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Zambeef Products CAPEX jumped on 211% in 2015 while Revenue decreased on 5.4%

25 Nov 2015 • About Zambeef Products ($ZAM) • By InTwits

Zambeef Products reported FY2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Zambeef Products has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 13.2%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 7.6%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 247 in FY2015, 79.4 in FY2014, 73.8 in FY2013, 120 in FY2012, 311 in FY2011
  • The company has business model with low profitability: ROIC is at 8.0%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 3.0x while industry average is 0.5x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Zambeef Products ($ZAM) key annual financial indicators

mln. ZMW201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue9831,2961,5951,6431,555-5.4%
Gross Profit31843655055467121.1%
SG&A505
EBITDA10210312912522983.0%
Net Income441514-25-64158.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash001070
Short Term Debt127296371227224-1.2%
Long Term Debt18035934436845423.6%
Cash flow
Capex3111207479247210.6%
Ratios
Revenue growth27.6%31.9%23.0%3.0%-5.4%
EBITDA growth62.6%1.8%25.1%-3.2%83.0%
Gross Margin32.3%33.6%34.5%33.7%43.2%9.4%
EBITDA Margin10.3%8.0%8.1%7.6%14.7%7.1%
Net Income Margin4.5%1.1%0.9%-1.5%-4.1%-2.6%
SG&A, % of revenue32.5%32.5%
CAPEX, % of revenue31.6%9.2%4.6%4.8%15.9%11.0%
ROIC8.0%5.0%4.5%3.2%8.0%4.8%
ROE7.4%1.9%1.3%-1.9%-4.6%-2.8%
Net Debt/EBITDA3.0x6.3x4.7x4.8x3.0x-1.8x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 5.4% in FY2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 7.1 pp from 7.6% to 14.7% in FY2015.

Gross Margin increased on 9.4 pp from 33.7% to 43.2% in FY2015.

Net Income marign decreased on 2.6 pp from -1.5% to -4.1% in FY2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In FY2015 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 15.9%. CAPEX/Revenue increased on 6.6 pp from 9.2% in FY2012 to 15.9% in FY2015. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 8.4%.The company has spent a lot to CAPEX (108% of EBITDA) which didn't stop revenue from falling.

Return on investment


The company operates at low but positive ROIC (7.95%) and negative ROE (-4.61%). ROIC increased on 4.8 pp from 3.2% to 8.0% in FY2015. ROE decreased on 2.8 pp from -1.9% to -4.6% in FY2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 3.0x and Debt / EBITDA is 3.0x. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 1.8x from 4.8x to 3.0x in FY2015. Debt jumped on 14.1% in FY2015 while cash surged.

Appendix 1: Peers in Food Producers


Below we provide Zambeef Products benchmarking against other companies in Food Producers industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Ros Agro ($AGRO)29.7%-13.2%8.2%78.6%
Cherkizovo Group OJSC ($CHE)20.0%12.6%8.1%31.5%
Kakuzi ($KAKU)-26.2%0.3%-11.5%22.1%
R.E.A.Hldgs ($RE.B)29.6%-15.7%-11.3%13.9%
Tongaat Hulett Ltd ($THL)24.8%19.0%9.3%2.8%
 
Median (19 companies)20.0%10.3%6.3%-1.4%-11.0%
Zambeef Products ($ZAM)31.9%23.0%3.0%-5.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Walcom Group Ltd ($WALG)63.5%62.6%63.2%62.2%
Narborough Plantations ($NBP)64.9%55.5%59.7%54.6%
R.E.A.Hldgs ($RE.B)56.7%44.4%37.3%36.8%
Ros Agro ($AGRO)19.5%28.8%22.1%33.6%
Produce Investments ($PIL)24.1%27.9%25.0%33.5%36.4%
 
Median (16 companies)24.6%28.8%22.0%29.6%15.5%
Zambeef Products ($ZAM)32.3%33.6%34.5%33.7%43.2%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Narborough Plantations ($NBP)58.1%42.5%39.6%37.4%
Mhp Sa ($MHPC)32.6%33.2%26.1%37.0%
R.E.A.Hldgs ($RE.B)52.8%35.3%34.0%33.2%
Avangardco Investments Public Ltd ($AVGR)44.4%44.5%45.6%30.9%
Ros Agro ($AGRO)10.9%20.6%15.5%28.1%
 
Median (19 companies)10.9%16.4%10.9%11.8%7.0%
Zambeef Products ($ZAM)10.3%8.0%8.1%7.6%14.7%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Agriterra Ltd ($AGTA)18.9%54.8%49.5%43.0%11.2%
Kakuzi ($KAKU)15.5%20.1%20.8%22.0%
Avangardco Investments Public Ltd ($AVGR)26.3%51.1%28.0%18.4%
Asian Citrus Hldgs ($ACHL)14.9%19.3%28.6%17.7%14.3%
R.E.A.Hldgs ($RE.B)13.2%40.3%10.9%11.8%
 
Median (19 companies)8.3%6.1%8.2%4.8%5.1%
Zambeef Products ($ZAM)31.6%9.2%4.6%4.8%15.9%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Ros Agro ($AGRO)5.4%7.2%4.0%23.8%
Cherkizovo Group OJSC ($CHE)11.7%13.5%4.8%22.4%
Fyffes ($FFY)8.8%16.4%17.2%18.5%
Mhp Sa ($MHPC)19.4%18.4%11.2%17.6%
Origin Enterprises ($OGN)15.4%13.2%15.3%16.9%20.1%
 
Median (19 companies)14.0%12.3%10.5%12.4%5.6%
Zambeef Products ($ZAM)8.0%5.0%4.5%3.2%8.0%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
R.E.A.Hldgs ($RE.B)1.2x3.1x4.4x3.9x
Ukrproduct Group ($UKR)4.3x2.7x4.4x3.4x
Glanbia ($GLB)3.1x1.9x1.7x2.3x
Mhp Sa ($MHPC)2.0x2.2x2.9x2.2x
Tongaat Hulett Ltd ($THL)2.5x2.4x2.1x1.8x1.8x
 
Median (17 companies)1.3x1.0x1.3x1.5x1.6x
Zambeef Products ($ZAM)3.0x6.3x4.7x4.8x3.0x