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Severstal PJSC Net Income jumped on 168% in 2016 while EBITDA Margin decreased slightly on 1.2 pp from 32.4% to 31.2%

02 Feb 2017 • About Severstal PJSC ($SVST) • By InTwits

Severstal PJSC reported 2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Severstal PJSC is a company in decline: 2016 revenue growth was -7.5%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -17.9%
  • Severstal PJSC has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 8.6%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 10.3%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 494 in 2016, 412 in 2015, 700 in 2014, 968 in 2013, 1,336 in 2012
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is at 29.7%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Severstal PJSC ($SVST) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue14,1049,4348,2966,3965,916-7.5%
Gross Profit3,3182,8192,8562,5862,343-9.4%
SG&A1,8031,4881,136808741-8.3%
EBITDA2,0951,8202,1872,0711,846-10.9%
Net Income76283-1,5956051,621167.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash1,7261,0361,8971,6471,154-29.9%
Short Term Debt1,38462977550767332.7%
Long Term Debt4,3294,1282,6551,9451,340-31.1%
Cash flow
Capex1,33696870041249419.9%
Ratios
Revenue growth-10.8%-33.1%-12.1%-22.9%-7.5%
EBITDA growth-41.1%-13.1%20.2%-5.3%-10.9%
Gross Margin23.5%29.9%34.4%40.4%39.6%-0.8%
EBITDA Margin14.9%19.3%26.4%32.4%31.2%-1.2%
Net Income Margin5.4%0.9%-19.2%9.5%27.4%17.9%
SG&A, % of revenue12.8%15.8%13.7%12.6%12.5%-0.1%
CAPEX, % of revenue9.5%10.3%8.4%6.4%8.4%1.9%
ROIC10.3%9.6%17.7%30.3%29.7%-0.6%
ROE11.0%1.2%-32.6%23.9%61.4%37.5%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.9x2.0x0.7x0.4x0.5x0.1x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 7.5% in 2016. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 2.7 pp from 48.9% to 51.6% in FY2016.

Gross Margin decreased slightly on 0.83 pp from 40.4% to 39.6% in 2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in 2016.

Net Income marign surged on 17.9 pp from 9.5% to 27.4% in 2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 8.4% in 2016. CAPEX/Revenue decreased slightly on 1.9 pp from 10.3% in 2013 to 8.4% in 2016. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 7.7%.

Return on investment


The company operates at high and attractive ROIC (29.72%) and ROE (61.41%). ROIC decreased slightly on 0.59 pp from 30.3% to 29.7% in 2016. ROE surged on 37.5 pp from 23.9% to 61.4% in 2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 0.5x Net Debt / EBITDA and 1.1x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA increased on 0.1x from 0.4x to 0.5x in 2016. Debt dropped on 17.9% in 2016 while cash dropped on 29.9% in 2016.

Appendix 1: Peers in Industrial Metals & Mining


Below we provide Severstal PJSC benchmarking against other companies in Industrial Metals & Mining industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Base Resources Ltd ($BSE)399.7%16.2%
Cheliabinsk Elektrolit Zink Plant ($CHZN)2.4%-0.1%26.4%45.5%
Norsk Hydro Asa ($NHY)-10.2%1.1%20.1%12.6%
Afarak Group ($AFRK)-19.2%5.4%27.4%8.7%
Vimetco Nv ($VICO)-13.4%-6.5%-12.8%-5.3%
 
Median (15 companies)-5.6%0.3%2.4%-10.6%16.2%
Severstal PJSC ($SVST)-33.1%-12.1%-22.9%-7.5%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Mmc Norilsk Nickel ($MNOD)49.1%43.4%52.2%55.7%
Novolipetsk Iron And Steel Corp ($NLMK)23.8%19.4%28.3%31.4%
Magnitogorsk Iron & Steel Works ($MMK)15.5%14.9%21.9%30.6%
Cheliabinsk Elektrolit Zink Plant ($CHZN)17.7%15.1%28.6%24.8%
Base Resources Ltd ($BSE)11.8%21.2%21.0%
 
Median (13 companies)14.8%14.9%18.0%13.5%12.6%
Severstal PJSC ($SVST)23.5%29.9%34.4%40.4%39.6%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Mmc Norilsk Nickel ($MNOD)38.6%29.2%46.8%47.0%
Base Resources Ltd ($BSE)-1.8%37.7%35.8%
Magnitogorsk Iron & Steel Works ($MMK)13.1%14.0%19.5%28.3%
Novolipetsk Iron And Steel Corp ($NLMK)15.6%13.8%21.8%24.3%
Cheliabinsk Elektrolit Zink Plant ($CHZN)12.7%5.7%25.3%24.1%
 
Median (15 companies)12.9%12.1%12.6%14.6%11.4%
Severstal PJSC ($SVST)14.9%19.3%26.4%32.4%31.2%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
First Quantum Minerals ($FQM)46.5%73.2%81.7%72.5%
Mmc Norilsk Nickel ($MNOD)22.3%17.1%10.8%19.0%
Cheliabinsk Elektrolit Zink Plant ($CHZN)7.0%7.9%9.9%8.1%
Novolipetsk Iron And Steel Corp ($NLMK)12.0%6.9%5.4%7.7%
Ezz Steel ($AEZD)2.3%3.9%6.4%6.8%
 
Median (15 companies)6.7%7.6%6.3%6.3%2.9%
Severstal PJSC ($SVST)9.5%10.3%8.4%6.4%8.4%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Mmc Norilsk Nickel ($MNOD)21.8%14.2%34.1%31.7%
Zibao Metals Recycling Hldgs Ltd ($ZBO)41.7%56.6%55.8%26.6%0.9%
Cheliabinsk Elektrolit Zink Plant ($CHZN)6.2%-2.7%25.6%24.4%
Magnitogorsk Iron & Steel Works ($MMK)1.8%1.4%9.1%18.1%
Novolipetsk Iron And Steel Corp ($NLMK)7.2%4.1%12.0%15.7%
 
Median (15 companies)5.4%4.1%7.4%5.6%2.7%
Severstal PJSC ($SVST)10.3%9.6%17.7%30.3%29.7%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Vimetco Nv ($VICO)7.7x10.9x14.6x
Ezz Steel ($AEZD)4.8x3.6x19.4x13.3x
First Quantum Minerals ($FQM)0.0x2.5x4.0x10.5x
Base Resources Ltd ($BSE)4.4x3.7x
OAO TMK ($TMKS)3.6x3.9x3.8x4.3x
 
Median (14 companies)2.0x2.1x1.2x1.1x3.4x
Severstal PJSC ($SVST)1.9x2.0x0.7x0.4x0.5x