%25.7%
Signet Jewelers Ltd ($SIG)6.2%5.7%36.3%14.2%
Caffyns ($78GL)-3.1%17.1%8.9%10.5%
Mysale Group ($MYSL)62.1%23.4%5.1%7.0%
 
Median (8 companies)4.4%6.2%11.4%7.3%8.8%
Lotte Shopping Co Ltd ($LOTS)12.6%-0.4%3.7%1.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Just Eat ($JE.)89.7%90.2%90.6%
Aa ($AA.)60.4%63.9%64.7%64.8%64.3%
French Connection Group ($FCCN)48.1%47.9%47.6%46.7%46.3%
Stanley Gibbons Group ($SGI)43.7%43.2%51.5%40.3%
Signet Jewelers Ltd ($SIG)38.3%38.6%37.5%36.2%37.3%
 
Median (8 companies)32.5%36.4%37.5%41.4%38.8%
Lotte Shopping Co Ltd ($LOTS)30.5%30.7%31.2%30.6%31.6%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Aa ($AA.)35.5%37.0%42.2%37.9%36.8%
Just Eat ($JE.)16.3%21.0%25.8%
Signet Jewelers Ltd ($SIG)16.0%16.6%16.2%12.7%13.4%
Caffyns ($78GL)10.8%3.0%2.0%6.5%2.2%
Mysale Group ($MYSL)2.4%3.5%2.3%-4.7%1.8%
 
Median (8 companies)7.4%3.7%2.3%8.6%2.0%
Lotte Shopping Co Ltd ($LOTS)8.8%8.2%7.4%6.3%6.5%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Aa ($AA.)2.7%0.7%1.0%3.8%7.7%
Signet Jewelers Ltd ($SIG)2.6%3.4%3.6%3.8%3.5%
Just Eat ($JE.)3.4%2.3%2.5%
Caffyns ($78GL)1.6%2.2%3.9%1.4%1.6%
Stanley Gibbons Group ($SGI)1.0%1.1%2.4%1.5%
 
Median (8 companies)1.2%0.7%1.0%1.9%1.6%
Lotte Shopping Co Ltd ($LOTS)7.1%6.5%6.6%3.8%4.1%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Aa ($AA.)138.0%134.4%61.1%34.9%32.8%
Signet Jewelers Ltd ($SIG)21.6%21.5%20.4%15.5%15.2%
Caffyns ($78GL)60.8%15.4%11.1%37.3%10.4%
Just Eat ($JE.)16.4%9.1%9.8%
Mysale Group ($MYSL)10.0%-19.0%0.3%
 
Median (8 companies)21.4%18.4%10.5%12.3%5.1%
Lotte Shopping Co Ltd ($LOTS)5.3%4.9%3.8%2.6%2.9%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Aa ($AA.)0.6x-0.0x7.7x7.9x7.8x
Stanley Gibbons Group ($SGI)-1.1x-3.0x2.3x
Signet Jewelers Ltd ($SIG)-0.8x-0.5x-0.3x1.7x1.4x
Caffyns ($78GL)0.5x2.0x3.0x0.7x2.2x
Entu (Uk) Ltd ($ENTU)-0.8x0.3x-0.6x-0.2x
 
Median (9 companies)-0.8x-0.5x-0.5x-0.2x1.4x
Lotte Shopping Co Ltd ($LOTS)5.1x4.9x5.2x6.7x6.4x