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Crawshaw Group reports 65.5% EBITDA decline while 50.5% Revenue growth

27 Apr 2016 • About Crawshaw Group ($CRAW) • By InTwits

Crawshaw Group reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Crawshaw Group doesn't have a profitable business model yet: FY2016 ROIC is -1.9%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 1.5% in FY2016, 6.4% in FY2015, 6.5% in FY2014, 3.4% in FY2013, 3.7% in FY2012
  • Crawshaw Group has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 3.1%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 2.3%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 2.3 in FY2016, 1.6 in FY2015, 0.25 in FY2014, 0.19 in FY2013, 0.20 in FY2012
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -1.9%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Crawshaw Group ($CRAW) key annual financial indicators

mln. £201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue18.88918.77821.02024.62037.06050.5%
Gross Profit8.1748.2029.20210.92116.70453.0%
SG&A8.2329.80317.11574.6%
EBITDA0.6950.6331.3681.5730.543-65.5%
Net Income0.0150.1780.8210.895-0.269-130.1%
Balance Sheet
Cash0.6030.8511.4289.0904.880-46.3%
Short Term Debt0.0000.8400.1800.0000.038
Long Term Debt0.8400.0000.2700.0000.035
Cash flow
Capex0.2010.1870.2471.5592.26545.3%
Ratios
Revenue growth-0.9%-0.6%11.9%17.1%50.5%
EBITDA growth-32.0%-8.9%116.2%15.0%-65.5%
Gross Margin43.3%43.7%43.8%44.4%45.1%0.7%
EBITDA Margin3.7%3.4%6.5%6.4%1.5%-4.9%
Net Income Margin0.1%1.0%3.9%3.6%-0.7%-4.4%
SG&A, % of revenue39.2%39.8%46.2%6.4%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.1%1.0%1.2%6.3%6.1%-0.2%
ROIC1.2%2.1%8.6%7.1%-1.9%-9.0%
ROE0.1%1.8%7.9%5.8%-1.4%-7.2%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.3x-0.0x-0.7x-5.8x-8.8x-3.1x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue surged on 50.5% in FY2016. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 3.7 pp from 8.0% to 11.7% in FY2016.

Gross Margin increased slightly on 0.71 pp from 44.4% to 45.1% in FY2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 6.4 pp from 39.8% to 46.2% in FY2016.

Net Income marign decreased on 4.4 pp from 3.6% to -0.73% in FY2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


Crawshaw Group's CAPEX/Revenue was 6.1% in FY2016. Crawshaw Group's CAPEX/Revenue increased on 5.1 pp from 0.99% in FY2013 to 6.1% in FY2016. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 4.5%.To secure this fast growth Crawshaw Group made large investments to CAPEX (417% of EBITDA).

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-1.87%) and ROE (-1.36%). ROIC decreased on 9.0 pp from 7.1% to -1.9% in FY2016. ROE decreased on 7.2 pp from 5.8% to -1.4% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -8.8x Net Debt / EBITDA and 0.1x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 3.1x from -5.8x to -8.8x in FY2016. Debt jumped while cash dropped on 46.3% in FY2016.

Appendix 1: Peers in Food & Drug Retailers


Below you can find Crawshaw Group benchmarking vs. other companies in Food & Drug Retailers industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Lenta Ltd ($LNTA)22.4%31.3%34.5%30.3%
X5 Retail Group N.V ($89VS)8.0%9.0%18.5%27.6%
Magnit PJSC ($MGNT)33.5%29.4%32.3%24.4%
Total Produce ($TOT)6.4%8.5%1.1%7.8%
O'Key Group Sa ($OKEY)26.0%18.9%9.0%6.9%
 
Median (8 companies)15.2%8.7%7.6%7.4%
Crawshaw Group ($CRAW)-0.6%11.9%17.1%50.5%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Snacktime ($SNAK)56.6%51.8%55.1%53.9%
Dairy Farm International Hldgs ($DFIB)28.9%29.8%29.9%29.5%
Magnit PJSC ($MGNT)26.5%28.5%28.9%28.5%
X5 Retail Group N.V ($89VS)23.6%24.4%24.5%24.5%
O'Key Group Sa ($OKEY)23.5%23.9%24.5%23.6%
 
Median (8 companies)23.6%24.1%24.5%24.1%
Crawshaw Group ($CRAW)43.3%43.7%43.8%44.4%45.1%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Jardine Matheson Hldgs ($J36)13.1%11.6%11.8%12.8%
Lenta Ltd ($LNTA)10.7%11.2%11.0%11.1%
Magnit PJSC ($MGNT)10.3%11.0%11.3%10.9%
X5 Retail Group N.V ($89VS)6.9%7.1%7.7%7.2%
O'Key Group Sa ($OKEY)8.1%7.3%7.3%6.1%
 
Median (8 companies)7.5%7.2%7.5%6.6%
Crawshaw Group ($CRAW)3.7%3.4%6.5%6.4%1.5%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Lenta Ltd ($LNTA)13.4%16.2%17.9%12.3%
X5 Retail Group N.V ($89VS)4.6%3.8%4.5%6.4%
Magnit PJSC ($MGNT)10.5%8.6%7.3%5.7%
O'Key Group Sa ($OKEY)7.1%8.7%10.6%5.1%
Jardine Matheson Hldgs ($J36)4.9%4.4%3.5%3.6%
 
Median (8 companies)5.1%4.3%4.0%4.4%
Crawshaw Group ($CRAW)1.1%1.0%1.2%6.3%6.1%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Magnit PJSC ($MGNT)23.1%26.0%33.2%32.6%
Dairy Farm International Hldgs ($DFIB)32.8%34.6%31.1%21.6%
Lenta Ltd ($LNTA)42.9%34.0%24.5%20.3%
X5 Retail Group N.V ($89VS)3.1%13.0%14.9%15.7%
O'Key Group Sa ($OKEY)25.0%21.8%17.1%10.4%
 
Median (8 companies)16.1%17.4%16.0%13.1%
Crawshaw Group ($CRAW)1.2%2.1%8.6%7.1%-1.9%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
O'Key Group Sa ($OKEY)1.0x1.3x2.4x2.6x
X5 Retail Group N.V ($89VS)3.3x2.7x2.2x2.3x
Lenta Ltd ($LNTA)2.2x2.5x2.8x1.9x
Jardine Matheson Hldgs ($J36)1.4x1.3x1.3x1.3x
Magnit PJSC ($MGNT)1.1x1.1x0.9x0.9x
 
Median (7 companies)1.3x1.3x1.7x1.3x
Crawshaw Group ($CRAW)0.3x-0.0x-0.7x-5.8x-8.8x