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French Connection Group reports 486% EBITDA decline and 2.0 pp EBITDA Margin decline from 0.39% to -1.6%

15 Mar 2016 • About French Connection Group ($FCCN) • By InTwits

French Connection Group reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • French Connection Group is a company in decline: FY2016 revenue growth was -8.0%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -5.1%
  • The company operates at negative EBITDA Margin: -1.6%
  • French Connection Group motivates its personel by high Stock Based Compensation (SBC): average SBC/Revenue for FY2012-FY2016 was 0.0%. On average EBITDA Margin was -0.8% for the sames years0
  • French Connection Group has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 0.6%.
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -8.4%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 5.4x while industry average is -0.3x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

French Connection Group ($FCCN) key annual financial indicators

mln. £201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue215.4197.3189.4178.5164.2-8.0%
Gross Profit103.694.690.283.476.0-8.9%
SG&A108.8108.9101.490.887.6-3.5%
EBITDA6.1-8.0-3.20.7-2.7-485.7%
Net Income5.3-10.3-6.0-1.5-3.3120.0%
Balance Sheet
Cash34.228.528.223.214.0-39.7%
Short Term Debt0.00.00.00.00.0
Long Term Debt0.00.00.00.00.0
Cash flow
Capex1.61.90.81.10.8-27.3%
Ratios
Revenue growth0.7%-8.4%-4.0%-5.8%-8.0%
EBITDA growth-44.0%-231.1%-60.0%-121.9%-485.7%
Gross Margin48.1%47.9%47.6%46.7%46.3%-0.4%
EBITDA Margin2.8%-4.1%-1.7%0.4%-1.6%-2.0%
Net Income Margin2.5%-5.2%-3.2%-0.8%-2.0%-1.2%
SG&A, % of revenue50.5%55.2%53.5%50.9%53.3%2.5%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.7%1.0%0.4%0.6%0.5%-0.1%
ROIC4.7%-16.9%-9.1%-1.7%-8.4%-6.7%
ROE7.3%-15.1%-10.1%-2.7%-6.0%-3.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA-5.6x-33.1x33.1x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 8.0% in FY2016. Revenue decline was worsened by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 2.0 pp from 0.39% to -1.6% in FY2016.

Gross Margin showed almost no change in FY2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased on 2.5 pp from 50.9% to 53.3% in FY2016.

Net Income marign decreased slightly on 1.2 pp from -0.84% to -2.0% in FY2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 0.49% in FY2016. French Connection Group showed almost no change in CAPEX/Revenue from FY2013 to FY2016. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 0.51%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-8.44%) and ROE (-6.00%). ROIC decreased on 6.7 pp from -1.7% to -8.4% in FY2016. ROE decreased on 3.3 pp from -2.7% to -6% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


The company has no debt. Cash dropped on 39.7% in FY2016.

Appendix 1: Peers in General Retailers


Below you can find French Connection Group benchmarking vs. other companies in General Retailers industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Just Eat ($JE.)57.7%51.7%
Signet Jewelers Ltd ($SIG)9.1%6.2%5.7%36.3%
AO World ($AO.)27.6%31.3%40.0%23.8%
Caffyns ($78GL)-3.1%17.1%8.9%10.5%
Entu (Uk) Ltd ($ENTU)36.5%4.1%-3.4%7.3%
 
Median (8 companies)10.8%12.6%11.4%8.1%31.1%
French Connection Group ($FCCN)-8.4%-4.0%-5.8%-8.0%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Just Eat ($JE.)89.7%90.2%90.6%
Aa ($AA.)60.4%63.9%64.7%64.8%
Stanley Gibbons Group ($SGI)43.7%43.2%51.5%
Signet Jewelers Ltd ($SIG)38.3%38.6%37.5%36.2%
Entu (Uk) Ltd ($ENTU)32.4%36.4%31.6%32.5%
 
Median (9 companies)32.4%30.7%31.6%32.5%51.2%
French Connection Group ($FCCN)48.1%47.9%47.6%46.7%46.3%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Aa ($AA.)35.5%37.0%42.2%37.9%
Just Eat ($JE.)16.3%21.0%25.8%
Signet Jewelers Ltd ($SIG)16.0%16.6%16.2%12.7%
Entu (Uk) Ltd ($ENTU)7.4%6.7%10.3%8.6%
Stanley Gibbons Group ($SGI)17.3%13.9%8.6%
 
Median (9 companies)8.8%6.7%7.4%8.6%14.0%
French Connection Group ($FCCN)2.8%-4.1%-1.7%0.4%-1.6%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Signet Jewelers Ltd ($SIG)2.6%3.4%3.6%3.8%
Aa ($AA.)2.7%0.7%1.0%3.8%
Lotte Shopping Co Ltd ($LOTS)7.1%6.5%6.6%3.8%
Stanley Gibbons Group ($SGI)1.0%1.1%2.4%
Just Eat ($JE.)3.4%2.3%2.5%
 
Median (9 companies)1.6%0.7%3.4%2.3%2.1%
French Connection Group ($FCCN)0.7%1.0%0.4%0.6%0.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Entu (Uk) Ltd ($ENTU)144.6%68.6%134.8%461.3%
Caffyns ($78GL)60.8%15.4%11.1%37.3%10.4%
Aa ($AA.)138.0%134.4%61.1%34.9%
Signet Jewelers Ltd ($SIG)21.6%21.5%20.4%15.5%
Just Eat ($JE.)16.4%9.1%9.8%
 
Median (9 companies)21.4%18.4%10.5%9.1%10.1%
French Connection Group ($FCCN)4.7%-16.9%-9.1%-1.7%-8.4%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Aa ($AA.)0.6x-0.0x7.7x7.9x
Lotte Shopping Co Ltd ($LOTS)5.1x4.9x5.2x6.7x
Stanley Gibbons Group ($SGI)-1.1x-3.0x2.3x
Signet Jewelers Ltd ($SIG)-0.8x-0.5x-0.3x1.7x
Caffyns ($78GL)0.5x2.0x3.0x0.7x2.2x
 
Median (8 companies)-0.8x-0.2x-0.3x1.2x0.4x
French Connection Group ($FCCN)-5.6x-33.1x