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Alternative Networks reports 33.2% Net Income decline and 1.4 pp EBITDA Margin decline from 14.1% to 12.7%

08 Dec 2016 • About Alternative Networks ($AN.) • By InTwits

Alternative Networks reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Alternative Networks has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.1%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 41.3%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 1.8 in FY2016, 4.0 in FY2015, 0.85 in FY2014, 0.48 in FY2013, 0.55 in FY2012
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is at 15.2%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Alternative Networks ($AN.) key annual financial indicators

mln. £201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue114.8114.3134.4146.8135.8-7.5%
Gross Profit44.844.855.360.755.5-8.6%
SG&A32.443.8
EBITDA15.315.321.120.717.3-16.7%
Net Income9.89.78.111.57.7-33.2%
Balance Sheet
Cash21.417.93.82.44.485.8%
Short Term Debt0.10.15.16.60.0-100.0%
Long Term Debt0.70.728.014.523.561.9%
Cash flow
Capex0.60.50.84.01.8-55.5%
Ratios
Revenue growth-2.1%-0.4%17.5%9.2%-7.5%
EBITDA growth7.2%0.1%38.1%-1.8%-16.7%
Gross Margin39.0%39.2%41.2%41.3%40.9%-0.5%
EBITDA Margin13.3%13.4%15.7%14.1%12.7%-1.4%
Net Income Margin8.5%8.4%6.0%7.8%5.6%-2.2%
SG&A, % of revenue28.3%32.6%0.0%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.5%0.4%0.6%2.7%1.3%-1.4%
ROIC35.2%33.7%28.5%20.2%15.2%-5.1%
ROE28.2%26.4%22.4%28.7%18.0%-10.7%
Net Debt/EBITDA-1.3x-1.1x1.4x0.9x1.1x0.2x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 7.5% in FY2016. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 0.68 pp from 59.9% to 60.6% in FY2016.

Gross Margin showed almost no change in FY2016.

Net Income marign decreased on 2.2 pp from 7.8% to 5.6% in FY2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


Alternative Networks's CAPEX/Revenue was 1.3% in FY2016. CAPEX/Revenue increased slightly on 0.89 pp from 0.42% in FY2013 to 1.3% in FY2016. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 1.6%.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROIC (15.19%) and ROE (18.02%). ROIC decreased on 5.1 pp from 20.2% to 15.2% in FY2016. ROE dropped on 10.7 pp from 28.7% to 18.0% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 1.1x and Debt / EBITDA is 1.4x. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 0.2x from 0.9x to 1.1x in FY2016. Debt jumped on 11.3% in FY2016 while cash jumped on 85.8% in FY2016.

Valuation


Alternative Networks's trades at EV/EBITDA 10.6x and P/E 21.3x while industy averages are 15.6x and 19.1x. The company's EV/(EBITDA-CAPEX) is 11.8x with the industry average at 19.0x.

Appendix 1: Peers in Fixed Line Telecommunications


Below you can find Alternative Networks benchmarking vs. other companies in Fixed Line Telecommunications industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Telefonica Sa ($TDE)-0.8%-8.5%-23.8%26.4%
Syqic ($SYQ)37.6%20.5%126.5%9.2%
Adept Telecom ($ADT)-4.1%-0.8%5.8%30.9%
Verizon Communications Inc ($VZC)4.5%4.1%5.4%3.6%
Telecom Egypt ($TEEG)1.6%11.0%9.2%0.2%
 
Median (13 companies)-0.2%-4.1%-1.6%-0.4%18.4%
Alternative Networks ($AN.)-0.4%17.5%9.2%-7.5%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Kt Corp ($KTCD)75.5%76.0%77.9%77.9%
Verizon Communications Inc ($VZC)60.1%62.8%60.7%60.1%
Telecom Egypt ($TEEG)41.4%41.9%44.2%41.6%
Syqic ($SYQ)57.3%59.9%43.6%41.2%
Adept Telecom ($ADT)32.2%34.5%36.4%37.6%40.3%
 
Median (5 companies)57.3%59.9%44.2%41.6%40.3%
Alternative Networks ($AN.)39.0%39.2%41.2%41.3%40.9%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Ooredoo Qsc ($ORDS)46.0%42.4%37.6%39.2%
Verizon Communications Inc ($VZC)25.6%40.3%28.4%37.3%
BT Group ($BT.A)31.2%32.0%31.9%33.5%33.4%
Rostelekom ($RKMD)39.7%39.0%33.0%33.4%
Koninklijke Kpn Nv ($0O8F)35.9%34.1%39.1%33.2%
 
Median (13 companies)34.0%33.1%31.9%29.9%26.7%
Alternative Networks ($AN.)13.3%13.4%15.7%14.1%12.7%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Ooredoo Qsc ($ORDS)21.9%27.5%25.3%26.5%
Telecom Egypt ($TEEG)5.1%6.8%13.0%21.4%
Rostelekom ($RKMD)31.7%23.6%19.3%21.1%
Telefonica Sa ($TDE)15.2%17.0%19.1%18.7%
Orange Polska Sa ($OPLD)16.6%16.9%17.6%16.9%
 
Median (13 companies)13.6%13.8%13.0%14.4%7.4%
Alternative Networks ($AN.)0.5%0.4%0.6%2.7%1.3%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
BT Group ($BT.A)23.6%27.0%34.7%37.5%21.6%
Syqic ($SYQ)38.9%3.2%33.9%22.9%
Verizon Communications Inc ($VZC)8.0%16.7%10.1%19.3%
O2 Czech Republic As ($O2CZ)11.8%11.7%7.2%14.5%
Adept Telecom ($ADT)11.6%15.5%13.2%14.3%16.4%
 
Median (13 companies)9.6%8.5%7.7%7.1%19.0%
Alternative Networks ($AN.)35.2%33.7%28.5%20.2%15.2%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Telefonica Sa ($TDE)2.5x2.5x3.6x4.2x
Koninklijke Kpn Nv ($0O8F)3.8x3.4x3.0x3.6x
Verizon Communications Inc ($VZC)1.7x0.8x2.8x2.1x
Ooredoo Qsc ($ORDS)1.6x1.7x2.0x2.0x
Rostelekom ($RKMD)1.7x1.8x1.8x1.8x
 
Median (13 companies)1.7x1.3x1.6x1.3x1.6x
Alternative Networks ($AN.)-1.3x-1.1x1.4x0.9x1.1x