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Nord Gold Nv reports 97.2% CAPEX growth while 7.1% Revenue decline

25 Feb 2016 • About Nord Gold Nv ($NORD) • By InTwits

Nord Gold Nv reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 44.9% in 2015, 40.2% in 2014, 0.8% in 2013, 33.0% in 2012, 47.9% in 2011
  • Nord Gold Nv has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 17.3%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 1.5%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 227 in 2015, 115 in 2014, 162 in 2013, 325 in 2012, 200 in 2011
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is at 16.1%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Nord Gold Nv ($NORD) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue1,1821,1981,2711,2161,129-7.1%
Gross Profit509348219370351-5.1%
SG&A3767665648-14.1%
EBITDA567395104895073.7%
Net Income16919-2189817678.6%
Balance Sheet
Cash2174524431836414.4%
Short Term Debt2922613000125
Long Term Debt74465627940815-13.2%
Cash flow
Capex20032516211522797.2%
Ratios
Revenue growth56.7%1.3%6.1%-4.3%-7.1%
EBITDA growth48.2%-30.3%-97.5%4,876.9%3.7%
Gross Margin43.1%29.1%17.2%30.5%31.1%0.7%
EBITDA Margin47.9%33.0%0.8%40.2%44.9%4.7%
Net Income Margin14.3%1.6%-17.2%8.1%15.5%7.5%
SG&A, % of revenue3.1%5.6%5.2%4.6%4.3%-0.3%
CAPEX, % of revenue16.9%27.2%12.8%9.5%20.1%10.6%
ROIC16.9%6.6%-9.0%13.8%16.1%2.4%
ROE11.6%1.2%-15.7%9.3%19.8%10.5%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.3x1.7x69.6x1.3x1.1x-0.1x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 7.1% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 4.7 pp from 40.2% to 44.9% in 2015.

Gross Margin increased slightly on 0.67 pp from 30.5% to 31.1% in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in 2015.

Net Income marign increased on 7.5 pp from 8.1% to 15.5% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 Nord Gold Nv had CAPEX/Revenue of 20.1%. Nord Gold Nv showed decline in CAPEX/Revenue of 7.1 pp from 27.2% in 2012 to 20.1% in 2015. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 14.1%.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROIC (16.11%) and ROE (19.85%). ROIC increased on 2.4 pp from 13.8% to 16.1% in 2015. ROE jumped on 10.5 pp from 9.3% to 19.8% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 1.1x and Debt / EBITDA is 1.9x. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.1x from 1.3x to 1.1x in 2015. Debt showed almost no change in 2015 while cash surged on 14.4% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Mining


Below we provide Nord Gold Nv benchmarking against other companies in Mining industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Patagonia Gold ($PGD)234.6%
Zccm Investments Hldgs ($ZCC)-30.1%102.1%92.4%
Rambler Metals & Mining ($RMM)-65.4%2,744.1%79.2%-34.2%
Shanta Gold ($SHG)74.1%
Mwana Africa ($MWA)86.0%34.2%30.5%6.9%
 
Median (28 companies)28.7%8.3%-3.2%-5.0%-8.7%
Nord Gold Nv ($NORD)1.3%6.1%-4.3%-7.1%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Zccm Investments Hldgs ($ZCC)68.4%51.8%71.4%85.6%
Rambler Metals & Mining ($RMM)50.2%44.7%39.6%52.2%30.6%
Mwana Africa ($MWA)32.4%42.9%45.9%46.6%38.6%
Kaz Minerals ($KAZ)54.6%39.7%41.1%46.1%35.5%
Polyus Gold Intl Ltd ($PGIL)50.5%51.1%40.2%46.1%
 
Median (27 companies)37.5%39.1%19.8%22.6%22.8%
Nord Gold Nv ($NORD)43.1%29.1%17.2%30.5%31.1%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Zccm Investments Hldgs ($ZCC)138.5%146.8%75.2%88.7%
Polyus Gold Intl Ltd ($PGIL)43.6%51.1%18.7%45.9%
Rambler Metals & Mining ($RMM)-26.1%-194.4%29.6%45.1%20.5%
Antofagasta ($ANTO)50.0%45.0%42.6%25.9%
Randgold Resources ($RRS)51.6%52.7%42.7%39.4%33.8%
 
Median (30 companies)27.7%25.0%18.0%17.3%20.5%
Nord Gold Nv ($NORD)47.9%33.0%0.8%40.2%44.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Kaz Minerals ($KAZ)19.8%36.6%136.5%168.8%168.7%
Goldbridges Global Resources ($GBGR)40.3%26.9%17.6%73.9%
Griffin Mining ($GFM)12.2%10.8%10.4%51.2%
Kirkland Lake Gold Inc ($KGI)54.9%44.6%72.9%47.7%21.6%
Serabi Gold ($SRB)3,151.4%44.5%
 
Median (30 companies)16.3%19.8%17.8%11.0%19.7%
Nord Gold Nv ($NORD)16.9%27.2%12.8%9.5%20.1%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Polyus Gold Intl Ltd ($PGIL)23.0%27.0%4.3%19.2%
Mwana Africa ($MWA)-39.7%0.1%12.6%18.3%7.5%
Caledonia Mining Corp ($CMCL)61.7%37.6%34.9%18.1%
Rambler Metals & Mining ($RMM)-1.5%-2.6%3.3%16.7%0.5%
Shanta Gold ($SHG)-39.2%-14.0%-2.4%15.8%
 
Median (31 companies)7.2%4.4%2.8%1.2%2.0%
Nord Gold Nv ($NORD)16.9%6.6%-9.0%13.8%16.1%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Minera Irl Ltd ($MIRL)-0.0x1.0x4.2x10.0x
Kaz Minerals ($KAZ)0.6x2.4x2.9x5.5x18.7x
Anglo Asian Mining ($AAZ)0.1x0.7x2.6x5.2x
Glencore ($GLEN)6.0x7.3x6.2x4.6x
Kirkland Lake Gold Inc ($KGI)-1.0x-0.3x3.2x4.1x0.6x
 
Median (23 companies)-0.0x0.4x1.4x0.6x0.5x
Nord Gold Nv ($NORD)0.3x1.7x69.6x1.3x1.1x