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Grafenia Net Income dropped on 92.5% in 2016 and Revenue decreased on 2.3%

08 Jun 2016 • About Grafenia ($GRA) • By InTwits

Grafenia reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Grafenia is a company in decline: FY2016 revenue growth was -2.3%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -8.7%
  • Grafenia has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.8%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 2.1%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 0.44 in FY2016, 0.17 in FY2015, 0.21 in FY2014, 0.30 in FY2013, 0.18 in FY2012
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -4.0%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Grafenia ($GRA) key annual financial indicators

mln. £201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue21.76820.66419.44311.02410.766-2.3%
Gross Profit11.63411.21110.9047.8057.135-8.6%
EBITDA3.4022.8092.6502.1781.213-44.3%
Net Income1.1000.8050.8630.8480.064-92.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash1.8741.4171.4011.2770.686-46.3%
Short Term Debt0.0800.0230.0000.0000.066
Long Term Debt0.0230.0000.0000.0000.264
Cash flow
Capex0.1830.3030.2140.1720.438154.7%
Ratios
Revenue growth27.9%-5.1%-5.9%-43.3%-2.3%
EBITDA growth18.3%-17.4%-5.7%-17.8%-44.3%
Gross Margin53.4%54.3%56.1%70.8%66.3%-4.5%
EBITDA Margin15.6%13.6%13.6%19.8%11.3%-8.5%
Net Income Margin5.1%3.9%4.4%7.7%0.6%-7.1%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.8%1.5%1.1%1.6%4.1%2.5%
ROIC17.2%17.3%13.4%8.3%-4.0%-12.3%
ROE17.2%13.2%14.7%14.4%1.1%-13.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA-0.5x-0.5x-0.5x-0.6x-0.3x0.3x

Revenue and profitability


Grafenia's Revenue decreased on 2.3% in FY2016. Revenue decline was worsened by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 8.5 pp from 19.8% to 11.3% in FY2016.

Gross Margin decreased on 4.5 pp from 70.8% to 66.3% in FY2016.

Net Income marign decreased on 7.1 pp from 7.7% to 0.59% in FY2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In FY2016 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 4.1%. The company showed CAPEX/Revenue growth of 2.6 pp from 1.5% in FY2013 to 4.1% in FY2016. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 2.2%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-4.00%) and low but positive ROE (1.14%). ROIC dropped on 12.3 pp from 8.3% to -4.0% in FY2016. ROE dropped on 13.3 pp from 14.4% to 1.1% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -0.3x Net Debt / EBITDA and 0.3x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 0.3x from -0.6x to -0.3x in FY2016. Debt surged while cash dropped on 46.3% in FY2016.

Appendix 1: Peers in Support Services


Below we provide Grafenia benchmarking against other companies in Support Services industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Camco Clean Energy ($CCE)88.0%-54.7%99.4%
Optimal Payments ($OPAY)39.9%41.5%44.0%68.1%
Inspired Energy ($INSE)83.8%44.8%42.2%40.2%
21St Century Technology ($C21)0.1%-22.8%-16.6%35.5%
Ibex Global Solutions ($IBEX)7.4%35.7%30.0%29.8%
 
Median (54 companies)5.9%8.0%5.0%6.7%1.7%
Grafenia ($GRA)-5.1%-5.9%-43.3%-2.3%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Inspired Energy ($INSE)94.6%86.8%78.7%76.2%
Ienergizer Ltd ($IBPO)56.2%78.4%76.8%72.7%
Vianet Group ($VNET)53.3%51.3%58.8%69.2%70.1%
Prime People ($PRP)63.4%58.3%57.7%61.4%
Murgitroyd Group ($MUR)58.4%61.4%57.6%55.4%
 
Median (48 companies)28.2%28.5%29.2%28.6%26.3%
Grafenia ($GRA)53.4%54.3%56.1%70.8%66.3%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
21St Century Technology ($C21)13.4%-0.2%36.0%44.8%
Northgate ($67GX)41.2%40.4%40.6%39.4%38.3%
Inspired Energy ($INSE)46.2%48.5%1.5%35.4%
Vianet Group ($VNET)18.6%17.3%19.7%27.1%22.1%
Vp ($VP.)23.9%24.5%24.2%26.2%28.4%
 
Median (54 companies)6.7%6.3%6.8%7.2%7.3%
Grafenia ($GRA)15.6%13.6%13.6%19.8%11.3%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Vp ($VP.)21.4%17.7%21.6%25.7%24.1%
Sagentia Group ($SAG)1.9%1.4%1.5%25.2%
Nature Group ($NGR)14.3%7.2%5.6%22.9%
Augean ($AUG)9.8%15.9%12.3%12.3%
Falkland Islands Hldgs ($FKL)3.7%6.8%12.9%11.9%
 
Median (54 companies)1.1%1.1%1.0%1.1%1.2%
Grafenia ($GRA)0.8%1.5%1.1%1.6%4.1%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
21St Century Technology ($C21)20.3%-2.9%45.6%111.0%
Inspired Energy ($INSE)63.9%65.5%-7.5%28.0%
Petards Group ($PEG)35.5%-78.0%24.7%23.9%
Servoca ($SVCA)1.0%7.8%14.9%22.3%
Rtc Group ($RTC)14.6%17.6%19.9%22.2%
 
Median (54 companies)9.5%7.8%9.3%10.3%10.5%
Grafenia ($GRA)17.2%17.3%13.4%8.3%-4.0%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Redhall Group ($RHL)22.8x5.8x6.6x16.8x
Mitsubishi Corp ($MBC)9.9x15.9x14.3x12.5x25.0x
Ienergizer Ltd ($IBPO)6.3x2.8x3.0x4.0x
Ceps ($CEPS)3.0x6.6x3.8x
Kellan Group(The ($KLN)6.5x3.6x
 
Median (50 companies)0.8x0.7x0.6x0.4x1.2x
Grafenia ($GRA)-0.5x-0.5x-0.5x-0.6x-0.3x