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Haike Chemical Group Ltd revenue dropped on 25.3% in 2015

31 May 2016 • About Haike Chemical Group Ltd ($HAIK) • By InTwits

Haike Chemical Group Ltd reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Haike Chemical Group Ltd is a company in decline: 2015 revenue growth was -25.3%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -39.9%
  • Haike Chemical Group Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 2.0%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 3.1%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 12.8 in 2015, 22.8 in 2014, 9.3 in 2013, 13.8 in 2012, 479 in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 1.8%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Haike Chemical Group Ltd ($HAIK) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue13,618959982973728-25.3%
Gross Profit4988711110484-18.7%
SG&A70768.9%
EBITDA474645835
Net Income-7-282-710-3274-101.2%
Balance Sheet
Cash2102861253935-10.1%
Short Term Debt3,2396,00739370380-88.6%
Long Term Debt614480000
Cash flow
Capex4791492313-43.7%
Ratios
Revenue growth46.5%-93.0%2.4%-0.8%-25.3%
EBITDA growth46.1%-86.5%-9.0%
Gross Margin3.7%9.0%11.3%10.7%11.6%0.9%
EBITDA Margin3.5%6.7%5.9%0.0%4.8%4.8%
Net Income Margin-0.1%-29.4%-72.3%-33.6%0.6%34.1%
SG&A, % of revenue7.2%10.4%3.3%
CAPEX, % of revenue3.5%1.4%1.0%2.3%1.8%-0.6%
ROIC7.7%0.7%1.0%31.4%1.8%-29.6%
ROE-4.3%3.8%3.8%
Net Debt/EBITDA7.7x97.2x4.6x1.3x1.3x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 25.3% in 2015.

Gross Margin increased slightly on 0.93 pp from 10.7% to 11.6% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 3.3 pp from 7.2% to 10.4% in 2015.

Net Income marign surged on 34.1 pp from -33.6% to 0.56% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


Haike Chemical Group Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue was 1.8% in 2015. CAPEX/Revenue showed almost no change from 2012 to 2015. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.7%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (1.80%) and ROE (3.83%). ROIC dropped on 29.6 pp from 31.4% to 1.8% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 1.3x and Debt / EBITDA is 2.3x. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped1.3x from to 1.3x in 2015. Debt dropped on 88.6% in 2015 while cash dropped on 10.1% in 2015.

Valuation


The company's trades at EV/EBITDA 1.4x and P/E 1.1x while industy averages are 10.5x and 26.1x. Haike Chemical Group Ltd's EV/(EBITDA-CAPEX) is 2.2x with the industry average at 4.7x.

Appendix 1: Peers in Oil & Gas Producers


Below we provide Haike Chemical Group Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Oil & Gas Producers industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Cadogan Petroleum ($CAD)-46.1%0.3%764.9%131.2%
Eland Oil & Gas ($ELA)54.8%
Zoltav Resources Inc ($ZOL)40.6%
Novatek OAO ($NVTK)19.8%41.3%20.0%32.9%
AO Tatneft ($ATAD)2.5%4.7%16.0%
 
Median (34 companies)-11.6%17.1%4.3%0.5%-18.6%
Haike Chemical Group Ltd ($HAIK)-93.0%2.4%-0.8%-25.3%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Bankers Petroleum Ltd ($BNK)77.9%77.5%81.1%80.8%72.2%
Serica Energy ($SQZ)5.4%67.0%
Oil & Gas Development Co ($OGDC)66.0%69.9%70.9%68.5%62.7%
Caza Oil & Gas Inc ($CAZA)3.0%0.1%30.5%40.8%44.8%
Ithaca Energy Inc ($IAE)26.3%22.5%23.4%-2.9%39.5%
 
Median (19 companies)17.5%18.3%21.7%17.4%11.3%
Haike Chemical Group Ltd ($HAIK)3.7%9.0%11.3%10.7%11.6%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Great Eastern Energy Corp ($GEEC)48.7%61.2%64.1%70.4%66.5%
Oil & Gas Development Co ($OGDC)67.6%73.7%65.9%69.3%62.4%
Serica Energy ($SQZ)39.9%61.3%
Caza Oil & Gas Inc ($CAZA)-79.5%-50.7%-3.0%47.7%49.8%
Bg Group ($BG.)52.4%46.6%34.3%5.4%39.0%
 
Median (35 companies)11.8%17.2%20.6%15.9%11.5%
Haike Chemical Group Ltd ($HAIK)3.5%6.7%5.9%4.8%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
President Energy ($PPC)142.6%51.5%24.6%10.4%142.7%
Ruspetro ($RPO)83.5%139.8%55.2%77.2%80.3%
Parkmead Group(The) ($PMG)2.9%6.4%85.4%39.8%67.4%
Bankers Petroleum Ltd ($BNK)88.0%64.1%50.0%58.7%47.3%
Volga Gas ($VGAS)2.7%14.0%45.5%
 
Median (35 companies)14.6%17.7%24.6%16.5%16.6%
Haike Chemical Group Ltd ($HAIK)3.5%1.4%1.0%2.3%1.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri A.S. ($TPRD)28.2%13.6%5.8%5.3%25.4%
Oil & Gas Development Co ($OGDC)41.2%46.7%40.4%39.7%24.3%
AO Tatneft ($ATAD)19.2%19.1%17.8%19.7%
Novatek OAO ($NVTK)47.4%21.7%29.0%21.2%19.4%
Serica Energy ($SQZ)-5.7%-6.2%-5.1%-5.5%19.4%
 
Median (35 companies)5.4%5.8%6.4%5.2%0.8%
Haike Chemical Group Ltd ($HAIK)7.7%0.7%1.0%31.4%1.8%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Jubilant Energy N.V. ($JUB)77.9x38.8x44.6x192.7x
Ruspetro ($RPO)369.1x34.8x27.9x116.8x
Iofina ($IOF)-5,718.9x32.8x
Edge Resources Inc ($EDG)8.0x7.6x
BP ($BP.A)0.7x1.1x0.6x1.3x4.0x
 
Median (26 companies)0.5x0.4x0.7x1.3x1.7x
Haike Chemical Group Ltd ($HAIK)7.7x97.2x4.6x1.3x