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China Motor Bus Co Ltd Net Income dropped on 92.0% while EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.0 pp from 58.3% to 59.3%

29/09/2020 • About China Motor Bus Co Ltd ($26) • By InTwits

China Motor Bus Co Ltd reported FY2020 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • China Motor Bus Co Ltd is a company in decline: FY2020 revenue growth was -6.2%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -3.0%
  • China Motor Bus Co Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 0.2%.
  • In the last 5 years the company invested considerably less than D&A: 1 HKDm vs. 3 HKDm. In FY2020 this situation was still the same: CAPEX was 0 while D&A was 2
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is 0.5%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 6.2%. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.0 pp from 58.3% to 59.3% in FY2020. During FY2016-FY2020 EBITDA Margin bottomed in FY2019 at 58.3%.

Net Income margin dropped on 1,439 pp from 1,574% to 134% in FY2020. During FY2016-FY2020 Net Income margin topped in FY2019 at 1,574%. The efficient tax rate was 8.0% in FY2020.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2020 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 0.28%. China Motor Bus Co Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue showed almost no change from FY2017 to FY2020. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 0.21%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (0.5%) and ROE (1.2%). ROIC showed almost no change in FY2020. ROE dropped on 13.4 pp from 14.6% to 1.2% in FY2020. ROIC stuck to a declining trend at -0.12 pp per annum in FY2016-FY2020. During FY2016-FY2020 ROE topped in FY2019 at 14.6%.

Leverage (Debt)


The company has no debt. Cash jumped on 61.8%.

Valuation and dividends


China Motor Bus Co Ltd's trades at EV/EBITDA 37.0x and P/E 41.4x.

The company paid 1,597.4% of Net Income as dividends in FY2020.

Management team


At the end of financial year the company had 42.1% shares owned by insiders. Insider ownership didn't change in 2020.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 30/06/2020

China Motor Bus Co Ltd ($26) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201620172018201920202020/2019
P&L
Revenue91.64481.70185.39288.41782.972-6.2%
SG&A7.185
EBITDA81.47252.61553.02051.53649.206-4.5%
EBIT52.31552.70251.20747.452-7.3%
Tax7.90611.71811.3869.719-14.6%
Net Income349.383627.852942.4591,391.330111.495-92.0%
Balance Sheet
Cash1,895.5921,949.2531,602.9381,728.8232,796.69761.8%
Short Term Debt0.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Long Term Debt0.0000.0000.0000.0000.000
Cash flow
Capex0.2930.1570.1810.1340.23273.1%
Dividends131.000136.000145.0001,781.0001,128.3%
Ratios
Revenue growth-5.2%-10.8%4.5%3.5%-6.2%
EBITDA growth27.8%-35.4%0.8%-2.8%-4.5%

EBITDA Margin88.9%64.4%62.1%58.3%59.3%1.0%
EBIT Margin64.0%61.7%57.9%57.2%-0.7%
SG&A, % of revenue7.8%
Net Income Margin381.2%768.5%1,103.7%1,573.6%134.4%-1,439.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue0.3%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.3%0.1%

ROIC1.1%0.7%0.6%0.5%0.5%-0.0%
ROE4.6%8.0%11.1%14.6%1.2%-13.4%
Net Debt/EBITDA-23.3x-37.0x-30.2x-33.5x-56.8x-23.3x
People
Insider ownership42.1%42.1%42.1%42.1%0.0%

Peers in Real Estate


Below we provide China Motor Bus Co Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Real Estate industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top  FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
New World Development Co Ltd ($17)7.8%-4.9%7.2%26.5%-
Sun Hung Kai Properties Ltd ($16)--14.2%9.5%-0.4%-3.1%
Dynamic Holdings Ltd ($29)--2.0%11.1%-6.0%-13.3%
 
Median (3 companies)10.3%6.6%9.5%-0.4%-8.2%
China Motor Bus Co Ltd ($26)--10.8%4.5%3.5%-6.2%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top  FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Dynamic Holdings Ltd ($29)80.8%78.3%78.5%76.1%71.2%
Sun Hung Kai Properties Ltd ($16)38.1%45.7%48.9%52.6%51.0%
New World Development Co Ltd ($17)31.1%32.2%33.9%32.6%-
 
Median (3 companies)42.2%38.2%48.9%52.6%61.1%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top  FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Sun Hung Kai Properties Ltd ($16)43.2%57.6%61.9%62.2%42.8%
New World Development Co Ltd ($17)32.8%24.0%55.0%36.0%-
Dynamic Holdings Ltd ($29)57.3%144.1%130.0%23.2%-68.9%
 
Median (3 companies)29.0%37.7%61.9%36.0%-13.0%
China Motor Bus Co Ltd ($26)88.9%64.4%62.1%58.3%59.3%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top  FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Sun Hung Kai Properties Ltd ($16)7.3%11.8%27.1%14.7%59.6%
New World Development Co Ltd ($17)15.0%28.5%16.4%13.2%-
Dynamic Holdings Ltd ($29)0.1%0.8%0.1%1.1%0.2%
 
Median (3 companies)4.0%3.8%16.4%13.2%29.9%
China Motor Bus Co Ltd ($26)0.3%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.3%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top  FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Sun Hung Kai Properties Ltd ($16)6.5%7.3%8.0%7.3%4.3%
New World Development Co Ltd ($17)5.0%3.2%7.7%5.8%-
Dynamic Holdings Ltd ($29)2.4%5.8%5.5%0.9%-2.6%
 
Median (3 companies)3.5%7.9%7.7%5.8%0.8%
China Motor Bus Co Ltd ($26)1.1%0.7%0.6%0.5%0.5%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top  FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
New World Development Co Ltd ($17)4.1x5.9x2.3x3.3x-
Sun Hung Kai Properties Ltd ($16)1.3x0.8x1.2x1.4x2.3x
Dynamic Holdings Ltd ($29)-1.6x-0.8x-0.8x-6.2x-
 
Median (3 companies)2.9x1.4x1.2x1.4x2.3x
China Motor Bus Co Ltd ($26)-23.3x-37.0x-30.2x-33.5x-56.8x