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China Eastern Airlines Corp Ltd Net Income surged on 40.7% and Revenue increased on 4.2%

29/03/2018 • About China Eastern Airlines Corp Ltd ($670) • By InTwits

China Eastern Airlines Corp Ltd reported 2017 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • China Eastern Airlines Corp Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 16.2%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 17.4%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 24,563 in 2017, 38,715 in 2016, 8,691 in 2015, 5,828 in 2014, 1,822 in 2013
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 5.1%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

China Eastern Airlines Corp Ltd ($670) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201320142015201620172017/2016
P&L
Revenue88,24590,18593,96998,323102,4754.2%
Gross Profit15,736-100.0%
SG&A4,1203,6518,264-100.0%
EBITDA9,80315,24123,46719,24223,35521.4%
Net Income2,3733,4104,5374,5086,34240.7%
Balance Sheet
Cash1,9951,3559,0801,6984,605171.2%
Short Term Debt26,26633,27244,32344,83949,50410.4%
Long Term Debt47,47064,61274,78882,48482,338-0.2%
Cash flow
Capex1,8225,8288,69138,71524,563-36.6%
Ratios
Revenue growth3.5%2.2%4.2%4.6%4.2%
EBITDA growth-17.7%55.5%54.0%-18.0%21.4%
Gross Margin16.0%-16.0%
EBITDA Margin11.1%16.9%25.0%19.6%22.8%3.2%
Net Income Margin2.7%3.8%4.8%4.6%6.2%1.6%
SG&A, % of revenue4.6%3.9%8.4%-8.4%
CAPEX, % of revenue2.1%6.5%9.2%39.4%24.0%-15.4%
ROIC1.6%5.2%8.7%4.2%5.1%0.9%
ROE10.1%12.0%13.5%10.7%12.4%1.7%
Net Debt/EBITDA7.3x6.3x4.7x6.5x5.4x-1.1x


China Eastern Airlines Corp Ltd ($670) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. CNY17Q117Q217Q317Q4YoY change
P&L
Revenue24,47123,41429,42324,1504.1%2.9%1.3%4.9%
Net Income2,8181,5293,568-1,5638.3%142.3%3.1%
Balance Sheet
Cash2,2828,5704,3904,60575.5%-35.2%220.4%171.2%
Short Term Debt24,52548,12935,26949,504-31.4%-19.0%170.5%10.4%
Long Term Debt27,02583,14025,61782,33883.0%26.1%13.6%-0.2%
Ratios
Gross Margin12.2%9.7%21.8%-2.0%-9.0%-5.9%-2.0%-3.4%
Net Income Margin 11.5% 6.5% 12.1% -6.5%0.4%3.8%0.2%3.0%

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue increased on 4.2%. Revenue growth showed acceleration in 17Q4 - it increased 4.9% YoY. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 0.62 pp from 20.4% to 21.0% in 2017.

Net Income marign increased slightly on 1.6 pp from 4.6% to 6.2% in 2017.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2017 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 24.0%. China Eastern Airlines Corp Ltd showed fast CAPEX/Revenue growth of 17.5 pp from 6.5% in 2014 to 24.0% in 2017. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 24.2%.The company investments to CAPEX were large: 105% of EBITDA.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROE (12.37%) while ROIC is low (5.07%). ROIC increased slightly on 0.88 pp from 4.2% to 5.1% in 2017. ROE increased slightly on 1.7 pp from 10.7% to 12.4% in 2017.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 5.4x and Debt / EBITDA is 5.6x. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 1.1x from 6.5x to 5.4x in 2017. Debt increased on 3.5% while cash jumped on 171%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Airlines


Below you can find China Eastern Airlines Corp Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Airlines industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top  FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017
Cathay Pacific Airways Ltd ($293)5.5%-3.4%-9.4%4.9%
 
Median (1 company)5.5%-3.4%-9.4%4.9%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top  FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017
Cathay Pacific Airways Ltd ($293)11.2%12.3%15.0%9.0%8.2%
 
Median (1 company)11.2%12.3%15.0%9.0%8.2%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top  FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017
Cathay Pacific Airways Ltd ($293)20.4%14.0%12.9%16.0%17.4%
 
Median (1 company)20.4%14.0%12.9%16.0%17.4%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top  FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017
Cathay Pacific Airways Ltd ($293)2.9%3.5%5.3%-0.2%-1.0%
 
Median (1 company)2.9%3.5%5.3%-0.2%-1.0%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top  FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017
Cathay Pacific Airways Ltd ($293)4.1x3.5x3.3x6.7x8.4x
 
Median (1 company)4.1x3.5x3.3x6.7x8.4x