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New China Life Insurance Co Ltd revenue decline decelerated to 1.2% in 2017 vs. 8.3% a year earliner

20/03/2018 • About New China Life Insurance Co Ltd ($1336) • By InTwits

New China Life Insurance Co Ltd reported 2017 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • New China Life Insurance Co Ltd doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2017 ROIC is 1.3%
  • New China Life Insurance Co Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.8%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 0.5%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 3,616 in 2017, 1,089 in 2016, 860 in 2015, 4,151 in 2014, 2,124 in 2013
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 1.3%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 3.3x while industry average is
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

New China Life Insurance Co Ltd ($1336) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201320142015201620172017/2016
P&L
Revenue128,217142,094157,918144,796143,082-1.2%
Net Income4,4226,4068,6014,9425,3838.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash18,57014,50313,90414,2308,812-38.1%
Short Term Debt52,21159,23419,83839,25519,934-49.2%
Long Term Debt15,00019,00019,00014,0004,000-71.4%
Cash flow
Capex1,9952,2782,4751,9323,994106.7%
Ratios
Revenue growth14.8%10.8%11.1%-8.3%-1.2%
Net Income Margin3.4%4.5%5.4%3.4%3.8%0.3%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.6%1.6%1.6%1.3%2.8%1.5%
ROIC1.3%1.6%2.0%1.2%1.3%0.1%
ROE11.8%14.6%16.2%8.5%8.8%0.3%


New China Life Insurance Co Ltd ($1336) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. CNY17Q117Q217Q317Q4YoY change
P&L
Revenue44,20432,09638,41828,290-19.3%-0.4%27.6%1.8%
Net Income1,8371,4001,805341-7.9%4.6%24.2%118.6%
Balance Sheet
Cash18,91215,04411,6728,79430.3%16.9%1.6%-37.8%
Short Term Debt41,87929,76632,78519,934119.2%3.2%15.6%-49.2%
Long Term Debt14,00014,0004,0004,000-26.3%-26.3%-71.4%-71.4%
Ratios
Net Income Margin 4.2% 4.4% 4.7% 1.2%0.5%0.2%-0.1%0.6%

Revenue and profitability


New China Life Insurance Co Ltd's Revenue decreased slightly on 1.2%. Annual revenue decline showed slowdown in 17Q4 - revenue increased slightly on 1.8%.

Net Income marign showed almost no change in 2017.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 2.8% in 2017. The company's CAPEX/Revenue increased slightly on 1.2 pp from 1.6% in 2014 to 2.8% in 2017. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 1.9%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (1.26%) and ROE (8.76%). ROIC showed almost no change in 2017. ROE showed almost no change in 2017.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt dropped on 55.1% while cash dropped on 38.1%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Insurance


Below we provide New China Life Insurance Co Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Insurance industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top  FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017
Manulife Financial Corp ($945)-37.7%203.5%-38.2%57.5%
AIA Group Ltd ($1299)8.6%16.2%-8.2%20.8%
PICC Property & Casualty Co Ltd ($2328)18.1%16.9%17.9%7.9%
China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd ($966)46.0%-9.0%88.8%3.7%
 
Median (4 companies)7.0%12.6%0.9%14.3%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top  FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017
PICC Property & Casualty Co Ltd ($2328)1.0%0.8%0.8%0.7%
China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd ($966)2.3%4.9%0.5%0.7%
AIA Group Ltd ($1299)2.2%1.8%0.6%0.6%
Manulife Financial Corp ($945)0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
 
Median (4 companies)0.5%1.3%0.4%0.6%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017
PICC Property & Casualty Co Ltd ($2328)6.4%7.4%8.7%5.4%
AIA Group Ltd ($1299)2.9%3.2%2.5%3.2%
China Taiping Insurance Holdings Co Ltd ($966)1.3%2.2%3.0%2.4%
Manulife Financial Corp ($945)1.9%2.0%1.1%1.2%
Target Insurance Holdings Ltd ($6161)5.8%7.4%6.2%
 
Median (6 companies)2.7%3.4%2.7%2.8%