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Songbird Estates reports 165 pp EBITDA Margin growth from -114% to 51.7% in 2015 and 5.5% Revenue growth

04 Nov 2016 • About Songbird Estates ($SBD) • By InTwits

Songbird Estates reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Songbird Estates spends a lot for Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for 2011-2015 is 0.0%. Average EBITDA Margin for the same period was -16.4%0
  • Songbird Estates has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 0.4%.
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 3.0%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 12.3x while industry average is 9.8x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Songbird Estates ($SBD) key annual financial indicators

mln. £201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue352.3361.6379.9379.2400.05.5%
Gross Profit243.8258.4259.4268.2289.88.1%
SG&A45.377.591.618.2%
EBITDA208.2222.2-513.5-430.8206.9-148.0%
Net Income-68.1118.8616.6404.0463.814.8%
Balance Sheet
Cash996.1749.7586.1600.7513.5-14.5%
Short Term Debt93.6114.3472.461.1182.3198.4%
Long Term Debt3,575.63,554.73,358.63,022.92,883.9-4.6%
Cash flow
Capex0.00.20.35.01.6-68.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth-2.0%2.6%5.1%-0.2%5.5%
EBITDA growth-5.0%6.7%-331.1%-16.1%-148.0%
Gross Margin69.2%71.5%68.3%70.7%72.5%1.7%
EBITDA Margin59.1%61.4%-135.2%-113.6%51.7%165.3%
Net Income Margin-19.3%32.9%162.3%106.5%116.0%9.4%
SG&A, % of revenue11.9%20.4%22.9%2.5%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.0%0.1%0.1%1.3%0.4%-0.9%
ROIC3.8%4.1%-8.5%-6.5%3.0%9.5%
ROE-6.3%10.9%42.8%20.7%15.1%-5.7%
Net Debt/EBITDA12.8x13.1x12.3x12.3x

Revenue and profitability


Songbird Estates's Revenue increased on 5.5% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.6 pp from 69.6% to 71.2% in 2015.

Gross Margin increased slightly on 1.7 pp from 70.7% to 72.5% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 2.5 pp from 20.4% to 22.9% in 2015.

Net Income marign increased on 9.4 pp from 107% to 116% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 Songbird Estates had CAPEX/Revenue of 0.40%. Songbird Estates's CAPEX/Revenue showed almost no change from 2012 to 2015. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 0.60%.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROE (15.07%) while ROIC is low (2.97%). ROIC increased on 9.5 pp from -6.5% to 3.0% in 2015. ROE decreased on 5.7 pp from 20.7% to 15.1% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 12.3x and Debt / EBITDA is 14.8x. Net Debt / EBITDA surged12.3x from to 12.3x in 2015. Debt decreased slightly on 0.58% in 2015 while cash dropped on 14.5% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Real Estate Investment & Services


Below we provide Songbird Estates benchmarking against other companies in Real Estate Investment & Services industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Formation Group ($FRM)-60.8%147.9%35.8%199.3%
Development Securities ($DSC)-20.4%156.8%
Damac Real Estate Development Ltd ($DMC)3.8%76.9%-16.8%128.2%
Hagl JSC ($HAG)39.5%-36.9%10.2%104.7%
Quintain Estates & Development ($QED)-3.2%-13.0%-17.5%77.0%
 
Median (18 companies)3.8%20.8%3.4%6.4%
Songbird Estates ($SBD)2.6%5.1%-0.2%5.5%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Arricano Real Estate ($ARO)96.1%96.5%96.1%
Summit Germany Ltd ($SMTG)92.3%
Taliesin Property Fund Ltd ($TPFZ)75.2%76.6%74.9%76.3%
Panther Securities ($PNS)65.3%69.2%77.2%68.0%73.5%
Damac Real Estate Development Ltd ($DMC)37.5%40.7%64.4%59.6%59.4%
 
Median (14 companies)40.0%40.7%43.2%31.9%34.2%
Songbird Estates ($SBD)69.2%71.5%68.3%70.7%72.5%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Quintain Estates & Development ($QED)-101.5%-81.5%-70.4%43.6%76.3%
Summit Germany Ltd ($SMTG)77.8%78.3%78.7%89.3%75.5%
Safeland ($SAF)-1.5%-1.6%7.0%65.8%
Damac Real Estate Development Ltd ($DMC)31.2%32.9%54.5%46.4%53.5%
Panther Securities ($PNS)39.9%44.8%56.9%50.3%52.0%
 
Median (17 companies)33.7%28.1%20.9%18.5%20.3%
Songbird Estates ($SBD)59.1%61.4%-135.2%-113.6%51.7%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Quintain Estates & Development ($QED)136.2%210.6%162.3%217.2%173.3%
Hagl JSC ($HAG)152.8%134.2%171.2%145.6%127.1%
HALS-Development JSC ($HALS)874.7%83.2%347.0%25.0%47.3%
Taliesin Property Fund Ltd ($TPFZ)14.1%21.3%45.2%43.7%
Development Securities ($DSC)2.9%13.5%24.6%
 
Median (18 companies)1.9%3.1%1.8%4.9%6.1%
Songbird Estates ($SBD)0.0%0.1%0.1%1.3%0.4%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Damac Real Estate Development Ltd ($DMC)163.1%127.1%31.3%41.5%
Safeland ($SAF)-1.3%-1.1%3.7%31.2%
PIK Group OJSC ($PIK)25.6%21.2%25.6%13.5%25.3%
Hml Hldgs ($HMLH)8.2%9.9%12.5%12.5%
Etalon Group Ltd ($ETLN)20.1%12.1%14.4%14.3%10.2%
 
Median (18 companies)4.6%4.2%3.0%3.4%4.9%
Songbird Estates ($SBD)3.8%4.1%-8.5%-6.5%3.0%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Arricano Real Estate ($ARO)8.3x11.3x43.0x
Plaza Centers Nv ($PLAZ)17.9x41.9x25.4x
London & Associated Properties ($LAS)10.8x40.8x11.1x13.0x20.2x
Hagl JSC ($HAG)7.5x13.4x10.5x14.2x14.8x
Panther Securities ($PNS)11.8x13.0x10.6x11.8x9.7x
 
Median (14 companies)7.9x7.3x10.5x10.1x4.5x
Songbird Estates ($SBD)12.8x13.1x12.3x