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Metallurgical Corp of China Ltd reports 19.6% EBITDA growth in 2017 and almost no change in EBITDA Margin of 5.9%

29/03/2018 • About Metallurgical Corp of China Ltd ($1618) • By InTwits

Metallurgical Corp of China Ltd reported 2017 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is relatively stable: 5.9% in 2017 vs. 5.5% in 2016 vs. 6.3% in 2013
  • Metallurgical Corp of China Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.5%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 4.2%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 10,244 in 2017, 10,681 in 2016, 7,490 in 2015, 18,649 in 2014, 14,700 in 2013
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 5.3%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Metallurgical Corp of China Ltd ($1618) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201320142015201620172017/2016
P&L
Revenue202,241210,073211,727216,269241,89111.8%
Gross Profit21,06822,18922,90924,90029,83919.8%
SG&A12,8877,6087,9037,9698,94412.2%
EBITDA12,77311,5519,73411,84414,16619.6%
Net Income2,9813,9654,8025,3766,06112.8%
Balance Sheet
Cash31,24328,57128,73644,76836,464-18.5%
Short Term Debt74,34360,23586,01982,03079,803-2.7%
Long Term Debt42,22443,66930,76032,02430,835-3.7%
Cash flow
Capex2,9022,7603,3573,1154,07931.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth-6.5%3.9%0.8%2.1%11.8%
EBITDA growth68.6%-9.6%-15.7%21.7%19.6%
Gross Margin10.4%10.6%10.8%11.5%12.3%0.8%
EBITDA Margin6.3%5.5%4.6%5.5%5.9%0.4%
Net Income Margin1.5%1.9%2.3%2.5%2.5%0.0%
SG&A, % of revenue6.4%3.6%3.7%3.7%3.7%0.0%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.4%1.3%1.6%1.4%1.7%0.2%
ROIC5.5%4.8%3.6%4.3%5.3%0.9%
ROE7.0%8.6%8.9%8.0%8.4%0.4%
Net Debt/EBITDA6.7x6.5x9.0x5.9x5.2x-0.6x


Metallurgical Corp of China Ltd ($1618) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. CNY17Q117Q217Q317Q4YoY change
P&L
Revenue43,84256,28049,49792,2725.3%7.2%9.3%20.0%
Net Income1,4421,2338742,5135.6%17.3%-7.1%24.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash37,74135,42035,38836,46415.0%15.3%22.1%-18.5%
Short Term Debt86,65880,54677,83179,80323.2%-20.5%-7.1%-2.7%
Long Term Debt37,57441,58242,61930,8350.7%21.8%24.3%-3.7%
Ratios
Gross Margin11.3%12.8%12.3%12.6%1.6%0.0%1.7%0.4%
Net Income Margin 3.3% 2.2% 1.8% 2.7%0.0%0.2%-0.3%0.1%

Revenue and profitability


Metallurgical Corp of China Ltd's Revenue surged on 11.8%. Revenue growth showed acceleration in 17Q4 - it increased 20.0% YoY. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased slightly on 1.1 pp from 10.5% to 9.4% in 2017.

Gross Margin increased slightly on 0.82 pp from 11.5% to 12.3% in 2017. SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in 2017.

Net Income marign showed almost no change in 2017.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 1.7% in 2017. Metallurgical Corp of China Ltd showed almost no change in CAPEX/Revenue from 2014 to 2017. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 1.6%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (5.25%) and ROE (8.44%). ROIC increased slightly on 0.91 pp from 4.3% to 5.3% in 2017. ROE showed almost no change in 2017.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 5.2x Net Debt / EBITDA and 7.8x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.6x from 5.9x to 5.2x in 2017. Debt decreased on 3.0% while cash dropped on 18.5%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Engineering&Construction


Below you can find Metallurgical Corp of China Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Engineering&Construction industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017
China National Culture Group Ltd ($745)-76.8%-55.8%592.3%86.7%
Kingbo Strike Ltd ($1421)19.5%21.3%-47.7%81.8%
NEW Concepts Holdings Ltd ($2221)20.7%100.9%68.6%80.8%
Richly Field China Development Ltd ($313)-45.0%464.2%-65.7%77.2%
Glory Flame Holdings Ltd ($8059)30.8%20.2%1.0%42.9%
 
Median (35 companies)24.8%20.8%10.3%6.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017
Broad Greenstate International Co Ltd ($1253)28.7%35.8%36.7%37.4%
PYI Corp Ltd ($498)5.1%16.3%24.1%31.1%
In Construction Holdings Ltd ($1500)21.9%21.6%29.5%26.3%
Tysan Holdings Ltd ($687)11.7%18.4%17.8%22.8%
Chevalier International Holdings Ltd ($25)26.3%25.9%24.2%21.9%
 
Median (27 companies)16.9%16.1%16.3%12.9%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017
Beijing Capital International Airport Co Ltd ($694)52.9%50.3%51.6%50.9%
Cheung Kong Infrastructure Holdings Ltd ($1038)20.6%36.2%60.9%38.4%
Sino Credit Holdings Ltd ($628)16.0%-5.1%34.9%
Broad Greenstate International Co Ltd ($1253)24.4%28.8%31.0%30.9%
In Construction Holdings Ltd ($1500)20.4%19.1%25.9%23.3%
 
Median (31 companies)11.2%9.7%9.0%5.3%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017
Louis XIII Holdings Ltd ($577)29.5%9.3%16.1%47.3%
Sino Credit Holdings Ltd ($628)4.7%8.8%46.8%
Richly Field China Development Ltd ($313)6.7%1.1%7.6%30.5%
PYI Corp Ltd ($498)4.2%24.5%13.1%19.7%
Grand Ming Group Holdings Ltd ($1271)16.1%8.7%33.8%14.0%
 
Median (26 companies)3.3%1.8%2.1%2.4%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017
In Construction Holdings Ltd ($1500)52.8%37.0%49.4%40.4%
NEW Concepts Holdings Ltd ($2221)51.0%78.8%39.0%23.3%
Chun Sing Engineering Holdings Ltd ($2277)98.3%54.9%43.7%21.6%
Broad Greenstate International Co Ltd ($1253)85.1%51.2%26.0%20.9%
Tysan Holdings Ltd ($687)10.6%14.0%21.0%20.7%
 
Median (37 companies)6.1%5.4%5.6%2.5%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017
Ngai Shun Holdings Ltd ($1246)-0.6x-0.8x-2.1x257.8x
Shun Cheong Holdings ($650)9.2x7.6x67.0x
KFM Kingdom Holdings Ltd ($3816)-0.1x0.5x0.4x53.8x
Chun Wo Development Holdings Ltd ($711)8.1x12.6x15.9x10.5x
Grand Ming Group Holdings Ltd ($1271)6.3x4.1x5.9x5.8x
 
Median (24 companies)0.3x0.2x0.7x0.9x