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Tribal Group reports 641% EBITDA decline and 13.7% Revenue decline

16 Mar 2016 • About Tribal Group ($TRB) • By InTwits

Tribal Group reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Tribal Group doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2015 ROIC is -76.2%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: -28.1% in 2015, 4.5% in 2014, 16.1% in 2013, 13.1% in 2012, 10.3% in 2011
  • Tribal Group has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.3%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 2.2%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 2.1 in 2015, 2.6 in 2014, 2.4 in 2013, 5.1 in 2012, 4.0 in 2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -76.2%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Tribal Group ($TRB) key annual financial indicators

mln. £201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue108.2115.4125.5123.7106.7-13.7%
Gross Profit41.743.750.049.738.0-23.4%
SG&A35.832.234.352.281.656.2%
EBITDA11.115.120.35.5-30.0-640.9%
Net Income-22.49.711.6-7.9-45.5473.0%
Balance Sheet
Cash6.58.47.69.33.9-58.3%
Short Term Debt0.00.00.00.02.2
Long Term Debt22.518.312.121.034.262.7%
Cash flow
Capex0.82.21.61.31.724.8%
Ratios
Revenue growth4.0%6.6%8.7%-1.4%-13.7%
EBITDA growth24.5%35.5%34.2%-72.6%-640.9%
Gross Margin38.5%37.9%39.9%40.2%35.7%-4.5%
EBITDA Margin10.3%13.1%16.1%4.5%-28.1%-32.6%
Net Income Margin-20.7%8.4%9.2%-6.4%-42.6%-36.2%
SG&A, % of revenue33.0%27.9%27.3%42.2%76.4%34.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.8%1.9%1.2%1.1%1.6%0.5%
ROIC6.7%16.8%20.7%-5.2%-76.2%-71.0%
ROE-38.8%19.1%18.6%-12.9%-149.7%-136.8%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.4x0.7x0.2x2.1x-2.1x

Revenue and profitability


Tribal Group's Revenue dropped on 13.7% in 2015. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 32.6 pp from 4.5% to -28.1% in 2015.

Gross Margin decreased on 4.5 pp from 40.2% to 35.7% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue surged on 34.2 pp from 42.2% to 76.4% in 2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 36.2 pp from -6.4% to -42.6% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


Tribal Group's CAPEX/Revenue was 1.6% in 2015. The company showed almost no change in CAPEX/Revenue from 2012 to 2015. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 1.3%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-76.16%) and ROE (-149.71%). ROIC dropped on 71.0 pp from -5.2% to -76.2% in 2015. ROE dropped on 137 pp from -12.9% to -150% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -0.7x Net Debt / EBITDA and Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 2.1x from 2.1x to in 2015. Debt surged on 73.0% in 2015 while cash dropped on 58.3% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Support Services


Below you can find Tribal Group benchmarking vs. other companies in Support Services industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Petards Group ($PEG)-25.7%-30.6%115.1%-2.9%
Optimal Payments ($OPAY)39.9%41.5%44.0%68.1%
1Spatial ($SPA)98.7%131.4%42.7%13.5%
Inspired Energy ($INSE)32.9%83.8%44.8%42.2%
Interquest Group ($ITQ)-6.8%2.0%31.2%5.3%
 
Median (54 companies)9.8%6.9%5.6%4.8%6.7%
Tribal Group ($TRB)6.6%8.7%-1.4%-13.7%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Inspired Energy ($INSE)94.6%86.8%78.7%
Ienergizer Ltd ($IBPO)48.1%56.2%78.4%76.8%72.7%
Vianet Group ($VNET)53.1%53.3%51.3%58.8%69.2%
Prime People ($PRP)57.6%63.4%58.3%57.7%61.4%
Murgitroyd Group ($MUR)59.9%58.4%61.4%57.6%55.4%
 
Median (48 companies)28.0%27.5%27.5%29.1%28.2%
Tribal Group ($TRB)38.5%37.9%39.9%40.2%35.7%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Northgate ($67GX)41.2%40.4%40.6%39.4%
21St Century Technology ($C21)11.4%13.4%-0.2%36.0%
Vp ($VP.)24.4%23.9%24.5%24.2%26.2%
Ienergizer Ltd ($IBPO)34.5%27.6%27.8%23.6%17.1%
Capital Drilling Ltd ($CAPD)26.3%24.1%15.7%21.7%
 
Median (54 companies)6.6%6.8%6.4%6.9%7.9%
Tribal Group ($TRB)10.3%13.1%16.1%4.5%-28.1%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Vp ($VP.)15.5%21.4%17.7%21.6%25.7%
Norish ($NSH)5.0%10.2%1.4%15.4%
Capital Drilling Ltd ($CAPD)20.5%18.9%4.9%13.9%
Falkland Islands Hldgs ($FKL)2.6%3.7%6.8%12.9%11.9%
Augean ($AUG)11.2%9.8%15.9%12.3%
 
Median (54 companies)0.9%1.0%1.0%1.0%1.0%
Tribal Group ($TRB)0.8%1.9%1.2%1.1%1.6%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
21St Century Technology ($C21)16.2%20.3%-2.9%45.6%
Petards Group ($PEG)25.6%35.5%-78.0%24.7%23.9%
Driver Group ($DRV)6.5%18.7%27.9%24.0%3.2%
Optimal Payments ($OPAY)-2.9%7.1%27.7%23.8%8.8%
Premier Farnell ($PFLA)33.2%21.0%23.2%18.5%
 
Median (54 companies)9.9%9.7%7.9%10.0%10.7%
Tribal Group ($TRB)6.7%16.8%20.7%-5.2%-76.2%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Inspired Energy ($INSE)-0.8x0.8x0.6x19.4x
Mitsubishi Corp ($MBC)7.2x9.9x15.9x14.3x12.5x
Nature Group ($NGR)-0.6x-0.5x-0.4x6.6x
Ceps ($CEPS)4.1x3.0x6.6x
Redhall Group ($RHL)22.8x5.8x6.6x16.8x
 
Median (52 companies)0.6x0.8x0.7x0.6x0.9x
Tribal Group ($TRB)1.4x0.7x0.2x2.1x