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Evergrande Real Estate Group Ltd reports 75.0% EBITDA growth in 2017 and 4.2 pp EBITDA Margin growth from 22.4% to 26.6%

26/03/2018 • About Evergrande Real Estate Group Ltd ($3333) • By InTwits

Evergrande Real Estate Group Ltd reported 2017 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Evergrande Real Estate Group Ltd has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 9.1%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 0.5%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 4,631 in 2017, 3,273 in 2016, 2,419 in 2015, 6,258 in 2014, 4,577 in 2013
  • The company has business model with low profitability: ROIC is at 8.6%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 7.0x while industry average is 3.8x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Evergrande Real Estate Group Ltd ($3333) key annual financial indicators

mln. 201320142015201620172017/2016
P&L
Revenue93,672111,398133,130211,444311,02247.1%
Gross Profit27,64931,78437,41359,422112,26288.9%
SG&A7,78213,19219,46425,58129,45615.1%
EBITDA25,94829,16732,72047,32282,79775.0%
Net Income13,26816,94315,54815,73724,37254.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash40,11829,847103,090198,420152,008-23.4%
Short Term Debt35,79679,663158,744202,906356,38175.6%
Long Term Debt73,02176,401138,162332,164376,24413.3%
Cash flow
Capex12,2598,99715,70016,27114,742-9.4%
Ratios
Revenue growth43.5%18.9%19.5%58.8%47.1%
EBITDA growth52.7%12.4%12.2%44.6%75.0%
Gross Margin29.5%28.5%28.1%28.1%36.1%8.0%
EBITDA Margin27.7%26.2%24.6%22.4%26.6%4.2%
Net Income Margin14.2%15.2%11.7%7.4%7.8%0.4%
SG&A, % of revenue8.3%11.8%14.6%12.1%9.5%-2.6%
CAPEX, % of revenue13.1%8.1%11.8%7.7%4.7%-3.0%
ROIC15.5%11.2%8.1%7.1%8.6%1.4%
ROE29.0%25.3%20.5%10.7%30.7%20.0%
Net Debt/EBITDA2.6x4.3x5.9x7.1x7.0x-0.1x

Revenue and profitability


Evergrande Real Estate Group Ltd's Revenue jumped on 47.1%. Revenue growth happened at the same time with EBITDA margin expansion. EBITDA Margin increased on 4.2 pp from 22.4% to 26.6% in 2017.

Gross Margin increased on 8.0 pp from 28.1% to 36.1% in 2017. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased on 2.6 pp from 12.1% to 9.5% in 2017.

Net Income marign showed almost no change in 2017.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2017 Evergrande Real Estate Group Ltd had CAPEX/Revenue of 4.7%. The company's CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 3.3 pp from 8.1% in 2014 to 4.7% in 2017. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 8.1%.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROE (30.65%) while ROIC is low (8.55%). ROIC increased slightly on 1.4 pp from 7.1% to 8.6% in 2017. ROE surged on 20.0 pp from 10.7% to 30.7% in 2017.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 7.0x Net Debt / EBITDA and 8.8x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.1x from 7.1x to 7.0x in 2017. Debt jumped on 36.9% while cash dropped on 23.4%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Real Estate


Below you can find Evergrande Real Estate Group Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Real Estate industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017
South China Land Ltd ($8155)896.2%
Hon Kwok Land Investment Co Ltd ($160)-73.5%60.4%-5.6%335.1%
Golden Wheel Tiandi Holdings Co Ltd ($1232)-9.6%-4.6%-72.4%309.9%
LVGEM China Real Estate Invest ($95)-21.9%3,008.3%-77.4%259.3%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)-95.2%75.7%678.6%206.4%
 
Median (136 companies)12.4%5.1%4.1%9.9%14.5%
Evergrande Real Estate Group Ltd ($3333)18.9%19.5%58.8%47.1%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017
Tern Properties Co Ltd ($277)98.4%98.4%98.7%98.8%
Wah Ha Realty Co Ltd ($278)96.0%93.2%95.9%92.9%
China Oceanwide Holdings Ltd ($715)81.2%82.0%80.9%90.0%
Tian Teck Land Ltd ($266)86.9%88.9%87.5%87.9%
Hysan Development Co Ltd ($14)86.8%87.5%87.9%87.9%
 
Median (88 companies)41.9%39.2%38.2%42.3%36.8%
Evergrande Real Estate Group Ltd ($3333)29.5%28.5%28.1%28.1%36.1%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017
China Oceanwide Holdings Ltd ($715)110.5%48.4%69.2%204.5%
SOHO China Ltd ($410)80.8%104.0%201.9%175.0%
Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd ($169)43.2%-125.7%28.3%109.9%
Swire Properties Ltd ($1972)114.6%73.2%100.3%105.1%
Sinolink Worldwide Holdings Ltd ($1168)42.2%28.8%15.8%97.2%
 
Median (95 companies)28.5%27.3%23.2%29.4%37.7%
Evergrande Real Estate Group Ltd ($3333)27.7%26.2%24.6%22.4%26.6%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017
Qingdao Holdings International Ltd ($499)0.9%0.1%0.7%607.5%
Pacific Century Premium Developments Ltd ($432)323.1%351.2%340.6%570.7%
Wah Ha Realty Co Ltd ($278)0.0%0.0%289.2%
Cheuk Nang Holdings Ltd ($131)130.3%67.5%144.9%117.6%
Beijing Capital Juda Ltd ($1329)0.1%0.1%83.1%104.7%
 
Median (54 companies)6.1%4.7%3.2%3.3%2.2%
Evergrande Real Estate Group Ltd ($3333)13.1%8.1%11.8%7.7%4.7%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017
Gemdale Properties & Investment Corp Ltd ($535)19.6%10.8%15.9%17.9%
China Resources Land Ltd ($1109)14.7%13.5%13.9%14.4%15.4%
Colour Life Services Group Co Ltd ($1778)47.9%29.3%14.5%13.1%
China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd ($688)15.1%18.5%15.4%13.0%12.8%
Future Land Development Holdings Ltd ($1030)16.0%11.3%12.3%11.9%
 
Median (137 companies)4.0%4.0%2.5%3.4%13.5%
Evergrande Real Estate Group Ltd ($3333)15.5%11.2%8.1%7.1%8.6%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017
Henry Group Holdings Ltd ($859)103.1x-23.1x65.0x
Asia Standard International Group Ltd ($129)3.3x4.4x38.3x
Beijing Capital Land Ltd ($2868)4.6x11.7x49.1x37.0x
Beijing Capital Juda Ltd ($1329)0.6x1.6x11.5x36.3x
Asia Orient Holdings Ltd ($214)2.1x2.7x6.1x33.8x
 
Median (82 companies)2.8x3.0x3.2x2.7x1.4x
Evergrande Real Estate Group Ltd ($3333)2.6x4.3x5.9x7.1x7.0x