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Infinis Energy reports 130% CAPEX growth while 7.7% Revenue decline

29 Sep 2016 • About Infinis Energy ($INFI) • By InTwits

Infinis Energy reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Infinis Energy is a company in decline: FY2016 revenue growth was -7.7%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -2.8%
  • Infinis Energy has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 30.3%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 31.0%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 94.1 in FY2016, 41.0 in FY2015, 38.7 in FY2014, 73.0 in FY2013, 51.6 in FY2012
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 3.5%
  • It operates with medium-size leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 5.4x while industry average is 4.8x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Infinis Energy ($INFI) key annual financial indicators

mln. £201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue218.2225.9238.4180.0166.3-7.7%
Gross Profit97.5101.7109.281.376.4-6.0%
SG&A31.528.356.030.247.958.4%
EBITDA120.2123.4107.8125.793.1-25.9%
Net Income12.08.9-11.820.711.4-44.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash121.047.181.175.448.8-35.3%
Short Term Debt30.711.017.619.4203.9951.6%
Long Term Debt490.1557.2610.8590.8347.9-41.1%
Cash flow
Capex51.673.038.741.094.1129.6%
Ratios
Revenue growth14.0%3.5%5.5%-24.5%-7.7%
EBITDA growth19.7%2.6%-12.6%16.6%-25.9%
Gross Margin44.7%45.0%45.8%45.1%45.9%0.8%
EBITDA Margin55.1%54.6%45.2%69.8%56.0%-13.8%
Net Income Margin5.5%3.9%-4.9%11.5%6.8%-4.6%
SG&A, % of revenue14.4%12.5%23.5%16.8%28.8%12.0%
CAPEX, % of revenue23.6%32.3%16.2%22.8%56.6%33.8%
ROIC4.6%5.0%3.0%5.2%3.5%-1.6%
ROE3.1%2.5%-3.7%6.9%6.5%-0.4%
Net Debt/EBITDA3.3x4.2x5.1x4.3x5.4x1.1x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 7.7% in FY2016. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 13.8 pp from 69.8% to 56.0% in FY2016.

Gross Margin increased slightly on 0.81 pp from 45.1% to 45.9% in FY2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue jumped on 12.0 pp from 16.8% to 28.8% in FY2016.

Net Income marign decreased on 4.6 pp from 11.5% to 6.8% in FY2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In FY2016 Infinis Energy had CAPEX/Revenue of 56.6%. The company showed fast CAPEX/Revenue growth of 24.3 pp from 32.3% in FY2013 to 56.6% in FY2016. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 31.9%.Battling declining revenue Infinis Energy made large investments to CAPEX (101% of EBITDA) but that didn't help at least in this year.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (3.53%) and ROE (6.46%). ROIC decreased slightly on 1.6 pp from 5.2% to 3.5% in FY2016. ROE showed almost no change in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 5.4x Net Debt / EBITDA and 5.9x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 1.1x from 4.3x to 5.4x in FY2016. Debt decreased on 9.6% in FY2016 while cash dropped on 35.3% in FY2016.

Appendix 1: Peers in Electricity


Below you can find Infinis Energy benchmarking vs. other companies in Electricity industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Ksk Power Ventur ($KSK)2.5%-14.5%13.8%76.4%
Good Energy Group ($GOOD)30.7%43.3%42.6%11.6%
Societatea Comerciala De Dis Si Fur ($ELSA)-2.2%2.5%-6.3%9.1%
Mosenergo AO ($AOMD)-2.5%-0.8%3.5%6.0%
RusHydro OJSC ($HYDR)-17.6%5.0%5.1%5.4%
 
Median (8 companies)7.2%2.5%-4.0%5.7%76.4%
Infinis Energy ($INFI)3.5%5.5%-24.5%-7.7%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top  FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Renewable Energy Generation Ltd ($WIND)42.5%42.7%35.9%36.5%
Good Energy Group ($GOOD)33.9%33.6%32.7%33.1%
Datang Intl Power Generation ($DAT)30.7%
Ksk Power Ventur ($KSK)33.9%40.0%27.1%27.0%34.3%
 
Median (4 companies)33.9%40.0%32.7%31.9%34.3%
Infinis Energy ($INFI)44.7%45.0%45.8%45.1%45.9%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Renewable Energy Generation Ltd ($WIND)24.4%23.0%10.5%125.2%
Datang Intl Power Generation ($DAT)28.7%33.6%34.8%38.0%
Ksk Power Ventur ($KSK)43.1%40.6%30.3%26.0%37.3%
Societatea Comerciala De Dis Si Fur ($ELSA)12.2%11.9%16.7%17.8%
Public Power Corp S.A. ($PPCD)15.3%19.1%20.0%17.7%
 
Median (8 companies)14.1%17.2%16.7%17.7%37.3%
Infinis Energy ($INFI)55.1%54.6%45.2%69.8%56.0%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Renewable Energy Generation Ltd ($WIND)142.1%77.4%167.6%100.1%
Ksk Power Ventur ($KSK)194.9%100.4%59.5%58.3%8.7%
Datang Intl Power Generation ($DAT)34.3%43.2%28.8%29.7%
Good Energy Group ($GOOD)1.0%23.2%31.8%27.6%
RusHydro OJSC ($HYDR)27.8%19.7%23.8%22.8%
 
Median (8 companies)20.6%21.4%26.3%25.2%8.7%
Infinis Energy ($INFI)23.6%32.3%16.2%22.8%56.6%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Societatea Comerciala De Dis Si Fur ($ELSA)3.2%4.0%6.5%7.9%
Good Energy Group ($GOOD)10.8%12.2%7.0%5.8%
Datang Intl Power Generation ($DAT)5.7%5.9%4.8%4.6%
RusHydro OJSC ($HYDR)-0.7%3.0%4.3%4.2%
Public Power Corp S.A. ($PPCD)1.5%3.6%3.7%1.4%
 
Median (8 companies)2.9%3.6%4.0%2.8%4.4%
Infinis Energy ($INFI)4.6%5.0%3.0%5.2%3.5%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Ksk Power Ventur ($KSK)12.8x16.0x26.5x30.7x12.7x
Good Energy Group ($GOOD)-0.1x1.5x5.7x7.8x
Datang Intl Power Generation ($DAT)8.4x7.7x8.3x7.5x
Public Power Corp S.A. ($PPCD)5.3x4.1x4.3x4.8x
RusHydro OJSC ($HYDR)7.8x2.9x2.6x2.6x
 
Median (8 companies)6.6x2.2x5.0x3.7x12.7x
Infinis Energy ($INFI)3.3x4.2x5.1x4.3x5.4x