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Newmark Security Net Income dropped on 42.7% in 2016 and Revenue decreased on 4.5%

17 Aug 2016 • About Newmark Security ($NWT) • By InTwits

Newmark Security reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Newmark Security has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.3%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 1.9%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 0.25 in FY2016, 0.57 in FY2015, 0.54 in FY2014, 0.49 in FY2013, 0.20 in FY2012
  • The company has business model with low profitability: ROIC is at 7.9%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Newmark Security ($NWT) key annual financial indicators

mln. £201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue13.09418.31619.17122.85421.823-4.5%
Gross Profit5.2687.3957.4309.7129.098-6.3%
SG&A6.4467.4447.9006.1%
EBITDA1.0733.3843.7123.4942.357-32.5%
Net Income0.1770.1400.8572.1431.227-42.7%
Balance Sheet
Cash2.1001.1281.4414.2024.2992.3%
Short Term Debt2.1470.2940.1960.1430.099-30.8%
Long Term Debt0.1130.1840.1240.1130.064-43.4%
Cash flow
Capex0.1360.2490.3240.2880.205-28.8%
Ratios
Revenue growth3.5%39.9%4.7%19.2%-4.5%
EBITDA growth-23.8%215.4%9.7%-5.9%-32.5%
Gross Margin40.2%40.4%38.8%42.5%41.7%-0.8%
EBITDA Margin8.2%18.5%19.4%15.3%10.8%-4.5%
Net Income Margin1.4%0.8%4.5%9.4%5.6%-3.8%
SG&A, % of revenue33.6%32.6%36.2%3.6%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.0%1.4%1.7%1.3%0.9%-0.3%
ROIC1.2%1.6%15.2%16.9%7.9%-9.0%
ROE1.6%1.3%7.6%17.0%8.8%-8.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.1x-0.2x-0.3x-1.1x-1.8x-0.6x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 4.5% in FY2016. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 3.7 pp from 8.0% to 11.7% in FY2016.

Gross Margin decreased slightly on 0.81 pp from 42.5% to 41.7% in FY2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 3.6 pp from 32.6% to 36.2% in FY2016.

Net Income marign decreased on 3.8 pp from 9.4% to 5.6% in FY2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 0.94% in FY2016. Newmark Security's CAPEX/Revenue showed almost no change from FY2013 to FY2016. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 1.3%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (7.93%) and ROE (8.77%). ROIC decreased on 9.0 pp from 16.9% to 7.9% in FY2016. ROE decreased on 8.3 pp from 17.0% to 8.8% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -1.8x Net Debt / EBITDA and 0.1x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.6x from -1.1x to -1.8x in FY2016. Debt dropped on 36.3% in FY2016 while cash increased on 2.3% in FY2016.

Valuation


The company's trades at EV/EBITDA 2.0x and P/E 7.2x while industy averages are 15.6x and 19.1x. The company's EV/(EBITDA-CAPEX) is 2.2x with the industry average at 19.0x.

Appendix 1: Peers in Support Services


Below you can find Newmark Security benchmarking vs. other companies in Support Services industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Camco Clean Energy ($CCE)88.0%-54.7%99.4%
Optimal Payments ($OPAY)39.9%41.5%44.0%68.1%
Inspired Energy ($INSE)83.8%44.8%42.2%40.2%
21St Century Technology ($C21)0.1%-22.8%-16.6%35.5%
Ibex Global Solutions ($IBEX)7.4%35.7%30.0%29.8%
 
Median (55 companies)4.9%6.9%5.0%6.6%0.9%
Newmark Security ($NWT)39.9%4.7%19.2%-4.5%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Inspired Energy ($INSE)94.6%86.8%78.7%76.2%
Ienergizer Ltd ($IBPO)56.2%78.4%76.8%72.7%71.3%
Grafenia ($GRA)53.4%54.3%56.1%70.8%66.3%
Vianet Group ($VNET)53.3%51.3%58.8%69.2%70.1%
Prime People ($PRP)63.4%58.3%57.7%61.4%59.2%
 
Median (49 companies)28.2%28.5%29.2%28.4%28.3%
Newmark Security ($NWT)40.2%40.4%38.8%42.5%41.7%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
21St Century Technology ($C21)13.4%-0.2%36.0%44.8%
Northgate ($67GX)41.2%40.4%40.6%39.4%38.3%
Inspired Energy ($INSE)46.2%48.5%1.5%35.4%
Vianet Group ($VNET)18.6%17.3%19.7%27.1%22.1%
Vp ($VP.)23.9%24.5%24.2%26.2%28.4%
 
Median (55 companies)6.7%6.3%6.8%6.9%9.6%
Newmark Security ($NWT)8.2%18.5%19.4%15.3%10.8%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Vp ($VP.)21.4%17.7%21.6%25.7%24.1%
Sagentia Group ($SAG)1.9%1.4%1.5%25.2%
Nature Group ($NGR)14.3%7.2%5.6%22.9%
Augean ($AUG)9.8%15.9%12.3%12.3%
Falkland Islands Hldgs ($FKL)3.7%6.8%12.9%11.9%4.8%
 
Median (55 companies)1.1%1.1%1.0%1.0%1.2%
Newmark Security ($NWT)1.0%1.4%1.7%1.3%0.9%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
21St Century Technology ($C21)20.3%-2.9%45.6%111.0%
Inspired Energy ($INSE)63.9%65.5%-7.5%28.0%
Petards Group ($PEG)35.5%-78.0%24.7%23.9%
Servoca ($SVCA)1.0%7.8%14.9%22.3%
Rtc Group ($RTC)14.6%17.6%19.9%22.2%
 
Median (55 companies)9.9%7.9%9.3%10.2%8.6%
Newmark Security ($NWT)1.2%1.6%15.2%16.9%7.9%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Redhall Group ($RHL)22.8x5.8x6.6x16.8x
Mitsubishi Corp ($MBC)9.9x15.9x14.3x12.5x25.0x
Ienergizer Ltd ($IBPO)6.3x2.8x3.0x4.0x2.4x
Ceps ($CEPS)3.0x6.6x3.8x
Kellan Group(The ($KLN)6.5x3.6x
 
Median (51 companies)0.8x0.7x0.6x0.4x1.1x
Newmark Security ($NWT)0.1x-0.2x-0.3x-1.1x-1.8x