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International Bus Mach Corp reports 15.3% EBITDA decline and 11.9% Revenue decline

19 Jan 2016 • About International Bus Mach Corp ($IBM) • By InTwits

International Bus Mach Corp reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • International Bus Mach Corp is a company in decline: 2015 revenue growth was -11.9%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -3.9%
  • EBITDA Margin is relatively stable: 23.1% in 2015 vs. 24.0% in 2014 vs. 23.5% in 2011
  • International Bus Mach Corp has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 4.0%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 2.3%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 9,857 in FY2015, 5,603 in FY2014, 2,893 in FY2013, 1,051 in FY2012, 1,905 in FY2011
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is at 25.7%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 1.7x while industry average is 0.0x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

International Bus Mach Corp ($IBM) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue106,916104,50798,36992,79381,741-11.9%
Gross Profit50,13850,29848,68646,40740,684-12.3%
SG&A23,59423,55323,45123,18020,430-11.9%
EBITDA25,10125,11924,17022,28218,862-15.3%
Net Income15,85516,60416,48312,02213,1909.7%
Balance Sheet
Cash11,92210,41210,7168,4767,686-9.3%
Short Term Debt8,4639,1816,8625,7316,46112.7%
Long Term Debt22,85724,08832,85634,99133,428-4.5%
Cash flow
Capex4,1084,0823,6233,7403,579-4.3%
Ratios
Revenue growth7.1%-2.3%-5.9%-5.7%-11.9%
EBITDA growth9.2%0.1%-3.8%-7.8%-15.3%
Gross Margin46.9%48.1%49.5%50.0%49.8%-0.2%
EBITDA Margin23.5%24.0%24.6%24.0%23.1%-0.9%
Net Income Margin14.8%15.9%16.8%13.0%16.1%3.2%
SG&A, % of revenue22.1%22.5%23.8%25.0%25.0%0.0%
CAPEX, % of revenue3.8%3.9%3.7%4.0%4.4%0.3%
ROIC36.2%36.1%31.0%28.1%25.7%-2.4%
ROE73.4%85.2%79.1%69.4%101.0%31.6%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.8x0.9x1.2x1.4x1.7x0.3x

Revenue and profitability


International Bus Mach Corp's Revenue dropped on 11.9% in 2015. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased slightly on 0.94 pp from 24.0% to 23.1% in 2015.

Gross Margin showed almost no change in 2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in 2015.

Net Income marign increased on 3.2 pp from 13.0% to 16.1% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


International Bus Mach Corp's CAPEX/Revenue was 4.4% in 2015. CAPEX/Revenue showed almost no change from 2012 to 2015. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 4.0%.

Return on investment


The company operates at high and attractive ROIC (25.72%) and ROE (100.96%). ROIC decreased on 2.4 pp from 28.1% to 25.7% in 2015. ROE jumped on 31.6 pp from 69.4% to 101% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 1.7x and Debt / EBITDA is 2.1x. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 0.3x from 1.4x to 1.7x in 2015. Debt decreased on 2.0% in 2015 while cash decreased on 9.3% in 2015.

Valuation


The company's trades at EV/EBITDA 1.8x and P/E 0.1x while industy averages are 10.5x and 26.1x. International Bus Mach Corp's EV/(EBITDA-CAPEX) is 2.2x with the industry average at 4.7x.

Appendix 1: Peers in Software & Computer Services


Below we provide International Bus Mach Corp benchmarking against other companies in Software & Computer Services industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Coms ($COMS)-68.6%46.8%763.3%110.4%
Centralnic Group ($CNIC)36.3%15.9%4.0%98.9%
Rapidcloud Intl ($RCI)34.2%16.4%20.9%57.1%
Netdimensions(Hldgs)Ltd ($NETD)48.5%12.5%17.5%40.1%
Wandisco ($WAND)30.0%55.5%32.8%40.0%
 
Median (40 companies)5.5%7.6%6.1%4.5%12.8%
International Bus Mach Corp ($IBM)-2.3%-5.9%-5.7%-11.9%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Lombard Risk Management ($LRM)99.3%99.0%98.8%99.2%98.6%
Phoenix It Group ($PNX)97.1%97.0%97.2%97.6%97.9%
Netcall ($NET)86.9%88.2%89.7%91.0%90.9%
Dotdigital Group ($DOTD)92.8%94.0%92.7%90.5%89.3%
Idox ($IDOX)86.6%90.4%90.8%89.4%89.3%
 
Median (35 companies)61.0%62.7%63.0%61.1%63.3%
International Bus Mach Corp ($IBM)46.9%48.1%49.5%50.0%49.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Eservglobal ($ESG)112.6%-32.2%-2.6%100.2%-92.5%
Mail.Ru Group Ltd ($61HE)39.9%43.1%47.4%50.5%
Lombard Risk Management ($LRM)6.2%23.9%30.8%29.3%20.5%
Dotdigital Group ($DOTD)29.1%31.4%39.4%29.2%32.0%
Rapidcloud Intl ($RCI)47.4%46.0%52.3%28.5%
 
Median (42 companies)14.1%13.8%13.0%12.0%12.6%
International Bus Mach Corp ($IBM)23.5%24.0%24.6%24.0%23.1%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Rapidcloud Intl ($RCI)0.7%1.0%23.1%11.6%
Anite ($AIE)3.0%4.0%3.9%5.8%3.6%
Statpro Group ($SOG)3.1%2.0%2.9%5.8%
Wandisco ($WAND)0.2%2.3%4.0%4.2%
Unisys Corp ($USY)2.1%2.1%2.5%4.1%
 
Median (42 companies)1.4%1.5%1.6%1.9%1.4%
International Bus Mach Corp ($IBM)3.8%3.9%3.7%4.0%4.4%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Eservglobal ($ESG)50.0%-24.8%-13.0%67.9%-44.5%
Lombard Risk Management ($LRM)37.7%51.4%39.2%30.2%12.2%
Progility ($PGY)12.7%10.3%0.0%29.2%-0.1%
Kalibrate Technologies ($KLBT)12.5%40.2%29.2%18.8%
Dotdigital Group ($DOTD)36.6%26.4%38.0%28.5%31.4%
 
Median (42 companies)12.8%10.7%11.1%9.4%11.5%
International Bus Mach Corp ($IBM)36.2%36.1%31.0%28.1%25.7%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Parity Group ($PTY)6.9x4.7x4.9x
Escher Group Hldgs ($ESCH)2.1x0.3x0.4x2.4x
Ubisense Group ($UBI)-4.2x-2.2x-0.4x1.8x
Progility ($PGY)1.0x2.0x1.8x12.8x
Accesso Technology Grp ($ACSO)-2.3x-2.2x1.3x
 
Median (34 companies)-0.7x-0.6x-0.6x-0.3x-0.7x
International Bus Mach Corp ($IBM)0.8x0.9x1.2x1.4x1.7x