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Ksk Power Ventur Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 4.2x from 26.5x to 30.7x in 2015 while EBITDA decreased on 2.3%

21 Jul 2015 • About Ksk Power Ventur ($KSK) • By InTwits

Ksk Power Ventur reported FY2015 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Ksk Power Ventur doesn't have a profitable business model yet: FY2015 ROIC is 1.1%
  • EBITDA Margin is declining: 26.0% in FY2015 vs. 30.3% in FY2014 vs. 33.0% in FY2011
  • Ksk Power Ventur has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 106.6%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 40.3%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 223 in FY2015, 200 in FY2014, 395 in FY2013, 747 in FY2012, 272 in FY2011
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 1.1%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 30.7x while industry average is 7.4x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Ksk Power Ventur ($KSK) key annual financial indicators

mln. $201120122013201420152015/2014
P&L
Revenue226.8383.2392.8335.9382.313.8%
Gross Profit76.4130.0157.291.1103.313.3%
SG&A72.1
EBITDA74.9165.2159.6101.699.3-2.3%
Net Income13.1-0.924.4-49.0-56.515.2%
Balance Sheet
Cash338.2417.6305.3194.1198.02.0%
Short Term Debt787.51,128.91,021.1944.8522.0-44.8%
Long Term Debt817.51,409.11,834.51,943.92,722.640.1%
Cash flow
Capex272.0746.9394.5200.0222.911.4%
Ratios
Revenue growth328.8%69.0%2.5%-14.5%13.8%
EBITDA growth-2,424.7%120.7%-3.4%-36.4%-2.3%
Gross Margin33.7%33.9%40.0%27.1%27.0%-0.1%
EBITDA Margin33.0%43.1%40.6%30.3%26.0%-4.3%
Net Income Margin5.8%-0.2%6.2%-14.6%-14.8%-0.2%
SG&A, % of revenue18.9%18.9%
CAPEX, % of revenue119.9%194.9%100.4%59.5%58.3%-1.2%
ROIC2.5%4.3%3.6%1.7%1.1%-0.5%
ROE2.8%-0.2%5.6%-11.5%-14.8%-3.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA16.9x12.8x16.0x26.5x30.7x4.2x

Revenue and profitability


Ksk Power Ventur's Revenue surged on 13.8% in FY2015. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.6 pp from 69.6% to 71.2% in 2015.

Gross Margin showed almost no change in FY2015.

Net Income marign showed almost no change in FY2015.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


Ksk Power Ventur's CAPEX/Revenue was 58.3% in FY2015. The company's CAPEX/Revenue dropped on 137 pp from 195% in FY2012 to 58.3% in FY2015. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 72.8%.Ksk Power Ventur has spent a lot to CAPEX (224% of EBITDA) to fuel its growth.

Return on investment


The company operates at low but positive ROIC (1.13%) and negative ROE (-14.83%). ROIC decreased slightly on 0.52 pp from 1.7% to 1.1% in FY2015. ROE decreased on 3.3 pp from -11.5% to -14.8% in FY2015.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 30.7x and Debt / EBITDA is 32.7x. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 4.2x from 26.5x to 30.7x in FY2015. Debt surged on 12.3% in FY2015 while cash increased on 2.0% in FY2015.

Appendix 1: Peers in Electricity


Below we provide Ksk Power Ventur benchmarking against other companies in Electricity industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Good Energy Group ($GOOD)7.7%30.7%43.3%42.6%
Infinis Energy ($INFI)14.0%3.5%5.5%-24.5%
RusHydro OJSC ($HYDR)-31.1%-17.6%5.0%5.1%
Mosenergo AO ($AOMD)10.9%-2.5%-0.8%3.5%
Public Power Corp S.A. ($PPCD)-5.1%8.6%-0.2%-1.8%
 
Median (8 companies)9.3%7.9%3.0%0.9%-24.5%
Ksk Power Ventur ($KSK)69.0%2.5%-14.5%13.8%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top  FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Infinis Energy ($INFI)45.3%44.7%45.0%45.8%45.1%
Renewable Energy Generation Ltd ($WIND)38.7%42.5%42.7%35.9%
Good Energy Group ($GOOD)40.3%33.9%33.6%32.7%
 
Median (3 companies)40.3%42.5%42.7%35.9%45.1%
Ksk Power Ventur ($KSK)33.7%33.9%40.0%27.1%27.0%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Infinis Energy ($INFI)52.5%55.1%54.6%45.2%69.8%
Datang Intl Power Generation ($DAT)25.0%28.7%33.6%34.8%
Public Power Corp S.A. ($PPCD)17.1%15.3%19.1%20.0%
RusHydro OJSC ($HYDR)18.6%4.3%13.1%16.8%
Societatea Comerciala De Dis Si Fur ($ELSA)5.0%12.2%11.9%16.7%
 
Median (8 companies)16.0%14.1%17.2%16.7%69.8%
Ksk Power Ventur ($KSK)33.0%43.1%40.6%30.3%26.0%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Renewable Energy Generation Ltd ($WIND)163.4%142.1%77.4%167.6%
Good Energy Group ($GOOD)9.7%1.0%23.2%31.8%
Datang Intl Power Generation ($DAT)35.9%34.3%43.2%28.8%
RusHydro OJSC ($HYDR)22.6%27.8%19.7%23.8%
Infinis Energy ($INFI)24.1%23.6%32.3%16.2%22.8%
 
Median (8 companies)21.5%18.5%21.4%20.0%22.8%
Ksk Power Ventur ($KSK)119.9%194.9%100.4%59.5%58.3%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Good Energy Group ($GOOD)11.7%10.8%12.2%7.0%
Societatea Comerciala De Dis Si Fur ($ELSA)3.2%4.0%6.5%
Datang Intl Power Generation ($DAT)4.6%5.7%5.9%4.8%
RusHydro OJSC ($HYDR)7.5%-0.7%3.0%4.3%
Public Power Corp S.A. ($PPCD)1.7%1.5%3.6%3.7%
 
Median (8 companies)4.6%2.9%3.8%4.0%5.2%
Ksk Power Ventur ($KSK)2.5%4.3%3.6%1.7%1.1%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015
Renewable Energy Generation Ltd ($WIND)8.4x0.9x9.6x
Datang Intl Power Generation ($DAT)9.2x8.4x7.7x8.3x
Good Energy Group ($GOOD)2.6x-0.1x1.5x5.7x
Infinis Energy ($INFI)2.7x3.3x4.2x5.1x4.3x
Public Power Corp S.A. ($PPCD)5.2x5.3x4.1x4.3x
 
Median (8 companies)2.6x4.3x2.2x4.7x4.3x
Ksk Power Ventur ($KSK)16.9x12.8x16.0x26.5x30.7x