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Carr'S Milling Industries revenue decreased on 4.9% in 2016 and EBITDA Margin showed almost no change

14 Nov 2016 • About Carr'S Milling Industries ($CRM) • By InTwits

Carr'S Milling Industries reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Carr'S Milling Industries is a company in decline: FY2016 revenue growth was -4.9%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -3.3%
  • EBITDA Margin is relatively stable: 5.1% in FY2016 vs. 4.7% in FY2015 vs. 4.1% in FY2012
  • Carr'S Milling Industries has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.8%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 2.7%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 18.9 in FY2016, 33 in FY2015, 19 in FY2014, 11.3 in FY2013, 13.2 in FY2012
  • The company has business model with low profitability: ROIC is at 8.2%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Carr'S Milling Industries ($CRM) key annual financial indicators

mln. £201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue404.1468.1429.0331.3314.9-4.9%
Gross Profit43.948.650.342.741.2-3.6%
SG&A31.929.829.830.628.4-7.2%
EBITDA16.718.820.515.516.24.3%
Net Income8.511.011.412.012.53.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash23.322.917.320.148.4141.4%
Short Term Debt14.215.519.718.721.615.6%
Long Term Debt11.629.422.225.718.6-27.7%
Cash flow
Capex8.99.97.24.65.825.3%
Ratios
Revenue growth8.2%15.8%-8.4%-22.8%-4.9%
EBITDA growth23.3%12.3%9.1%-24.4%4.3%
Gross Margin10.9%10.4%11.7%12.9%13.1%0.2%
EBITDA Margin4.1%4.0%4.8%4.7%5.1%0.5%
Net Income Margin2.1%2.4%2.7%3.6%4.0%0.3%
SG&A, % of revenue7.9%6.4%6.9%9.2%9.0%-0.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue2.2%2.1%1.7%1.4%1.8%0.4%
ROIC12.3%11.7%11.6%8.5%8.2%-0.3%
ROE14.5%16.9%15.3%14.4%13.6%-0.8%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.1x1.2x1.2x1.6x-0.5x-2.1x

Revenue and profitability


Carr'S Milling Industries's Revenue decreased on 4.9% in FY2016. EBITDA Margin showed almost no change in FY2016.

Gross Margin showed almost no change in FY2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in FY2016.

Net Income marign showed almost no change in FY2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 1.8% in FY2016. CAPEX/Revenue showed almost no change from FY2013 to FY2016. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 1.6%.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROE (13.55%) while ROIC is low (8.17%). ROIC showed almost no change in FY2016. ROE decreased slightly on 0.83 pp from 14.4% to 13.6% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -0.5x Net Debt / EBITDA and 2.5x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 2.1x from 1.6x to -0.5x in FY2016. Debt decreased on 9.4% in FY2016 while cash jumped on 141% in FY2016.

Appendix 1: Peers in Food Producers


Below you can find Carr'S Milling Industries benchmarking vs. other companies in Food Producers industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Kakuzi ($KAKU)0.3%-11.5%22.1%46.9%
Fyffes ($FFY)18.9%6.6%2.0%15.6%
Cherkizovo Group OJSC ($CHE)12.6%8.1%31.5%11.1%
Glanbia ($GLB)14.4%7.7%6.6%9.3%
Kerry Group ($KYGA)10.3%-0.2%-1.4%6.1%
 
Median (20 companies)13.2%6.3%-0.8%-1.9%1.9%
Carr'S Milling Industries ($CRM)15.8%-8.4%-22.8%-4.9%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Walcom Group Ltd ($WALG)62.6%63.2%62.2%60.5%
Narborough Plantations ($NBP)64.9%55.5%59.7%54.6%56.2%
Kakuzi ($KAKU)42.8%29.8%33.0%49.2%
Zambeef Products ($ZAM)33.6%34.5%33.7%43.2%
Ros Agro ($AGRO)28.8%22.1%33.6%42.1%
 
Median (18 companies)28.8%22.1%32.5%24.6%26.6%
Carr'S Milling Industries ($CRM)10.9%10.4%11.7%12.9%13.1%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Mhp Sa ($MHPC)33.2%26.1%37.0%38.8%
Narborough Plantations ($NBP)58.1%42.5%39.6%37.4%40.8%
Ros Agro ($AGRO)20.6%15.5%28.1%34.6%
R.E.A.Hldgs ($RE.B)35.3%34.0%33.2%31.1%
Kakuzi ($KAKU)28.0%14.9%11.8%29.4%
 
Median (20 companies)16.4%10.1%10.3%12.1%9.7%
Carr'S Milling Industries ($CRM)4.1%4.0%4.8%4.7%5.1%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Kakuzi ($KAKU)20.1%20.8%22.0%24.9%
R.E.A.Hldgs ($RE.B)40.3%10.9%11.8%17.4%
Avangardco Investments Public Ltd ($AVGR)51.1%28.0%18.4%16.2%
Zambeef Products ($ZAM)9.2%4.6%4.8%15.9%
Ros Agro ($AGRO)20.0%10.5%7.3%15.3%
 
Median (20 companies)7.4%6.4%5.5%5.5%4.4%
Carr'S Milling Industries ($CRM)2.2%2.1%1.7%1.4%1.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Ros Agro ($AGRO)7.2%4.0%23.8%23.2%
Origin Enterprises ($OGN)13.2%15.3%16.9%20.1%15.3%
Mhp Sa ($MHPC)18.4%11.2%17.6%17.6%
Kakuzi ($KAKU)11.4%4.7%4.3%17.4%
Kerry Group ($KYGA)10.6%5.2%16.6%15.8%
 
Median (20 companies)12.2%5.9%10.1%8.5%7.3%
Carr'S Milling Industries ($CRM)12.3%11.7%11.6%8.5%8.2%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
R.E.A.Hldgs ($RE.B)3.1x4.4x3.9x7.2x
Tate & Lyle ($BD15)1.0x1.2x1.2x4.0x1.8x
Real Good Food ($RGD)2.5x5.7x3.2x1.3x
Cherkizovo Group OJSC ($CHE)2.7x4.4x1.6x3.1x
Zambeef Products ($ZAM)6.3x4.7x4.8x3.0x
 
Median (17 companies)1.4x1.7x1.7x1.8x1.2x
Carr'S Milling Industries ($CRM)0.1x1.2x1.2x1.6x-0.5x