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Magnit PJSC revenue jumped on 24.4% in 2015 and EBITDA Margin showed almost no change

27 Jan 2016 • About Magnit PJSC ($MGNT) • By InTwits

Magnit PJSC reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Magnit PJSC is a fast growth stock: 2015 revenue growth was 24.4%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 32.2% at 2015 ROIC 32.6%
  • Magnit PJSC has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 9.3%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 6.1%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 349,036 in 2015, 271,330 in 2014, 208,611 in 2013, 169,213 in 2012, 118,449 in 2011
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is at 32.6%
  • It operates with medium-size leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 0.9x while industry average is 0.9x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Magnit PJSC ($MGNT) key annual financial indicators

mln. RUB201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue335,835448,234579,994767,556955,10024.4%
Gross Profit81,696118,939165,348221,684272,09922.7%
SG&A55,52572,829102,005135,111168,61624.8%
EBITDA26,34846,23163,57586,867103,97819.7%
Net Income12,30925,09335,63947,93759,34023.8%
Balance Sheet
Cash17,16712,5285,96118,3188,396-54.2%
Short Term Debt6,17425,27536,50353,07243,108-18.8%
Long Term Debt45,76138,47937,63145,98359,44629.3%
Cash flow
Capex48,71147,26550,07756,00654,255-3.1%
Ratios
Revenue growth42.2%33.5%29.4%32.3%24.4%
EBITDA growth41.4%75.5%37.5%36.6%19.7%
Gross Margin24.3%26.5%28.5%28.9%28.5%-0.4%
EBITDA Margin7.8%10.3%11.0%11.3%10.9%-0.4%
Net Income Margin3.7%5.6%6.1%6.2%6.2%-0.0%
SG&A, % of revenue16.5%16.2%17.6%17.6%17.7%0.1%
CAPEX, % of revenue14.5%10.5%8.6%7.3%5.7%-1.6%
ROIC17.9%23.1%26.0%33.2%32.6%-0.6%
ROE20.1%28.3%31.4%38.7%40.2%1.5%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.3x1.1x1.1x0.9x0.9x-0.0x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue jumped on 24.4% in 2015. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin increased on 2.7 pp from 5.9% to 8.6% in 2015.

Gross Margin showed almost no change in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in 2015.

Net Income marign showed almost no change in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2015 Magnit PJSC had CAPEX/Revenue of 5.7%. The company's CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 4.9 pp from 10.5% in 2012 to 5.7% in 2015. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 7.2%.Magnit PJSC invested a big chunk of EBITDA (52.2%) to CAPEX to fuel its growth.

Return on investment


The company operates at high and attractive ROIC (32.61%) and ROE (40.21%). ROIC decreased slightly on 0.56 pp from 33.2% to 32.6% in 2015. ROE increased slightly on 1.5 pp from 38.7% to 40.2% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 0.9x and Debt / EBITDA is 1.0x. Net Debt / EBITDA decreased on 0.024x from 0.9x to 0.9x in 2015. Debt increased on 3.5% in 2015 while cash dropped on 54.2% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Food & Drug Retailers


Below we provide Magnit PJSC benchmarking against other companies in Food & Drug Retailers industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Lenta Ltd ($LNTA)27.1%22.4%31.3%34.5%
X5 Retail Group N.V ($89VS)32.6%8.0%9.0%18.5%
Crawshaw Group ($CRAW)-0.9%-0.6%11.9%17.1%
O'Key Group Sa ($OKEY)12.7%26.0%18.9%9.0%
Dairy Farm International Hldgs ($DFIB)14.6%7.3%5.7%6.3%
 
Median (8 companies)26.3%7.6%7.1%7.6%17.1%
Magnit PJSC ($MGNT)33.5%29.4%32.3%24.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Snacktime ($SNAK)55.0%56.6%51.8%55.1%
Crawshaw Group ($CRAW)43.6%43.3%43.7%43.8%44.4%
Dairy Farm International Hldgs ($DFIB)29.4%28.9%29.8%29.9%
O'Key Group Sa ($OKEY)22.8%23.5%23.9%24.5%
X5 Retail Group N.V ($89VS)23.8%23.6%24.4%24.5%
 
Median (8 companies)23.3%23.6%24.1%24.5%44.4%
Magnit PJSC ($MGNT)24.3%26.5%28.5%28.9%28.5%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Jardine Matheson Hldgs ($J36)24.4%13.1%11.6%11.8%
Lenta Ltd ($LNTA)9.3%10.7%11.2%11.0%
X5 Retail Group N.V ($89VS)7.3%6.9%7.1%7.7%
O'Key Group Sa ($OKEY)7.9%8.1%7.3%7.3%
Dairy Farm International Hldgs ($DFIB)7.6%6.6%6.9%6.6%
 
Median (8 companies)7.8%6.7%7.0%6.9%6.4%
Magnit PJSC ($MGNT)7.8%10.3%11.0%11.3%10.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Lenta Ltd ($LNTA)4.4%13.4%16.2%17.9%
O'Key Group Sa ($OKEY)9.3%7.1%8.7%10.6%
X5 Retail Group N.V ($89VS)5.1%4.6%3.8%4.5%
Jardine Matheson Hldgs ($J36)3.6%4.9%4.4%3.5%
Snacktime ($SNAK)2.6%5.3%4.3%3.4%
 
Median (8 companies)3.6%4.7%4.1%3.4%6.3%
Magnit PJSC ($MGNT)14.5%10.5%8.6%7.3%5.7%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Dairy Farm International Hldgs ($DFIB)39.6%32.8%34.6%31.1%
Lenta Ltd ($LNTA)44.1%42.9%34.0%24.5%
O'Key Group Sa ($OKEY)21.7%25.0%21.8%17.1%
X5 Retail Group N.V ($89VS)11.9%3.1%13.0%14.9%
Total Produce ($TOT)8.8%9.0%11.9%10.3%
 
Median (8 companies)15.0%8.5%12.4%12.6%7.1%
Magnit PJSC ($MGNT)17.9%23.1%26.0%33.2%32.6%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Snacktime ($SNAK)0.8x2.0x6.0x4.4x
Lenta Ltd ($LNTA)2.4x2.2x2.5x2.8x
O'Key Group Sa ($OKEY)1.2x1.0x1.3x2.4x
X5 Retail Group N.V ($89VS)3.1x3.3x2.7x2.2x
Jardine Matheson Hldgs ($J36)0.6x1.4x1.3x1.3x
 
Median (8 companies)1.0x1.2x1.3x1.7x-5.8x
Magnit PJSC ($MGNT)1.3x1.1x1.1x0.9x0.9x