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Ooredoo Qsc reports 3.2% revenue decline in 2015 and 1.5 pp EBITDA Margin growth from 37.6% to 39.2%

01 Mar 2016 • About Ooredoo Qsc ($ORDS) • By InTwits

Ooredoo Qsc reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Ooredoo Qsc has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 24.4%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 12.4%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 2,139 in FY2015, 2,555 in FY2014, 3,721 in FY2013, 5,075 in FY2012, 2,542 in FY2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 6.4%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 2.0x while industry average is 1.4x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Ooredoo Qsc ($ORDS) key annual financial indicators

mln. QAR201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue31,74533,47633,85133,20732,161-3.2%
SG&A8,2258,3057,757-6.6%
EBITDA14,56615,38914,36012,49212,5950.8%
Net Income2,6062,9472,5792,1342,118-0.8%
Balance Sheet
Cash21,25015,00620,30517,43718,1584.1%
Short Term Debt13,8517,3088,0587,1566,664-6.9%
Long Term Debt32,07332,01937,25435,64136,1081.3%
Cash flow
Capex6,5757,3169,2988,3918,5371.7%
Ratios
Revenue growth16.8%5.5%1.1%-1.9%-3.2%
EBITDA growth18.7%5.6%-6.7%-13.0%0.8%
EBITDA Margin45.9%46.0%42.4%37.6%39.2%1.5%
Net Income Margin8.2%8.8%7.6%6.4%6.6%0.2%
SG&A, % of revenue24.3%25.0%24.1%-0.9%
CAPEX, % of revenue20.7%21.9%27.5%25.3%26.5%1.3%
ROIC9.0%9.3%8.5%6.4%6.4%0.0%
ROE13.0%12.1%9.8%8.8%9.4%0.5%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.7x1.6x1.7x2.0x2.0x-0.1x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 3.2% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.5 pp from 37.6% to 39.2% in 2015.

SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased slightly on 0.89 pp from 25.0% to 24.1% in 2015.

Net Income marign showed almost no change in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


Ooredoo Qsc's CAPEX/Revenue was 26.5% in 2015. The company's CAPEX/Revenue increased on 4.7 pp from 21.9% in 2012 to 26.5% in 2015. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 26.4%.The company invested a big chunk of EBITDA (67.8%) to CAPEX which didn't stop revenue from falling.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (6.39%) and ROE (9.35%). ROIC showed almost no change in 2015. ROE increased slightly on 0.54 pp from 8.8% to 9.4% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 2.0x and Debt / EBITDA is 3.4x. Net Debt / EBITDA decreased on 0.1x from 2.0x to 2.0x in 2015. Debt showed almost no change in 2015 while cash increased on 4.1% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Fixed Line Telecommunications


Below you can find Ooredoo Qsc benchmarking vs. other companies in Fixed Line Telecommunications industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Syqic ($SYQ)190.6%37.6%20.5%126.5%
Alternative Networks ($AN.)-2.1%-0.4%17.5%9.2%
Telecom Egypt ($TEEG)-3.4%1.6%11.0%9.2%
Verizon Communications Inc ($VZC)4.5%4.1%5.4%3.6%
Rostelekom ($RKMD)7.4%-0.2%-1.6%2.8%
 
Median (13 companies)7.4%-2.1%-4.1%-0.8%-0.2%
Ooredoo Qsc ($ORDS)5.5%1.1%-1.9%-3.2%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Kt Corp ($KTCD)81.6%75.5%76.0%77.9%77.9%
Verizon Communications Inc ($VZC)58.6%60.1%62.8%60.7%60.1%
Telecom Egypt ($TEEG)45.0%41.4%41.9%44.2%
Syqic ($SYQ)59.6%57.3%59.9%43.6%
Alternative Networks ($AN.)38.1%39.0%39.2%41.2%41.3%
 
Median (6 companies)51.8%49.4%50.9%43.9%50.7%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
O2 Czech Republic As ($O2CZ)41.6%39.1%38.6%41.0%29.9%
Koninklijke Kpn Nv ($0O8F)39.5%35.9%34.1%39.1%33.2%
Hellenic Telecom.Organization S.A. ($OTES)33.0%32.0%28.8%35.4%31.3%
Orange Polska Sa ($OPLD)39.2%34.3%30.1%33.2%29.1%
Rostelekom ($RKMD)40.8%39.7%39.0%33.0%
 
Median (13 companies)32.2%32.0%32.0%31.7%29.5%
Ooredoo Qsc ($ORDS)45.9%46.0%42.4%37.6%39.2%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Rostelekom ($RKMD)28.0%31.7%23.6%19.3%
Telefonica Sa ($TDE)14.5%15.2%17.0%19.1%18.7%
Orange Polska Sa ($OPLD)17.5%16.6%16.9%17.6%16.9%
Hellenic Telecom.Organization S.A. ($OTES)14.2%11.7%14.8%15.4%16.9%
Verizon Communications Inc ($VZC)14.7%14.0%13.8%13.5%13.5%
 
Median (13 companies)13.2%13.5%13.7%12.9%13.7%
Ooredoo Qsc ($ORDS)20.7%21.9%27.5%25.3%26.5%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
BT Group ($BT.A)23.3%23.6%27.0%34.7%37.5%
Syqic ($SYQ)64.3%38.9%3.2%33.9%
Alternative Networks ($AN.)36.7%35.2%33.7%28.5%20.2%
Adept Telecom ($ADT)11.9%11.6%15.5%13.2%14.3%
Hellenic Telecom.Organization S.A. ($OTES)4.8%8.2%5.4%10.4%7.1%
 
Median (13 companies)11.9%11.2%9.7%8.7%10.7%
Ooredoo Qsc ($ORDS)9.0%9.3%8.5%6.4%6.4%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Telefonica Sa ($TDE)3.0x2.5x2.5x3.6x4.2x
Kt Corp ($KTCD)2.0x2.1x2.1x3.1x1.3x
Koninklijke Kpn Nv ($0O8F)2.4x3.8x3.4x3.0x3.6x
Verizon Communications Inc ($VZC)1.4x1.7x0.8x2.8x2.1x
Rostelekom ($RKMD)1.3x1.7x1.8x1.8x
 
Median (13 companies)1.4x1.7x1.1x1.4x1.2x
Ooredoo Qsc ($ORDS)1.7x1.6x1.7x2.0x2.0x