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Mandarin Oriental International reports 70.1% CAPEX growth while 10.7% Revenue decline

03 Mar 2016 • About Mandarin Oriental International ($MDOB) • By InTwits

Mandarin Oriental International reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is expanding: 26.2% in 2015 vs. 24.0% in 2014 vs. 20.9% in 2011
  • Mandarin Oriental International has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 7.2%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 3.1%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 5.7 in 2015, 3.3 in 2014, 13.6 in 2013, 6.5 in 2012, 39.6 in 2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 6.1%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Mandarin Oriental International ($MDOB) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue614.2648.3668.6679.9607.3-10.7%
Gross Profit236.9233.1260.2269.9245.2-9.2%
SG&A149.2148.4149.1137.9-7.5%
EBITDA128.1126.4149.8163.2158.9-2.6%
Net Income67.570.796.397.089.3-7.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash470.1453.7316.4324.6308.6-4.9%
Short Term Debt4.09.7556.2217.04.2-98.1%
Long Term Debt578.5580.5238.7510.7436.2-14.6%
Cash flow
Capex62.450.535.929.450.070.1%
Ratios
Revenue growth19.7%5.6%3.1%1.7%-10.7%
EBITDA growth28.5%-1.3%18.5%8.9%-2.6%
Gross Margin38.6%36.0%38.9%39.7%40.4%0.7%
EBITDA Margin20.9%19.5%22.4%24.0%26.2%2.2%
Net Income Margin11.0%10.9%14.4%14.3%14.7%0.4%
SG&A, % of revenue23.0%22.2%21.9%22.7%0.8%
CAPEX, % of revenue10.2%7.8%5.4%4.3%8.2%3.9%
ROIC5.0%4.6%5.2%5.4%6.1%0.6%
ROE7.5%7.6%10.0%10.0%8.2%-1.8%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.9x1.1x3.2x2.5x0.8x-1.6x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 10.7% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 2.2 pp from 24.0% to 26.2% in 2015.

Gross Margin increased slightly on 0.68 pp from 39.7% to 40.4% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 0.78 pp from 21.9% to 22.7% in 2015.

Net Income marign showed almost no change in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


Mandarin Oriental International's CAPEX/Revenue was 8.2% in 2015. Mandarin Oriental International showed almost no change in CAPEX/Revenue from 2012 to 2015. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 6.0%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (6.06%) and ROE (8.18%). ROIC increased slightly on 0.64 pp from 5.4% to 6.1% in 2015. ROE decreased slightly on 1.8 pp from 10.0% to 8.2% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 0.8x Net Debt / EBITDA and 2.8x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 1.6x from 2.5x to 0.8x in 2015. Debt dropped on 39.5% in 2015 while cash decreased on 4.9% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Travel & Leisure


Below we provide Mandarin Oriental International benchmarking against other companies in Travel & Leisure industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Dalata Hotel Group ($DAL)55.4%12.0%30.4%185.4%
Action Hotels ($AHCG)19.5%12.3%5.4%26.2%
Everyman Media Group ($EMAN)23.0%23.4%26.5%22.4%
Paddy Power ($PAP)17.0%30.9%14.0%18.3%
Eclectic Bar Grp ($BAR)27.6%3.8%10.5%-1.9%
 
Median (23 companies)19.4%12.3%8.8%7.2%7.6%
Mandarin Oriental International ($MDOB)5.6%3.1%1.7%-10.7%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Paddy Power ($PAP)91.2%84.7%82.8%81.0%
Eclectic Bar Grp ($BAR)80.1%79.1%78.9%79.0%79.4%
Action Hotels ($AHCG)73.2%75.1%75.0%73.3%
Dalata Hotel Group ($DAL)61.8%61.2%62.0%62.8%61.5%
Everyman Media Group ($EMAN)59.9%57.6%59.2%58.9%
 
Median (11 companies)20.4%23.0%22.6%20.7%20.8%
Mandarin Oriental International ($MDOB)38.6%36.0%38.9%39.7%40.4%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Action Hotels ($AHCG)24.0%31.0%27.9%28.6%
Irish Continental Group ($ICGC)18.9%17.1%18.6%27.3%
Paddy Power ($PAP)33.8%25.7%23.7%24.0%
Young & Co'S Brewery ($YNGN)22.3%21.2%21.8%21.7%22.9%
Ryanair Hldgs ($RYA)21.1%22.6%21.5%20.1%25.1%
 
Median (23 companies)13.4%12.8%12.9%12.3%12.4%
Mandarin Oriental International ($MDOB)20.9%19.5%22.4%24.0%26.2%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Action Hotels ($AHCG)47.8%21.0%25.6%90.0%
Dalata Hotel Group ($DAL)2.0%0.7%6.2%26.7%12.7%
Everyman Media Group ($EMAN)0.0%0.0%36.4%25.9%
Air China ($AIRC)23.9%16.8%19.1%18.7%
Marston'S ($MARS)18.0%19.3%17.5%16.2%
 
Median (23 companies)3.4%3.7%4.8%4.6%7.4%
Mandarin Oriental International ($MDOB)10.2%7.8%5.4%4.3%8.2%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Paddy Power ($PAP)58.5%53.4%47.2%47.6%
Irish Continental Group ($ICGC)14.3%14.6%18.9%40.0%
Air Partner ($AIP)51.1%34.8%27.5%21.2%20.0%
Hanatour Service Inc ($TOUR)17.4%22.5%19.9%19.6%19.4%
Netplay Tv ($NPT)26.3%10.2%
 
Median (24 companies)7.6%6.8%7.8%4.2%5.4%
Mandarin Oriental International ($MDOB)5.0%4.6%5.2%5.4%6.1%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Marston'S ($MARS)6.5x14.0x8.2x
Meikles Ltd ($MIK)5.1x10.7x73.1x
Action Hotels ($AHCG)14.1x11.2x7.8x9.6x
Peel Hotels ($PHO)5.8x8.2x7.3x5.9x4.4x
Air China ($AIRC)4.7x4.7x6.4x5.6x
 
Median (21 companies)1.9x1.4x2.2x1.1x2.5x
Mandarin Oriental International ($MDOB)0.9x1.1x3.2x2.5x0.8x