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Svenska Cellulosa Ab-Sca CAPEX surged on 23.7% in 2016 and Revenue increased slightly on 1.7%

26 Jan 2017 • About Svenska Cellulosa Ab-Sca ($0MCK) • By InTwits

Svenska Cellulosa Ab-Sca reported 2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Svenska Cellulosa Ab-Sca has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 6.6%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 5.6%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 3,248 in 2016, 1,653 in 2015, 1,402 in 2014, 2,202 in 2013, 6,298 in 2012
  • The company has business model with low profitability: ROIC is at 9.1%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 1.8x while industry average is 1.1x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Svenska Cellulosa Ab-Sca ($0MCK) key annual financial indicators

mln. SEK201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue85,40892,873104,054115,316117,3141.7%
Gross Profit20,65923,00026,09829,84031,5935.9%
SG&A13,45413,86215,11517,02517,6833.9%
EBITDA10,77913,93215,84616,80117,9426.8%
Net Income4,9565,5476,5997,0025,570-20.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash1,7182,4643,0235,0423,126-38.0%
Short Term Debt9,8349,93413,96611,8664,656-60.8%
Long Term Debt23,58328,40724,21521,35231,33746.8%
Cash flow
Capex5,6735,6535,7337,5919,38823.7%
Ratios
Revenue growth5.0%8.7%12.0%10.8%1.7%
EBITDA growth32.4%29.3%13.7%6.0%6.8%
Gross Margin24.2%24.8%25.1%25.9%26.9%1.1%
EBITDA Margin12.6%15.0%15.2%14.6%15.3%0.7%
Net Income Margin5.8%6.0%6.3%6.1%4.7%-1.3%
SG&A, % of revenue15.8%14.9%14.5%14.8%15.1%0.3%
CAPEX, % of revenue6.6%6.1%5.5%6.6%8.0%1.4%
ROIC5.5%8.2%8.7%9.0%9.1%0.1%
ROE8.2%9.0%10.1%10.1%7.8%-2.4%
Net Debt/EBITDA2.9x2.6x2.2x1.7x1.8x0.2x

Revenue and profitability


Svenska Cellulosa Ab-Sca's Revenue increased slightly on 1.7% in 2016. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin increased on 2.1 pp from 11.5% to 13.6% in 2016.

Gross Margin increased slightly on 1.1 pp from 25.9% to 26.9% in 2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in 2016.

Net Income marign decreased slightly on 1.3 pp from 6.1% to 4.7% in 2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2016 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 8.0%. Svenska Cellulosa Ab-Sca showed small growth in CAPEX/Revenue of 1.9 pp from 6.1% in 2013 to 8.0% in 2016. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 6.7%.Svenska Cellulosa Ab-Sca invested a large share of EBITDA (52.3%) to CAPEX.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (9.07%) and ROE (7.76%). ROIC showed almost no change in 2016. ROE decreased on 2.4 pp from 10.1% to 7.8% in 2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 1.8x Net Debt / EBITDA and 2.0x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 0.2x from 1.7x to 1.8x in 2016. Debt increased on 8.4% in 2016 while cash dropped on 38.0% in 2016.

Appendix 1: Peers in Personal Goods


Below you can find Svenska Cellulosa Ab-Sca benchmarking vs. other companies in Personal Goods industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Creightons ($CRL)6.1%11.7%4.2%4.1%
Swallowfield ($SWL)-16.0%3.0%-1.2%10.1%
Far Eastern New Century Corp ($FETD)0.9%-1.4%-7.5%
Pittards ($PTD)-3.1%-3.3%-3.0%-12.1%
Bagir Grp Ltd ($BAGR)1.6%14.8%-2.5%-22.5%
 
Median (5 companies)-0.7%0.9%-1.4%-7.5%7.1%
Svenska Cellulosa Ab-Sca ($0MCK)8.7%12.0%10.8%1.7%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Creightons ($CRL)42.1%42.8%40.8%39.2%42.2%
Far Eastern New Century Corp ($FETD)18.7%19.5%20.3%23.2%
Pittards ($PTD)17.4%20.5%20.3%21.7%
Swallowfield ($SWL)10.6%8.2%10.3%11.8%14.8%
Bagir Grp Ltd ($BAGR)17.0%19.1%17.4%9.8%
 
Median (5 companies)17.4%19.5%20.3%21.7%28.5%
Svenska Cellulosa Ab-Sca ($0MCK)24.2%24.8%25.1%25.9%26.9%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Far Eastern New Century Corp ($FETD)12.3%12.5%12.1%15.0%
Pittards ($PTD)4.6%6.6%6.9%6.2%
Creightons ($CRL)4.0%4.6%4.7%5.0%4.7%
Swallowfield ($SWL)4.9%1.8%4.0%4.5%6.7%
Bagir Grp Ltd ($BAGR)3.9%6.1%3.4%-3.9%
 
Median (5 companies)4.6%6.1%4.7%5.0%5.7%
Svenska Cellulosa Ab-Sca ($0MCK)12.6%15.0%15.2%14.6%15.3%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Pittards ($PTD)1.7%1.0%1.7%14.3%
Far Eastern New Century Corp ($FETD)7.4%10.5%12.0%11.1%
Swallowfield ($SWL)2.1%1.5%1.8%3.1%2.2%
Creightons ($CRL)1.9%0.6%1.1%0.8%3.7%
Bagir Grp Ltd ($BAGR)0.2%0.3%0.2%0.1%
 
Median (5 companies)1.9%1.0%1.7%3.1%2.9%
Svenska Cellulosa Ab-Sca ($0MCK)6.6%6.1%5.5%6.6%8.0%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Creightons ($CRL)6.3%7.0%8.4%8.8%6.7%
Swallowfield ($SWL)10.9%-3.1%5.1%8.4%18.7%
Pittards ($PTD)4.7%9.1%8.2%5.2%
Far Eastern New Century Corp ($FETD)4.3%3.6%2.6%3.0%
Bagir Grp Ltd ($BAGR)4.7%18.8%1.9%-24.8%
 
Median (5 companies)4.7%7.0%5.1%5.2%12.7%
Svenska Cellulosa Ab-Sca ($0MCK)5.5%8.2%8.7%9.0%9.1%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top  FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Far Eastern New Century Corp ($FETD)2.7x4.8x5.6x5.1x
Pittards ($PTD)3.3x3.0x3.2x3.4x
Swallowfield ($SWL)-0.0x-0.8x-0.3x0.3x-0.1x
Creightons ($CRL)1.2x1.2x0.7x0.1x-0.8x
 
Median (4 companies)2.7x3.0x3.2x1.8x-0.4x
Svenska Cellulosa Ab-Sca ($0MCK)2.9x2.6x2.2x1.7x1.8x