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Solidere reports 177% Net Income decline and 124 pp EBITDA Margin decline from 48.1% to -76.2%

07 Jan 2016 • About Solidere ($SLED) • By InTwits

Solidere reported 2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Solidere is a company in decline: 2015 revenue growth was -59.8%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -25.0%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: -76.2% in 2015, 48.1% in 2014, 56.5% in 2013, 45.7% in 2012, 66.8% in 2011
  • Solidere has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 2.6%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 1.7%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 0.39 in 2015, 1.5 in 2014, 8.4 in 2013, 10.2 in 2012, 2.1 in 2011
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -3.4%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Solidere ($SLED) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue332.2149.8178.2239.096.0-59.8%
SG&A34.8
EBITDA221.968.5100.7115.0-73.1-163.6%
Net Income159.017.642.9113.7-87.2-176.7%
Balance Sheet
Cash174.1161.6176.7158.7136.2-14.2%
Short Term Debt520.0633.0552.8548.6556.01.4%
Long Term Debt70.149.9133.2110.1132.420.3%
Cash flow
Capex2.110.28.41.50.4-74.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth-17.8%-54.9%18.9%34.2%-59.8%
EBITDA growth-12.0%-69.2%47.1%14.2%-163.6%
EBITDA Margin66.8%45.7%56.5%48.1%-76.2%-124.3%
Net Income Margin47.9%11.8%24.1%47.6%-90.9%-138.5%
SG&A, % of revenue36.2%36.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.6%6.8%4.7%0.6%0.4%-0.2%
ROIC8.6%2.0%3.3%3.6%-3.4%-7.0%
ROE8.4%0.9%2.2%5.7%-4.3%-10.0%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.9x7.6x5.1x4.3x-4.3x

Revenue and profitability


Solidere's Revenue dropped on 59.8% in 2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.7 pp from 0.79% to 2.5% in 2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 138 pp from 47.6% to -90.9% in 2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 0.41% in 2015. The company's CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 6.4 pp from 6.8% in 2012 to 0.41% in 2015. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 1.9%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-3.36%) and ROE (-4.34%). ROIC decreased on 7.0 pp from 3.6% to -3.4% in 2015. ROE decreased on 10.0 pp from 5.7% to -4.3% in 2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -4.4x Net Debt / EBITDA and Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 4.3x from 4.3x to in 2015. Debt increased on 4.5% in 2015 while cash dropped on 14.2% in 2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in


Below we provide Solidere benchmarking against other companies in industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Development Securities(Investments) ($36JS)-20.4%156.8%
Wereldhave Property Corp ($93IA)-9.0%13.5%65.7%
Bld Property Hldgs ($09GE)-1.1%16.0%39.3%
Grosvenor Uk Finance ($62QE)0.8%15.1%14.3%
Bbva International ($80LJ)-1.5%-3.5%14.0%
 
Median (42 companies)5.1%-6.3%1.5%2.9%1.0%
Solidere ($SLED)-54.9%18.9%34.2%-59.8%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Sanctuary Housing ($BB21)98.2%97.0%97.6%
Glh Hotels Ltd ($97KI)57.8%57.6%
Aseana Properties Ltd ($ASPL)15.8%9.6%22.2%44.7%
Palm Hills Developments Sae ($PHDC)-6.8%-5.2%22.3%33.5%
Lewis(John) ($BC32)33.4%33.4%33.4%33.8%
 
Median (9 companies)4.9%29.8%30.3%33.4%34.6%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Bld Property Hldgs ($09GE)108.3%91.0%218.5%215.1%
Intu Debenture ($69ZM)70.3%79.8%163.8%107.2%
T.H.F.C.(Social Housing Finance) ($96JP)0.7%1.0%2.4%97.9%
T.H.F.C.(Indexed) ($96JS)0.7%1.0%2.4%97.9%
Housing Finance Corp ($68HB)0.7%1.0%2.4%97.9%
 
Median (25 companies)12.4%22.1%30.1%35.9%48.9%
Solidere ($SLED)66.8%45.7%56.5%48.1%-76.2%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Wereldhave Property Corp ($93IA)145.6%147.1%848.7%379.0%
Sanctuary Housing ($BB21)0.0%0.0%60.0%
Bld Property Hldgs ($09GE)146.6%195.3%186.5%59.2%
Mid Kent Water ($48HO)46.7%43.9%47.1%37.7%
Development Securities(Investments) ($36JS)2.9%13.5%24.6%
 
Median (34 companies)3.8%3.7%2.9%3.3%4.5%
Solidere ($SLED)0.6%6.8%4.7%0.6%0.4%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Lewis(John) ($BC32)12.5%15.6%16.4%18.6%
Lewis(John)Partnership ($BD32)12.5%15.6%16.4%18.6%
Calgary & Edmonton Railway Co ($05GM)8.2%10.5%16.0%17.0%
Canadian Pacific Railways ($BC87)8.2%10.5%16.0%17.0%
Aeci ($87FZ)12.9%14.5%16.8%15.0%
 
Median (42 companies)6.6%1.7%3.3%3.3%3.4%
Solidere ($SLED)8.6%2.0%3.3%3.6%-3.4%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Skipton Building Society ($SBSA)29.7x30.3x30.2x34.7x
Housing Finance Corp ($68HB)2,312.9x1,673.5x718.9x20.3x
T.H.F.C.(Indexed) ($96JS)2,312.9x1,673.5x718.9x20.3x
T.H.F.C.(Indexed 2) ($90IL)2,312.9x1,673.5x718.9x20.3x
T.H.F.C.(Social Housing Finance) ($96JP)2,312.9x1,673.5x718.9x20.3x
 
Median (25 companies)1.9x2.9x3.5x3.4x3.2x