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Dalian Wanda Commercial Properties Co Ltd revenue started to decline in 2016: dropped 100.0% vs. 24.5% growth a year earliner

29/12/2017 • About Dalian Wanda Commercial Properties Co Ltd ($3699) • By InTwits

Dalian Wanda Commercial Properties Co Ltd reported 2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Dalian Wanda Commercial Properties Co Ltd is a company in decline: 2016 revenue growth was -100.0%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -74.4%
  • Dalian Wanda Commercial Properties Co Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 29.4%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 4.9%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 0.80 in 2016, 44,757 in 2015, 44,005 in 2014, 20,932 in 2013, 24,279 in 2012
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 5.5%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Dalian Wanda Commercial Properties Co Ltd ($3699) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue59,09186,77499,783124,20356-100.0%
Gross Profit30,28437,33638,67650,36742-99.9%
SG&A6,9479,21211,73113,15316-99.9%
EBITDA47,73547,98457,84449-99.9%
Net Income27,31024,58124,83929,97132-99.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash48,58569,52593,03566,60643-99.9%
Short Term Debt21,68121,01636,46641,93015-100.0%
Long Term Debt71,547112,977144,505144,71633-100.0%
Cash flow
Capex24,27920,93244,00544,7571-100.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth16.4%46.8%15.0%24.5%-100.0%
EBITDA growth40.6%0.5%-99.9%
Gross Margin51.2%43.0%38.8%40.6%75.1%34.6%
EBITDA Margin80.8%55.3%0.0%46.6%88.2%41.6%
Net Income Margin46.2%28.3%24.9%24.1%56.3%32.2%
SG&A, % of revenue11.8%10.6%11.8%10.6%28.3%17.7%
CAPEX, % of revenue41.1%24.1%44.1%36.0%1.4%-34.6%
ROIC26.8%19.6%12.3%14.4%5.5%-8.9%
ROE37.4%25.3%19.0%18.0%4.7%-13.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.9x1.3x2.1x0.1x-2.0x

Revenue and profitability


Dalian Wanda Commercial Properties Co Ltd's Revenue dropped on 100.0%. Revenue decline happened at the same time with EBITDA margin expansion. EBITDA Margin jumped on 41.6 pp from 46.6% to 88.2% in 2016.

Gross Margin jumped on 34.6 pp from 40.6% to 75.1% in 2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue jumped on 17.7 pp from 10.6% to 28.3% in 2016.

Net Income marign jumped on 32.2 pp from 24.1% to 56.3% in 2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2016 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 1.4%. Dalian Wanda Commercial Properties Co Ltd showed big decline in CAPEX/Revenue of 22.7 pp from 24.1% in 2013 to 1.4% in 2016. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 27.2%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (5.54%) and ROE (4.67%). ROIC decreased on 8.9 pp from 14.4% to 5.5% in 2016. ROE dropped on 13.3 pp from 18.0% to 4.7% in 2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 0.1x Net Debt / EBITDA and 1.0x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 2.0x from 2.1x to 0.1x in 2016. Debt dropped on 100.0% while cash dropped on 99.9%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Real Estate


Below we provide Dalian Wanda Commercial Properties Co Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Real Estate industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd ($124)24,971.2%27.3%
GR Properties Ltd ($108)21.6%-82.9%14.6%1,203.6%
Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd ($169)-51.4%-86.2%1,071.2%-82.8%
Henderson Investment Ltd ($97)737.1%-0.9%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)-95.2%75.7%678.6%206.4%
 
Median (180 companies)21.6%13.1%5.1%4.1%10.3%
Dalian Wanda Commercial Properties Co Ltd ($3699)46.8%15.0%24.5%-100.0%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Renhe Commercial Holdings Co Ltd ($1387)79.0%95.2%97.9%99.9%
Tern Properties Co Ltd ($277)96.7%98.4%98.4%98.7%98.8%
YT Realty Group Ltd ($75)94.4%96.6%96.7%97.6%
Wah Ha Realty Co Ltd ($278)96.3%96.0%93.2%95.9%92.9%
Soundwill Holdings Ltd ($878)53.1%74.5%46.9%95.7%
 
Median (161 companies)41.8%41.1%39.2%38.2%41.9%
Dalian Wanda Commercial Properties Co Ltd ($3699)51.2%43.0%38.8%40.6%75.1%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Chinese Estates Holdings Ltd ($127)356.2%91.6%195.5%397.4%56.8%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)105.3%133.1%143.2%213.9%
SOHO China Ltd ($410)113.6%80.8%104.0%201.9%175.0%
Beijing Properties Holdings Ltd ($925)-606.3%2,162.6%224.3%186.5%
Swire Properties Ltd ($1972)154.5%114.6%73.2%100.3%105.1%
 
Median (180 companies)28.9%28.4%26.9%23.2%29.0%
Dalian Wanda Commercial Properties Co Ltd ($3699)80.8%55.3%46.6%88.2%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
LT Commercial Real Estate Ltd ($112)0.0%18.0%27,965.5%4,834.8%
China Oceanwide Holdings Ltd ($715)0.8%0.3%2.0%880.6%
Madex International Holdings Ltd ($231)174.5%519.7%205.3%350.6%
Pacific Century Premium Developments Ltd ($432)2.9%323.1%351.2%340.6%570.7%
Hon Kwok Land Investment Co Ltd ($160)20.6%157.3%144.5%296.3%28.1%
 
Median (179 companies)5.5%6.1%4.7%3.2%4.0%
Dalian Wanda Commercial Properties Co Ltd ($3699)41.1%24.1%44.1%36.0%1.4%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Hydoo International Holding Ltd ($1396)44.3%62.0%12.9%16.6%
Gemdale Properties & Investment Corp Ltd ($535)15.3%19.6%10.8%15.9%17.9%
China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd ($688)15.1%18.5%15.4%13.0%
Colour Life Services Group Co Ltd ($1778)44.2%47.9%29.3%14.5%13.1%
China Resources Land Ltd ($1109)12.3%14.7%13.5%13.9%14.4%
 
Median (182 companies)4.1%4.0%4.0%2.5%3.4%
Dalian Wanda Commercial Properties Co Ltd ($3699)26.8%19.6%12.3%14.4%5.5%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Shui On Land Ltd ($272)22.1x13.2x17.1x54.2x7.3x
Beijing Capital Land Ltd ($2868)7.1x4.6x11.7x49.1x37.0x
Talent Property Group Ltd ($760)43.0x
Mingfa Group International Co Ltd ($846)2.5x3.0x6.3x42.9x
Sunshine 100 China Holdings Ltd ($2608)9.9x12.4x12.9x42.3x
 
Median (137 companies)2.4x2.8x3.0x3.3x2.9x
Dalian Wanda Commercial Properties Co Ltd ($3699)0.9x1.3x2.1x0.1x