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China Vanke Co Ltd EBITDA jumped on 74.0% and EBITDA Margin jumped on 10.1 pp from 16.8% to 26.9%

26/03/2018 • About China Vanke Co Ltd ($2202) • By InTwits

China Vanke Co Ltd reported 2017 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • China Vanke Co Ltd is a fast growth stock: 2017 revenue growth was 8.6%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 19.6% at 2017 ROIC 18.0%
  • China Vanke Co Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.3%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 4.2%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 3,262 in 2017, 1,620 in 2016, 1,427 in 2015, 1,738 in 2014, 1,950 in 2013
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is at 18.0%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

China Vanke Co Ltd ($2202) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201320142015201620172017/2016
P&L
Revenue123,874137,994177,569218,498237,3458.6%
Gross Profit31,07634,63539,41848,75676,72357.4%
SG&A6,8688,5088,88411,96115,89532.9%
EBITDA24,32729,04830,75436,74963,93174.0%
Net Income15,11915,74618,11921,02328,05233.4%
Balance Sheet
Cash43,00461,65351,74879,490164,326106.7%
Short Term Debt47,40822,83243,39146,95462,27332.6%
Long Term Debt44,08246,14952,84485,514128,35250.1%
Cash flow
Capex2,4391,8312,0632,1472,36010.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth27.9%11.4%28.7%23.1%8.6%
EBITDA growth-5.2%19.4%5.9%19.5%74.0%
Gross Margin25.1%25.1%22.2%22.3%32.3%10.0%
EBITDA Margin19.6%21.1%17.3%16.8%26.9%10.1%
Net Income Margin12.2%11.4%10.2%9.6%11.8%2.2%
SG&A, % of revenue5.5%6.2%5.0%5.5%6.7%1.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue2.0%1.3%1.2%1.0%1.0%0.0%
ROIC13.5%14.6%14.1%13.7%18.0%4.3%
ROE21.5%19.1%19.2%19.7%22.8%3.1%
Net Debt/EBITDA2.0x0.3x1.4x1.4x0.4x-1.0x


China Vanke Co Ltd ($2202) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. CNY17Q117Q217Q317Q4YoY change
P&L
Revenue17,23847,41243,007123,61329.2%-14.1%6.8%10.8%
Net Income6956,6073,78816,961-16.5%46.2%30.1%32.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash90,96999,68394,353164,32672.3%40.6%35.0%106.7%
Short Term Debt50,97052,36357,02162,27332.5%39.1%84.3%32.6%
Long Term Debt93,67889,019104,205128,35253.3%43.2%82.5%50.1%
Ratios
Gross Margin24.3%28.4%23.4%34.8%-1.0%10.2%0.1%9.8%
Net Income Margin 4.0% 13.9% 8.8% 13.7%-2.2%5.7%1.6%2.3%

Revenue and profitability


China Vanke Co Ltd's Revenue increased on 8.6%. Revenue growth showed acceleration in 17Q4 - it increased 10.8% YoY. Revenue growth happened at the same time with EBITDA margin expansion. EBITDA Margin surged on 10.1 pp from 16.8% to 26.9% in 2017.

Gross Margin surged on 10.0 pp from 22.3% to 32.3% in 2017. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 1.2 pp from 5.5% to 6.7% in 2017.

Net Income marign increased on 2.2 pp from 9.6% to 11.8% in 2017.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 0.99% in 2017. China Vanke Co Ltd showed almost no change in CAPEX/Revenue from 2014 to 2017. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.0%.

Return on investment


The company operates at high and attractive ROE (22.80%) while ROIC is a bit lower (17.98%). ROIC increased on 4.3 pp from 13.7% to 18.0% in 2017. ROE increased on 3.1 pp from 19.7% to 22.8% in 2017.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 0.4x Net Debt / EBITDA and 3.0x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 1.0x from 1.4x to 0.4x in 2017. Debt surged on 43.9% while cash jumped on 107%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Real Estate


Below we provide China Vanke Co Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Real Estate industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017
South China Land Ltd ($8155)896.2%
Hon Kwok Land Investment Co Ltd ($160)-73.5%60.4%-5.6%335.1%
Golden Wheel Tiandi Holdings Co Ltd ($1232)-9.6%-4.6%-72.4%309.9%
LVGEM China Real Estate Invest ($95)-21.9%3,008.3%-77.4%259.3%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)-95.2%75.7%678.6%206.4%
 
Median (137 companies)12.4%5.2%4.2%10.1%19.2%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017
Tern Properties Co Ltd ($277)98.4%98.4%98.7%98.8%
Wah Ha Realty Co Ltd ($278)96.0%93.2%95.9%92.9%
China Oceanwide Holdings Ltd ($715)81.2%82.0%80.9%90.0%
Tian Teck Land Ltd ($266)86.9%88.9%87.5%87.9%
Hysan Development Co Ltd ($14)86.8%87.5%87.9%87.9%
 
Median (89 companies)41.8%39.1%38.2%42.2%36.1%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017
China Oceanwide Holdings Ltd ($715)110.5%48.4%69.2%204.5%
SOHO China Ltd ($410)80.8%104.0%201.9%175.0%
Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd ($169)43.2%-125.7%28.3%109.9%
Swire Properties Ltd ($1972)114.6%73.2%100.3%105.1%
Sinolink Worldwide Holdings Ltd ($1168)42.2%28.8%15.8%97.2%
 
Median (96 companies)28.5%26.9%23.4%29.2%36.0%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017
Qingdao Holdings International Ltd ($499)0.9%0.1%0.7%607.5%
Pacific Century Premium Developments Ltd ($432)323.1%351.2%340.6%570.7%
Wah Ha Realty Co Ltd ($278)0.0%0.0%289.2%
Cheuk Nang Holdings Ltd ($131)130.3%67.5%144.9%117.6%
Beijing Capital Juda Ltd ($1329)0.1%0.1%83.1%104.7%
 
Median (55 companies)6.1%4.7%3.3%3.8%2.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017
Gemdale Properties & Investment Corp Ltd ($535)19.6%10.8%15.9%17.9%
China Resources Land Ltd ($1109)14.7%13.5%13.9%14.4%15.4%
Colour Life Services Group Co Ltd ($1778)47.9%29.3%14.5%13.1%
China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd ($688)15.1%18.5%15.4%13.0%12.8%
Future Land Development Holdings Ltd ($1030)16.0%11.3%12.3%11.9%
 
Median (138 companies)4.1%4.1%2.5%3.4%12.8%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017
Henry Group Holdings Ltd ($859)103.1x-23.1x65.0x
Asia Standard International Group Ltd ($129)3.3x4.4x38.3x
Beijing Capital Land Ltd ($2868)4.6x11.7x49.1x37.0x
Beijing Capital Juda Ltd ($1329)0.6x1.6x11.5x36.3x
Asia Orient Holdings Ltd ($214)2.1x2.7x6.1x33.8x
 
Median (83 companies)2.7x3.0x3.3x2.7x1.5x