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Safeland revenue returned to growth in FY2016: increased 106% vs. 1.5% decline a year earliner

22 Aug 2016 • About Safeland ($SAF) • By InTwits

Safeland reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Safeland is a fast growth stock: FY2016 revenue growth was 106%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 15.3% at FY2016 ROIC 22.5%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 28.0% in FY2016, 65.8% in FY2015, 7.0% in FY2014, -1.6% in FY2013, -1.5% in FY2012
  • Safeland has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 4.7%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 32.4%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 0.11 in FY2016, 2.0 in FY2015, 0.12 in FY2014, 0.11 in FY2013, 0.18 in FY2012
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is at 22.5%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Safeland ($SAF) key annual financial indicators

mln. £201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue14.3358.58710.40810.25621.116105.9%
Gross Profit1.4191.4812.1392.7617.113157.6%
SG&A1.5701.287-18.0%
EBITDA-0.208-0.1390.7316.7525.920-12.3%
Net Income0.4931.1600.8105.7334.535-20.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash0.4570.7121.0030.4542.988558.1%
Short Term Debt7.1900.0000.0001.2580.000-100.0%
Long Term Debt0.0006.8788.4007.18510.92752.1%
Cash flow
Capex0.1750.1050.1152.0030.105-94.8%
Ratios
Revenue growth38.2%-40.1%21.2%-1.5%105.9%
EBITDA growth-11.9%-33.2%-625.9%823.7%-12.3%
Gross Margin9.9%17.2%20.6%26.9%33.7%6.8%
EBITDA Margin-1.5%-1.6%7.0%65.8%28.0%-37.8%
Net Income Margin3.4%13.5%7.8%55.9%21.5%-34.4%
SG&A, % of revenue15.3%6.1%-9.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.2%1.2%1.1%19.5%0.5%-19.0%
ROIC-1.3%-1.1%3.7%31.2%22.5%-8.7%
ROE5.6%12.4%8.0%45.2%27.9%-17.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA10.1x1.2x1.3x0.2x

Revenue and profitability


Safeland's Revenue surged on 106% in FY2016. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin surged on 23.7 pp from -18.7% to 5.0% in FY2016.

Gross Margin increased on 6.8 pp from 26.9% to 33.7% in FY2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased on 9.2 pp from 15.3% to 6.1% in FY2016.

Net Income marign dropped on 34.4 pp from 55.9% to 21.5% in FY2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In FY2016 Safeland had CAPEX/Revenue of 0.50%. The company's CAPEX/Revenue decreased slightly on 0.73 pp from 1.2% in FY2013 to 0.50% in FY2016. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 7.0%.

Return on investment


The company operates at high and attractive ROIC (22.50%) and ROE (27.91%). ROIC decreased on 8.7 pp from 31.2% to 22.5% in FY2016. ROE dropped on 17.3 pp from 45.2% to 27.9% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 1.3x Net Debt / EBITDA and 1.8x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 0.2x from 1.2x to 1.3x in FY2016. Debt surged on 29.4% in FY2016 while cash jumped on 558% in FY2016.

Appendix 1: Peers in Real Estate Investment & Services


Below we provide Safeland benchmarking against other companies in Real Estate Investment & Services industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Formation Group ($FRM)-60.8%147.9%35.8%199.3%
Development Securities ($DSC)-20.4%156.8%18.9%
Damac Real Estate Development Ltd ($DMC)3.8%76.9%-16.8%128.2%
Hagl JSC ($HAG)39.5%-36.9%10.2%104.7%
Quintain Estates & Development ($QED)-3.2%-13.0%-17.5%77.0%
 
Median (17 companies)3.2%20.8%-0.1%14.3%7.8%
Safeland ($SAF)-40.1%21.2%-1.5%105.9%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Arricano Real Estate ($ARO)96.1%96.5%96.1%
Summit Germany Ltd ($SMTG)92.3%
Taliesin Property Fund Ltd ($TPFZ)75.2%76.6%74.9%76.3%
Panther Securities ($PNS)69.2%77.2%68.0%73.5%
Damac Real Estate Development Ltd ($DMC)40.7%64.4%59.6%59.4%
 
Median (13 companies)41.0%50.3%38.5%34.5%
Safeland ($SAF)9.9%17.2%20.6%26.9%33.7%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Quintain Estates & Development ($QED)-81.5%-70.4%43.6%76.3%
Summit Germany Ltd ($SMTG)78.3%78.7%89.3%75.5%
Damac Real Estate Development Ltd ($DMC)32.9%54.5%46.4%53.5%
Panther Securities ($PNS)44.8%56.9%50.3%52.0%
Hagl JSC ($HAG)23.1%40.5%39.6%28.2%
 
Median (16 companies)32.9%20.9%18.5%19.9%12.3%
Safeland ($SAF)-1.5%-1.6%7.0%65.8%28.0%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Quintain Estates & Development ($QED)210.6%162.3%217.2%173.3%
Hagl JSC ($HAG)134.2%171.2%145.6%127.1%
HALS-Development JSC ($HALS)83.2%347.0%25.0%47.3%
Taliesin Property Fund Ltd ($TPFZ)14.1%21.3%45.2%43.7%
Development Securities ($DSC)2.9%13.5%24.6%2.9%
 
Median (17 companies)3.1%1.8%4.9%3.1%2.9%
Safeland ($SAF)1.2%1.2%1.1%19.5%0.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Damac Real Estate Development Ltd ($DMC)163.1%127.1%31.3%41.5%
PIK Group OJSC ($PIK)21.2%25.6%13.5%25.3%
Hml Hldgs ($HMLH)8.2%9.9%12.5%12.5%11.3%
Etalon Group Ltd ($ETLN)12.1%14.4%14.3%10.2%
Farglory Land Development Co Ltd ($FLDS)9.7%13.0%7.7%9.5%
 
Median (17 companies)4.2%3.0%3.0%4.8%5.1%
Safeland ($SAF)-1.3%-1.1%3.7%31.2%22.5%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Arricano Real Estate ($ARO)11.3x43.0x
Plaza Centers Nv ($PLAZ)17.9x41.9x25.4x
London & Associated Properties ($LAS)40.8x11.1x13.0x20.2x
Hagl JSC ($HAG)13.4x10.5x14.2x14.8x
Panther Securities ($PNS)13.0x10.6x11.8x9.7x
 
Median (13 companies)8.2x10.5x10.0x4.5x5.7x
Safeland ($SAF)10.1x1.2x1.3x