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ZTE Corp EBITDA surged on 611% and EBITDA Margin increased on 7.9 pp from 1.4% to 9.3%

01/02/2018 • About ZTE Corp ($763) • By InTwits

ZTE Corp reported 2017 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 9.3% in 2017, 1.4% in 2016, 7.4% in 2015, 8.9% in 2014, 7.5% in 2013
  • ZTE Corp has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 2.1%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 6.1%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 4,154 in 2017, 2,131 in 2016, 1,765 in 2015, 1,049 in 2014, 1,104 in 2013
  • The company has business model with average profitability: ROIC is at 10.3%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

ZTE Corp ($763) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201320142015201620172017/2016
P&L
Revenue75,23480,14098,883101,233108,8157.5%
Gross Profit20,45923,32528,71529,92132,6999.3%
SG&A12,41712,32514,26715,35315,4980.9%
EBITDA5,6767,1037,3371,42010,088610.5%
Net Income1,3582,6343,625-1,8565,069
Balance Sheet
Cash19,41018,11627,71330,05030,1090.2%
Short Term Debt18,72027,55426,41019,32719,6161.5%
Long Term Debt13,81710,0406,0166,4105,950-7.2%
Cash flow
Capex1,1041,0491,7652,1314,15495.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth-10.6%6.5%23.4%2.4%7.5%
EBITDA growth343.7%25.2%3.3%-80.7%610.5%
Gross Margin27.2%29.1%29.0%29.6%30.0%0.5%
EBITDA Margin7.5%8.9%7.4%1.4%9.3%7.9%
Net Income Margin1.8%3.3%3.7%-1.8%4.7%6.5%
SG&A, % of revenue16.5%15.4%14.4%15.2%14.2%-0.9%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.5%1.3%1.8%2.1%3.8%1.7%
ROIC6.8%9.3%8.3%-1.4%10.3%11.7%
ROE6.2%11.1%11.8%-7.2%15.7%23.0%
Net Debt/EBITDA2.3x2.7x0.6x-3.0x-0.5x2.6x


ZTE Corp ($763) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. CNY17Q117Q217Q317Q4YoY change
P&L
Revenue25,51527,96322,41431,98119.0%7.8%-5.3%9.1%
Net Income1,3391,2041,73779024.6%27.9%42.7%
Balance Sheet
Cash29,24926,06626,18230,342-21.7%-11.2%-2.7%-2.7%
Short Term Debt26,65729,37930,26629,384-14.7%19.5%12.5%2.2%
Long Term Debt5,1604,3772,0303,002-17.1%-34.4%-62.4%-40.2%
Ratios
Gross Margin31.9%31.8%29.0%29.2%-1.5%-0.6%1.3%1.4%
Net Income Margin 5.2% 4.3% 7.7% 2.5%0.2%0.7%2.6%19.8%

Revenue and profitability


ZTE Corp's Revenue increased on 7.5%. Revenue growth showed acceleration in 17Q4 - it increased 9.1% YoY. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 0.62 pp from 20.4% to 21.0% in 2017.

Gross Margin showed almost no change in 2017. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased slightly on 0.92 pp from 15.2% to 14.2% in 2017.

Net Income marign increased on 6.5 pp from -1.8% to 4.7% in 2017.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2017 ZTE Corp had CAPEX/Revenue of 3.8%. The company's CAPEX/Revenue increased on 2.5 pp from 1.3% in 2014 to 3.8% in 2017. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 2.6%.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROE (15.74%) while ROIC is low (10.31%). ROIC surged on 11.7 pp from -1.4% to 10.3% in 2017. ROE jumped on 23.0 pp from -7.2% to 15.7% in 2017.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is -0.5x and Debt / EBITDA is 2.5x. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 2.6x from -3.0x to -0.5x in 2017. Debt decreased slightly on 0.66% while cash showed almost no change in 2017.

Appendix 1: Peers in Telecommunications


Below we provide ZTE Corp benchmarking against other companies in Telecommunications industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017
Great World Co Holdings Ltd ($8003)-81.7%61.9%-3.7%1,112.5%
Zheda Lande Scitech Ltd ($8106)6.9%-21.6%34.3%117.3%
Hong Kong Television Network Ltd ($1137)107.4%-82.2%8,010.0%65.8%
Xi'an Haitian Antenna Technologies Co Ltd ($8227)-45.9%-56.2%111.6%55.3%
CCT Fortis Holdings Ltd ($138)-55.3%-71.3%207.1%47.2%
 
Median (37 companies)9.8%9.6%6.1%-2.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017
HKBN Ltd ($1310)84.3%86.5%86.9%83.8%
Netel Technology Holdings Ltd ($8256)42.1%54.9%72.3%73.1%
Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ($215)69.1%52.7%36.2%64.1%
Cisco Systems Inc ($4333)60.6%58.9%60.4%62.9%
HKT Trust & HKT Ltd ($6823)55.7%58.2%55.3%57.3%
 
Median (26 companies)24.3%25.0%22.7%33.5%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017
Asia Satellite Telecommunications Holdings Ltd ($1135)85.8%81.6%82.4%81.5%
Champion Technology Holdings Ltd ($92)41.1%33.1%25.6%58.1%
HKT Trust & HKT Ltd ($6823)35.0%35.9%34.9%37.2%
HKBN Ltd ($1310)39.2%40.1%39.0%35.2%
PCCW Ltd ($8)31.9%39.2%30.6%31.9%
 
Median (28 companies)5.5%5.4%8.3%8.1%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017
Hanny Holdings Ltd ($275)11.6%28.3%0.2%643.1%
Vision Values Holdings Ltd ($862)1.2%8.4%3.0%72.5%
Netel Technology Holdings Ltd ($8256)15.4%16.6%9.0%25.0%
Great World Co Holdings Ltd ($8003)108.7%7.8%0.4%14.6%
Synertone Communication Corp ($1613)38.4%15.8%2.1%14.3%
 
Median (18 companies)2.9%2.9%2.6%6.1%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017
VTech Holdings Ltd ($303)39.5%40.0%39.8%37.9%
Telecom Service One Holdings Ltd ($8145)5.4%26.7%39.8%37.4%
Champion Technology Holdings Ltd ($92)3.0%5.2%0.9%17.4%
Telecom Digital Holdings Ltd ($8336)13.3%20.2%18.9%16.7%
Cisco Systems Inc ($4333)15.8%12.1%13.4%14.7%
 
Median (38 companies)6.0%5.8%5.4%6.0%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017
Z-Obee Holdings Ltd ($948)5.9x70.9x
HKBN Ltd ($1310)3.8x3.0x3.0x3.5x
PCCW Ltd ($8)2.7x2.6x2.9x3.3x
CITIC Telecom International Holdings Ltd ($1883)3.5x3.4x3.2x3.2x
Asia Satellite Telecommunications Holdings Ltd ($1135)-1.2x-1.0x3.2x2.9x
 
Median (18 companies)0.6x0.6x0.6x1.6x