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Monitise reports 210% EBITDA decline and 98.6 pp EBITDA Margin decline from 40.0% to -58.6%

08 Sep 2016 • About Monitise ($MONI) • By InTwits

Monitise reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Monitise doesn't have a profitable business model yet: FY2016 ROIC is -148.3%
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -58.6%
  • Monitise spends a lot for Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for FY2012-FY2016 is 0.0%. Average EBITDA Margin for the same period was -11.3%0
  • Monitise has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 5.3%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 3.1%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 0.89 in FY2016, 4.1 in FY2015, 4.8 in FY2014, 5.1 in FY2013, 3.2 in FY2012
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -148.3%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Monitise ($MONI) key annual financial indicators

mln. £201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue36.08772.79695.10189.70067.565-24.7%
Gross Profit23.95555.20861.71046.47338.859-16.4%
EBITDA-13.243-3.706-20.08835.896-39.583-210.3%
Net Income-16.385-51.303-60.065-223.551-233.3714.4%
Balance Sheet
Cash19.56686.770146.82888.80142.089-52.6%
Short Term Debt9.6900.9367.75810.0361.002-90.0%
Long Term Debt0.0000.8807.6760.3350.807140.9%
Cash flow
Capex3.1555.0714.8194.1350.894-78.4%
Ratios
Revenue growth136.2%101.7%30.6%-5.7%-24.7%
EBITDA growth-2.5%-72.0%442.0%-278.7%-210.3%
Gross Margin66.4%75.8%64.9%51.8%57.5%5.7%
EBITDA Margin-36.7%-5.1%-21.1%40.0%-58.6%-98.6%
Net Income Margin-45.4%-70.5%-63.2%-249.2%-345.4%-96.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue8.7%7.0%5.1%4.6%1.3%-3.3%
ROIC-16.7%-9.4%-13.1%-24.3%-148.3%-124.0%
ROE-18.4%-26.6%-19.2%-70.4%-152.8%-82.4%
Net Debt/EBITDA-2.2x2.2x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 24.7% in FY2016. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 98.6 pp from 40.0% to -58.6% in FY2016.

Gross Margin increased on 5.7 pp from 51.8% to 57.5% in FY2016.

Net Income marign dropped on 96.2 pp from -249% to -345% in FY2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In FY2016 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 1.3%. The company showed decline in CAPEX/Revenue of 5.6 pp from 7.0% in FY2013 to 1.3% in FY2016. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 3.7%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-148.25%) and ROE (-152.81%). ROIC dropped on 124 pp from -24.3% to -148% in FY2016. ROE dropped on 82.4 pp from -70.4% to -153% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -1.0x Net Debt / EBITDA and Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 2.2x from -2.2x to in FY2016. Debt dropped on 82.6% in FY2016 while cash dropped on 52.6% in FY2016.

Appendix 1: Peers in Mobile Telecommunications


Below we provide Monitise benchmarking against other companies in Mobile Telecommunications industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Zamano ($ZMNO)28.0%-16.5%23.9%22.3%
Sistema Jsfc ($SSAA)9.7%-44.6%8.7%10.6%
Sk Telecom ($SKMD)1.3%2.9%3.4%-0.2%
Megafon OJSC ($MFON)12.3%9.1%5.9%-0.4%
Kcell JSC ($KCEL)1.8%3.1%-0.0%-10.2%
 
Median (6 companies)5.7%-0.9%4.6%-0.3%
Monitise ($MONI)101.7%30.6%-5.7%-24.7%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Sk Telecom ($SKMD)92.0%92.2%90.2%88.6%
Global Telecom Hldg Sae ($GLTD)57.6%82.1%83.4%81.8%
Megafon OJSC ($MFON)75.4%74.6%73.1%73.1%
Sistema Jsfc ($SSAA)59.5%54.4%50.4%46.7%
Kcell JSC ($KCEL)58.1%57.6%55.1%46.6%
 
Median (6 companies)58.8%66.1%64.1%59.9%
Monitise ($MONI)66.4%75.8%64.9%51.8%57.5%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Kcell JSC ($KCEL)55.3%55.8%55.5%45.8%
Global Telecom Hldg Sae ($GLTD)50.8%12.1%42.8%43.9%
Megafon OJSC ($MFON)42.4%44.2%43.5%41.9%
Sk Telecom ($SKMD)26.9%29.2%27.5%27.4%
Sistema Jsfc ($SSAA)20.1%33.3%23.9%22.5%
 
Median (6 companies)34.6%31.3%35.1%34.7%
Monitise ($MONI)-36.7%-5.1%-21.1%40.0%-58.6%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Global Telecom Hldg Sae ($GLTD)8.6%15.7%36.5%26.2%
Megafon OJSC ($MFON)17.1%14.5%18.5%20.1%
Sistema Jsfc ($SSAA)11.3%13.3%14.2%15.0%
Sk Telecom ($SKMD)21.0%17.3%17.5%14.5%
Kcell JSC ($KCEL)12.8%9.2%9.6%9.5%
 
Median (6 companies)12.0%13.9%15.9%14.8%
Monitise ($MONI)8.7%7.0%5.1%4.6%1.3%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Kcell JSC ($KCEL)63.7%66.0%62.9%40.2%
Zamano ($ZMNO)31.4%30.9%25.5%23.3%
Megafon OJSC ($MFON)21.0%27.7%23.7%19.6%
Global Telecom Hldg Sae ($GLTD)17.8%-6.9%17.4%14.7%
Sistema Jsfc ($SSAA)11.7%12.1%8.3%7.4%
 
Median (6 companies)19.4%19.9%20.5%17.2%
Monitise ($MONI)-16.7%-9.4%-13.1%-24.3%-148.3%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Sistema Jsfc ($SSAA)2.0x1.5x2.7x3.5x
Global Telecom Hldg Sae ($GLTD)1.5x5.6x2.0x1.6x
Megafon OJSC ($MFON)1.2x1.1x1.4x1.5x
Sk Telecom ($SKMD)1.4x1.1x1.3x1.5x
Kcell JSC ($KCEL)0.5x0.1x0.1x0.2x
 
Median (6 companies)1.3x1.1x1.3x1.5x
Monitise ($MONI)-2.2x