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International Bus Mach Corp EBITDA dropped on 15.9% in 2016 and EBITDA Margin decreased on 3.2 pp from 23.1% to 19.8%

19 Jan 2017 • About International Bus Mach Corp ($IBM) • By InTwits

International Bus Mach Corp reported 2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • International Bus Mach Corp is a company in decline: 2016 revenue growth was -2.2%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -5.7%
  • EBITDA Margin is declining: 19.8% in 2016 vs. 23.1% in 2015 vs. 24.0% in 2012
  • International Bus Mach Corp has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 4.1%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 2.0%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 7,270 in FY2016, 9,857 in FY2015, 5,603 in FY2014, 2,893 in FY2013, 1,051 in FY2012
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is at 18.7%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 2.2x while industry average is 0.2x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

International Bus Mach Corp ($IBM) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue104,50798,36992,79381,74179,919-2.2%
Gross Profit50,29848,68646,40740,68438,294-5.9%
SG&A23,55323,45123,18020,43021,0693.1%
EBITDA25,11924,17022,28218,86215,855-15.9%
Net Income16,60416,48312,02213,19011,872-10.0%
Balance Sheet
Cash10,41210,7168,4767,6867,8261.8%
Short Term Debt9,1816,8625,7316,4617,51316.3%
Long Term Debt24,08832,85634,99133,42834,6553.7%
Cash flow
Capex4,0823,6233,7403,5793,567-0.3%
Ratios
Revenue growth-2.3%-5.9%-5.7%-11.9%-2.2%
EBITDA growth0.1%-3.8%-7.8%-15.3%-15.9%
Gross Margin48.1%49.5%50.0%49.8%47.9%-1.9%
EBITDA Margin24.0%24.6%24.0%23.1%19.8%-3.2%
Net Income Margin15.9%16.8%13.0%16.1%14.9%-1.3%
SG&A, % of revenue22.5%23.8%25.0%25.0%26.4%1.4%
CAPEX, % of revenue3.9%3.7%4.0%4.4%4.5%0.1%
ROIC36.1%31.0%28.1%25.7%18.7%-7.0%
ROE85.2%79.1%69.4%101.0%73.0%-27.9%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.9x1.2x1.4x1.7x2.2x0.5x

Revenue and profitability


International Bus Mach Corp's Revenue decreased on 2.2% in 2016. Revenue decline was worsened by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 3.2 pp from 23.1% to 19.8% in 2016.

Gross Margin decreased slightly on 1.9 pp from 49.8% to 47.9% in 2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 1.4 pp from 25.0% to 26.4% in 2016.

Net Income marign decreased slightly on 1.3 pp from 16.1% to 14.9% in 2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 4.5% in 2016. CAPEX/Revenue increased slightly on 0.78 pp from 3.7% in 2013 to 4.5% in 2016. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 4.3%.

Return on investment


The company operates at high and attractive ROE (73.04%) while ROIC is a bit lower (18.73%). ROIC decreased on 7.0 pp from 25.7% to 18.7% in 2016. ROE dropped on 27.9 pp from 101% to 73.0% in 2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 2.2x Net Debt / EBITDA and 2.7x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 0.5x from 1.7x to 2.2x in 2016. Debt increased on 5.7% in 2016 while cash increased slightly on 1.8% in 2016.

Valuation


The company's trades at EV/EBITDA 2.3x and P/E 0.1x while industy averages are 15.6x and 19.1x. The company's EV/(EBITDA-CAPEX) is 2.9x with the industry average at 19.0x.

Appendix 1: Peers in Software & Computer Services


Below you can find International Bus Mach Corp benchmarking vs. other companies in Software & Computer Services industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Coms ($COMS)46.8%763.3%110.4%36.1%
Centralnic Group ($CNIC)15.9%4.0%98.9%71.3%
Proactis Holdings ($PHD)7.0%26.2%69.6%12.5%
Progility ($PGY)51.0%3.2%
Galasys ($GLS)14.3%20.9%311.1%33.0%
 
Median (44 companies)10.5%6.8%5.2%4.7%10.7%
International Bus Mach Corp ($IBM)-5.9%-5.7%-11.9%-2.2%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Lombard Risk Management ($LRM)99.0%98.8%99.2%98.6%99.3%
Phoenix It Group ($PNX)97.0%97.2%97.6%97.9%
Wandisco ($WAND)91.8%80.3%80.7%93.2%
Netcall ($NET)88.2%89.7%91.0%90.9%91.2%
Idox ($IDOX)90.4%90.8%89.4%89.3%86.8%
 
Median (37 companies)63.2%63.0%58.9%60.3%65.9%
International Bus Mach Corp ($IBM)48.1%49.5%50.0%49.8%47.9%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Mail.Ru Group Ltd ($61HE)43.1%47.4%50.5%34.6%
Dotdigital Group ($DOTD)31.4%39.4%29.2%32.0%30.4%
Idox ($IDOX)30.9%26.1%26.0%28.6%27.3%
Galasys ($GLS)44.0%83.6%32.6%28.5%
Oxford Metrics ($OMG)15.7%6.0%14.7%28.4%23.1%
 
Median (44 companies)13.8%13.0%12.0%12.3%8.2%
International Bus Mach Corp ($IBM)24.0%24.6%24.0%23.1%19.8%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Rapidcloud Intl ($RCI)1.0%23.1%11.6%19.6%
Coms ($COMS)0.5%0.9%3.4%7.5%0.1%
Csf Group ($CSFG)1.5%4.0%2.4%7.1%4.9%
Nasstar ($NASA)17.9%2.1%5.2%
Unisys Corp ($USY)2.1%2.5%4.1%5.0%
 
Median (44 companies)1.5%1.5%1.9%1.1%1.0%
International Bus Mach Corp ($IBM)3.9%3.7%4.0%4.4%4.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Triad Group ($TRD)4.1%-3.8%24.5%61.5%74.4%
Dotdigital Group ($DOTD)26.4%38.0%28.5%31.4%28.9%
Galasys ($GLS)58.7%60.9%40.8%22.2%
Instem ($INS)20.6%14.7%10.9%20.4%
Kalibrate Technologies ($KLBT)12.5%40.2%29.2%18.8%10.2%
 
Median (44 companies)12.5%11.5%9.4%4.3%9.8%
International Bus Mach Corp ($IBM)36.1%31.0%28.1%25.7%18.7%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Progility ($PGY)2.0x1.8x12.8x6.8x
Parity Group ($PTY)4.7x4.9x5.1x
Nasstar ($NASA)-5.3x0.0x1.9x
Phoenix It Group ($PNX)4.3x1.9x
Idox ($IDOX)1.3x1.3x1.0x1.3x1.2x
 
Median (34 companies)-0.5x-0.5x-0.3x-0.6x-0.9x
International Bus Mach Corp ($IBM)0.9x1.2x1.4x1.7x2.2x