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Sun Hung Kai Properties Ltd CAPEX jumped on 292% while Revenue decreased on 3.1%

10/09/2020 • About Sun Hung Kai Properties Ltd ($16) • By InTwits

Sun Hung Kai Properties Ltd reported FY2020 financial results today. Here are the key drivers of the company's long term financial model:
  • Sun Hung Kai Properties Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 24.1%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 49,264 HKDm in FY2020, 12,560 HKDm in FY2019, 23,187 HKDm in FY2018, 9,198 HKDm in FY2017, 6,634 HKDm in FY2016
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is 4.3%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and the stock price.

Revenue and profitability


Sun Hung Kai Properties Ltd's Revenue decreased on 3.1%. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 19.4 pp from 62.2% to 42.8% in FY2020. During FY2016-FY2020 EBITDA Margin topped in FY2019 at 62.2%.

Gross Margin decreased slightly on 1.6 pp from 52.6% to 51.0% in FY2020. Gross Margin followed a growing trend at 3.3 pp per annum in FY2016-FY2020. SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in FY2020.

Net Income margin dropped on 24.2 pp from 52.9% to 28.7% in FY2020. During FY2016-FY2020 Net Income margin topped in FY2018 at 58.5% and was declining since that time.

Investments (CAPEX, working capital and M&A)


In FY2020 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 59.6%. The company's CAPEX/Revenue surged on 47.8 pp from 11.8% in FY2017 to 59.6% in FY2020. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 33.8%. The company has spent a lot to CAPEX (139% of EBITDA) which didn't stop revenue from falling.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (4.3%) and ROE (4.1%). ROIC decreased on 3.0 pp from 7.3% to 4.3% in FY2020. ROE decreased on 4.0 pp from 8.1% to 4.1% in FY2020. During the last 5 years ROIC topped in FY2018 at 8.0% and was declining since that time. During FY2016-FY2020 ROE topped in FY2018 at 9.6% and was declining since that time.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 2.3x and Debt / EBITDA is 3.2x. Net Debt / EBITDA jumped on 0.9x from 1.4x to 2.3x in FY2020. Debt jumped on 18.5% while cash surged on 43.9%. During FY2016-FY2020 Net Debt/EBITDA bottomed in FY2017 at 0.8x and was growing since that time.

Sun Hung Kai Properties Ltd has no short term refinancing risk: cash is higher than short term debt (120.2%).

Valuation and dividends


Sun Hung Kai Properties Ltd's trades at EV/EBITDA 10.6x and P/E 12.4x.

Management team


The company's CEO Kwok Ping Luen "Raymond" has spent 30 years with the company.

Financial and operational results


FY ended 30/06/2020

Sun Hung Kai Properties Ltd ($16) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201620172018201920202020/2019
P&L
Revenue91,18478,20785,64485,30282,653-3.1%
Gross Profit34,73935,77441,89244,84742,136-6.0%
SG&A6,6467,1757,5957,7297,512-2.8%
EBITDA39,35345,05052,97753,06735,413-33.3%
Net Income32,66641,80050,12545,08323,690-47.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash30,04831,27426,09522,03831,70543.9%
Short Term Debt17,4865,39012,6469,16826,375187.7%
Long Term Debt63,27561,93678,78885,83886,2310.5%
Cash flow
Capex6,6349,19823,18712,56049,264292.2%
Ratios
Revenue growth36.5%-14.2%9.5%-0.4%-3.1%
EBITDA growth10.7%14.5%17.6%0.2%-33.3%

Gross Margin38.1%45.7%48.9%52.6%51.0%-1.6%
EBITDA Margin43.2%57.6%61.9%62.2%42.8%-19.4%
SG&A, % of revenue7.3%9.2%8.9%9.1%9.1%0.0%
Net Income Margin35.8%53.4%58.5%52.9%28.7%-24.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue7.3%11.8%27.1%14.7%59.6%44.9%

ROIC6.5%7.3%8.0%7.3%4.3%-3.0%
ROE7.1%8.6%9.6%8.1%4.1%-4.0%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.3x0.8x1.2x1.4x2.3x0.9x

Peers in Real Estate


Below we provide Sun Hung Kai Properties Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Real Estate industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top  FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
New World Development Co Ltd ($17)7.8%-4.9%7.2%26.5%-
China Motor Bus Co Ltd ($26)-5.2%-10.8%4.5%3.5%-
Dynamic Holdings Ltd ($29)0.4%-2.0%11.1%-6.0%-
 
Median (3 companies)9.9%6.6%7.2%3.5%-
Sun Hung Kai Properties Ltd ($16)--14.2%9.5%-0.4%-3.1%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top  FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
Dynamic Holdings Ltd ($29)80.8%78.3%78.5%76.1%-
New World Development Co Ltd ($17)31.1%32.2%33.9%32.6%-
 
Median (2 companies)42.3%36.1%56.2%54.3%-
Sun Hung Kai Properties Ltd ($16)38.1%45.7%48.9%52.6%51.0%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top  FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
China Motor Bus Co Ltd ($26)88.9%64.4%62.1%58.3%-
New World Development Co Ltd ($17)32.8%24.0%55.0%36.0%-
Dynamic Holdings Ltd ($29)57.3%144.1%130.0%23.2%-
 
Median (3 companies)29.0%37.7%62.1%36.0%-
Sun Hung Kai Properties Ltd ($16)43.2%57.6%61.9%62.2%42.8%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top  FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
New World Development Co Ltd ($17)15.0%28.5%16.4%13.2%-
Dynamic Holdings Ltd ($29)0.1%0.8%0.1%1.1%-
China Motor Bus Co Ltd ($26)0.3%0.2%0.2%0.2%-
 
Median (3 companies)3.3%2.2%0.2%1.1%-
Sun Hung Kai Properties Ltd ($16)7.3%11.8%27.1%14.7%59.6%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top  FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
New World Development Co Ltd ($17)5.0%3.2%7.7%5.8%-
Dynamic Holdings Ltd ($29)2.4%5.8%5.5%0.9%-
China Motor Bus Co Ltd ($26)1.1%0.7%0.6%0.5%-
 
Median (3 companies)3.4%7.2%5.5%0.9%-
Sun Hung Kai Properties Ltd ($16)6.5%7.3%8.0%7.3%4.3%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top  FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020
New World Development Co Ltd ($17)4.1x5.9x2.3x3.3x-
Dynamic Holdings Ltd ($29)-1.6x-0.8x-0.8x-6.2x-
China Motor Bus Co Ltd ($26)-23.3x-37.0x-30.2x-33.5x-
 
Median (3 companies)2.9x1.4x-0.8x-6.2x-
Sun Hung Kai Properties Ltd ($16)1.3x0.8x1.2x1.4x2.3x