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Guaranty Trust Bank reports 23.0% CAPEX growth and 8.4% Revenue growth

14 Mar 2016 • About Guaranty Trust Bank ($GRTB) • By InTwits

Guaranty Trust Bank reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Guaranty Trust Bank is a growth stock: 2015 revenue growth was 8.4%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 14.4% at 2015 ROIC 16.0%
  • Guaranty Trust Bank has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 7.5%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 3.1%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 34,936 in FY2015, 43,361 in FY2014, 42,702 in FY2013, 53,507 in FY2012, 92,321 in FY2011
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is at 16.0%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 1.5x while industry average is
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Guaranty Trust Bank ($GRTB) key annual financial indicators

mln. NGN201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue182,409221,940242,665278,443301,7628.4%
Net Income51,20486,95889,59993,73798,6785.3%
Balance Sheet
Cash368,282322,989307,396246,940254,6333.1%
Short Term Debt95,52735,76940,767122,960191,38055.6%
Long Term Debt180,699167,580223,074167,321180,1177.6%
Cash flow
Capex18,24714,92114,82018,83323,15523.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth18.5%21.7%9.3%14.7%8.4%
Net Income Margin28.1%39.2%36.9%33.7%32.7%-1.0%
CAPEX, % of revenue10.0%6.7%6.1%6.8%7.7%0.9%
ROIC14.2%19.8%18.9%17.8%16.0%-1.8%
ROE23.6%34.1%29.4%27.3%25.8%-1.6%

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue increased on 8.4% in 2015.

Net Income marign decreased slightly on 0.96 pp from 33.7% to 32.7% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 7.7%. CAPEX/Revenue increased slightly on 0.95 pp from 6.7% in 2012 to 7.7% in 2015. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 6.8%.

Return on investment


The company operates at high and attractive ROE (25.76%) while ROIC is a bit lower (16.01%). ROIC decreased slightly on 1.8 pp from 17.8% to 16.0% in 2015. ROE decreased slightly on 1.6 pp from 27.3% to 25.8% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt jumped on 28.0% in 2015 while cash increased on 3.1% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Banks


Below you can find Guaranty Trust Bank benchmarking vs. other companies in Banks industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Kazkommertsbank JSC ($KKB)6.0%16.3%41.4%
Commercial Intl Bank(Egypt)S.A.E ($CBKD)37.6%23.7%18.9%26.8%
Yapi Ve Kredi Bankasi As ($YKBD)14.9%4.8%19.7%25.3%
Mcb Bank Ltd ($MCBS)3.0%-1.7%19.4%22.4%
Halyk Savings Bank Of Kazakhstn JSC ($HSBK)3.7%9.4%16.3%19.5%
 
Median (37 companies)8.1%9.3%4.2%11.5%3.7%
Guaranty Trust Bank ($GRTB)21.7%9.3%14.7%8.4%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Lloyds Banking Group ($LLPC)8.0%8.9%13.1%13.6%
Banco Santander Sa ($BNC)2.2%2.7%2.6%8.9%10.2%
Diamond Bank ($DBPA)8.2%7.9%6.0%6.7%
Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria Sa ($BVA)4.1%5.1%3.8%4.5%6.0%
Royal Bank Of Scotland Group ($RBS)5.8%2.7%4.1%4.6%
 
Median (35 companies)2.3%2.2%2.7%2.1%2.4%
Guaranty Trust Bank ($GRTB)10.0%6.7%6.1%6.8%7.7%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Commercial Intl Bank(Egypt)S.A.E ($CBKD)16.3%21.7%26.9%30.1%30.3%
Mcb Bank Ltd ($MCBS)18.7%15.0%14.4%15.8%14.9%
United Bank Ltd ($UBLS)12.6%11.7%11.8%13.8%12.6%
Halyk Savings Bank Of Kazakhstn JSC ($HSBK)5.1%8.8%9.0%12.9%10.8%
Axis Bank ($AXB)10.2%9.6%8.9%9.1%8.8%
 
Median (37 companies)6.9%6.0%5.3%4.4%3.3%
Guaranty Trust Bank ($GRTB)14.2%19.8%18.9%17.8%16.0%