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Toyota Motor Corp reports 7.7% EBITDA growth and 4.3% Revenue growth

11 May 2016 • About Toyota Motor Corp ($TYT) • By InTwits

Toyota Motor Corp reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Toyota Motor Corp has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 4.1%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 2.9%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 2,324,112 in 2016, 2,560,244 in 2015, 3,505,549 in 2014, 6,569,613 in 2013, 7,054,543 in 2012
  • The company has business model with low profitability: ROIC is at 7.3%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Toyota Motor Corp ($TYT) key annual financial indicators

mln. JPY201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue18,583,65322,064,19225,691,91127,234,52128,403,1184.3%
Gross Profit2,195,0893,423,1974,890,7725,392,8455,797,6537.5%
SG&A1,059,6561,294,8551,688,1431,637,7341,888,01015.3%
EBITDA1,423,4572,425,9973,542,9654,159,6394,479,8087.7%
Net Income283,559962,1631,823,1202,173,3402,312,6906.4%
Balance Sheet
Cash1,679,2001,718,2972,041,1702,284,5572,939,42828.7%
Short Term Debt5,963,2696,793,9567,780,4838,963,4928,521,088-4.9%
Long Term Debt6,042,2777,337,8248,546,91010,014,3959,772,065-2.4%
Cash flow
Capex723,537854,561970,0211,146,3181,282,54511.9%
Ratios
Revenue growth-2.2%18.7%16.4%6.0%4.3%
EBITDA growth-13.4%70.4%46.0%17.4%7.7%
Gross Margin11.8%15.5%19.0%19.8%20.4%0.6%
EBITDA Margin7.7%11.0%13.8%15.3%15.8%0.5%
Net Income Margin1.5%4.4%7.1%8.0%8.1%0.2%
SG&A, % of revenue5.7%5.9%6.6%6.0%6.6%0.6%
CAPEX, % of revenue3.9%3.9%3.8%4.2%4.5%0.3%
ROIC1.5%5.0%7.3%7.5%7.3%-0.2%
ROE2.7%8.5%13.7%13.9%13.8%-0.1%
Net Debt/EBITDA7.3x5.1x4.0x4.0x3.4x-0.6x

Revenue and profitability


Toyota Motor Corp's Revenue increased on 4.3% in FY2016. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.8 pp from 9.7% to 11.4% in 2016.

Gross Margin increased slightly on 0.61 pp from 19.8% to 20.4% in FY2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 0.63 pp from 6.0% to 6.6% in FY2016.

Net Income marign showed almost no change in FY2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In FY2016 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 4.5%. CAPEX/Revenue increased slightly on 0.64 pp from 3.9% in FY2013 to 4.5% in FY2016. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 4.2%.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROE (13.76%) while ROIC is low (7.31%). ROIC showed almost no change in FY2016. ROE showed almost no change in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 3.4x Net Debt / EBITDA and 4.1x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.6x from 4.0x to 3.4x in FY2016. Debt decreased on 3.6% in FY2016 while cash jumped on 28.7% in FY2016.

Valuation


Toyota Motor Corp's trades at EV/EBITDA 3.4x and P/E 0.0x while industy averages are 15.6x and 19.1x. Toyota Motor Corp's EV/(EBITDA-CAPEX) is 4.8x with the industry average at 19.0x.

Appendix 1: Peers in Automobiles & Parts


Below we provide Toyota Motor Corp benchmarking against other companies in Automobiles & Parts industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top  FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Hyundai Motor Co ($HYUD)8.6%3.4%2.2%3.0%
Kumho Tire Co Inc ($KHTC)4.0%-9.1%-7.0%-11.6%
 
Median (2 companies)6.3%-2.9%-2.4%-4.3%
Toyota Motor Corp ($TYT)18.7%16.4%6.0%4.3%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top  FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Kumho Tire Co Inc ($KHTC)25.3%26.5%29.4%25.5%
Hyundai Motor Co ($HYUD)23.1%22.3%21.4%19.9%
 
Median (2 companies)24.2%24.4%25.4%22.7%
Toyota Motor Corp ($TYT)11.8%15.5%19.0%19.8%20.4%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top  FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Kumho Tire Co Inc ($KHTC)13.7%14.4%15.8%11.2%
Hyundai Motor Co ($HYUD)13.0%12.4%11.3%10.0%
 
Median (2 companies)13.3%13.4%13.6%10.6%
Toyota Motor Corp ($TYT)7.7%11.0%13.8%15.3%15.8%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top  FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Kumho Tire Co Inc ($KHTC)4.7%6.6%8.2%22.2%
Hyundai Motor Co ($HYUD)3.6%3.6%3.8%8.9%
 
Median (2 companies)4.1%5.1%6.0%15.5%
Toyota Motor Corp ($TYT)3.9%3.9%3.8%4.2%4.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top  FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Hyundai Motor Co ($HYUD)9.3%8.2%6.6%4.9%
Kumho Tire Co Inc ($KHTC)10.2%9.3%9.7%3.6%
 
Median (2 companies)9.7%8.7%8.2%4.3%
Toyota Motor Corp ($TYT)1.5%5.0%7.3%7.5%7.3%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top  FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Kumho Tire Co Inc ($KHTC)5.0x4.6x4.1x7.4x
Hyundai Motor Co ($HYUD)3.5x3.8x4.7x6.3x
 
Median (2 companies)4.2x4.2x4.4x6.9x
Toyota Motor Corp ($TYT)7.3x5.1x4.0x4.0x3.4x