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Mwana Africa Net Income dropped on 90.3% in 2015 and EBITDA Margin decreased on 6.6 pp from 19.3% to 12.7%

29 Jul 2015 • About Mwana Africa ($MWA) • By InTwits

Mwana Africa reported FY2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Mwana Africa has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 13.0%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 2.2%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 21.5 in FY2015, 12.8 in FY2014, 18.4 in FY2013, 8.6 in FY2012, 6.4 in FY2011
  • The company has business model with low profitability: ROIC is at 7.5%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 0.5x while industry average is -60.6x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Mwana Africa ($MWA) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue43.781.3109.2142.5152.36.9%
Gross Profit14.134.950.166.358.8-11.3%
SG&A21.123.712.4%
EBITDA-32.73.917.227.619.4-29.7%
Net Income-3.4-0.7-28.636.63.6-90.3%
Balance Sheet
Cash7.46.715.29.114.054.3%
Short Term Debt0.00.00.01.84.8166.0%
Long Term Debt3.15.94.32.418.3648.6%
Cash flow
Capex6.48.618.412.821.568.7%
Ratios
Revenue growth45.8%86.0%34.2%30.5%6.9%
EBITDA growth19.3%-112.0%338.9%60.0%-29.7%
Gross Margin32.4%42.9%45.9%46.6%38.6%-7.9%
EBITDA Margin-74.9%4.8%15.8%19.3%12.7%-6.6%
Net Income Margin-7.9%-0.9%-26.2%25.7%2.3%-23.4%
SG&A, % of revenue14.8%15.6%0.8%
CAPEX, % of revenue14.7%10.5%16.8%9.0%14.1%5.2%
ROIC-39.7%0.1%12.6%18.3%7.5%-10.7%
ROE-5.2%-0.9%-34.9%36.1%2.9%-33.1%
Net Debt/EBITDA-0.2x-0.6x-0.2x0.5x0.6x

Revenue and profitability


Mwana Africa's Revenue increased on 6.9% in FY2015. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin increased on 2.1 pp from -1.7% to 0.39% in FY2015.

Gross Margin decreased on 7.9 pp from 46.6% to 38.6% in FY2015. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 0.76 pp from 14.8% to 15.6% in FY2015.

Net Income marign dropped on 23.4 pp from 25.7% to 2.3% in FY2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


Mwana Africa's CAPEX/Revenue was 14.1% in FY2015. CAPEX/Revenue increased on 3.6 pp from 10.5% in FY2012 to 14.1% in FY2015. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 13.3%.The company investments to CAPEX were large: 111% of EBITDA.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (7.54%) and ROE (2.91%). ROIC dropped on 10.7 pp from 18.3% to 7.5% in FY2015. ROE dropped on 33.1 pp from 36.1% to 2.9% in FY2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 0.5x Net Debt / EBITDA and 1.2x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 0.6x from -0.2x to 0.5x in FY2015. Debt jumped on 442% in FY2015 while cash jumped on 54.3% in FY2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Mining


Below you can find Mwana Africa benchmarking vs. other companies in Mining industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Patagonia Gold ($PGD)234.6%
Zccm Investments Hldgs ($ZCC)-30.1%102.1%92.4%
Rambler Metals & Mining ($RMM)-65.4%2,744.1%79.2%
Shanta Gold ($SHG)74.1%
Kenmare Resources ($KMR)82.9%40.1%-41.2%26.4%
 
Median (28 companies)32.1%3.2%-3.2%-5.0%-3.6%
Mwana Africa ($MWA)86.0%34.2%30.5%6.9%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Zccm Investments Hldgs ($ZCC)68.4%51.8%71.4%85.6%
Rambler Metals & Mining ($RMM)50.2%44.7%39.6%52.2%
Kaz Minerals ($KAZ)54.6%39.7%41.1%46.1%
Polyus Gold Intl Ltd ($PGIL)50.5%51.1%40.2%46.1%
Griffin Mining ($GFM)59.6%54.7%43.6%44.4%
 
Median (27 companies)41.5%38.5%18.6%22.6%24.9%
Mwana Africa ($MWA)32.4%42.9%45.9%46.6%38.6%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Zccm Investments Hldgs ($ZCC)138.5%146.8%75.2%88.7%
Polyus Gold Intl Ltd ($PGIL)43.6%51.1%18.7%45.9%
Rambler Metals & Mining ($RMM)-26.1%-194.4%29.6%45.1%
Antofagasta ($ANTO)50.0%45.0%42.6%25.9%
Nord Gold Nv ($NORD)47.9%33.0%0.8%40.2%
 
Median (30 companies)29.0%27.2%18.0%17.3%29.2%
Mwana Africa ($MWA)-74.9%4.8%15.8%19.3%12.7%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Kaz Minerals ($KAZ)19.8%36.6%136.5%168.8%
Goldbridges Global Resources ($GBGR)40.3%26.9%17.6%73.9%
Griffin Mining ($GFM)12.2%10.8%10.4%51.2%
Kirkland Lake Gold Inc ($KGI)54.9%44.6%72.9%47.7%21.6%
Serabi Gold ($SRB)3,151.4%44.5%
 
Median (30 companies)16.9%21.5%17.8%11.0%26.2%
Mwana Africa ($MWA)14.7%10.5%16.8%9.0%14.1%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Polyus Gold Intl Ltd ($PGIL)23.0%27.0%4.3%19.2%
Caledonia Mining Corp ($CMCL)61.7%37.6%34.9%18.1%
Rambler Metals & Mining ($RMM)-1.5%-2.6%3.3%16.7%
Shanta Gold ($SHG)-39.2%-14.0%-2.4%15.8%
Antofagasta ($ANTO)26.2%19.4%14.3%2.6%
 
Median (31 companies)8.9%4.6%2.0%1.2%5.9%
Mwana Africa ($MWA)-39.7%0.1%12.6%18.3%7.5%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Minera Irl Ltd ($MIRL)-0.0x1.0x4.2x10.0x
Kaz Minerals ($KAZ)0.6x2.4x2.9x5.5x
Anglo Asian Mining ($AAZ)0.1x0.7x2.6x5.2x
Glencore ($GLEN)6.0x7.3x6.2x4.6x
Kirkland Lake Gold Inc ($KGI)-1.0x-0.3x3.2x4.1x0.6x
 
Median (23 companies)0.0x0.8x1.7x0.7x1.4x
Mwana Africa ($MWA)-0.2x-0.6x-0.2x0.5x