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Jiangxi Copper Co Ltd EBITDA jumped on 33.8% and EBITDA Margin showed almost no change

30/03/2017 • About Jiangxi Copper Co Ltd ($358) • By InTwits

Jiangxi Copper Co Ltd reported 2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 2.2% in 2016, 1.8% in 2015, 2.0% in 2014, 3.4% in 2013, 4.7% in 2012
  • Jiangxi Copper Co Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.0%. At the same time it's in pair with industry average of 4.2%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 7,708 in 2016, 6,427 in 2015, 11,432 in 2014, 5,292 in 2013, 3,588 in 2012
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 3.8%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Jiangxi Copper Co Ltd ($358) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue158,006175,292198,264185,228201,7288.9%
Gross Profit7,4356,5336,0393,7756,56473.9%
SG&A1,8022,3062,2932,5562,254-11.8%
EBITDA7,4315,9184,0543,3444,47533.8%
Net Income5,1703,5562,85169083721.4%
Balance Sheet
Cash16,67819,66619,39416,7058,275-50.5%
Short Term Debt12,41715,74621,53223,26014,956-35.7%
Long Term Debt6,2996,0456,927348228-34.4%
Cash flow
Capex2,3361,9501,7381,4271,62013.5%
Ratios
Revenue growth34.9%10.9%13.1%-6.6%8.9%
EBITDA growth-15.2%-20.4%-31.5%-17.5%33.8%
Gross Margin4.7%3.7%3.0%2.0%3.3%1.2%
EBITDA Margin4.7%3.4%2.0%1.8%2.2%0.4%
Net Income Margin3.3%2.0%1.4%0.4%0.4%0.0%
SG&A, % of revenue1.1%1.3%1.2%1.4%1.1%-0.3%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.5%1.1%0.9%0.8%0.8%0.0%
ROIC10.3%6.8%3.5%2.3%3.8%1.5%
ROE12.6%8.1%6.3%1.5%1.8%0.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.3x0.4x2.2x2.1x1.5x-0.5x


Jiangxi Copper Co Ltd ($358) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. CNY16Q116Q216Q316Q4YoY change
P&L
Revenue38,74251,23150,20061,555
Net Income201272515-204
Balance Sheet
Cash19,26313,45315,3388,275
Short Term Debt29,44027,23018,77720,663
Long Term Debt420233169228
Ratios
Gross Margin2.1%2.6%2.4%5.0%
Net Income Margin 0.5% 0.5% 1.0% -0.3%

Revenue and profitability


Jiangxi Copper Co Ltd's Revenue increased on 8.9%. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 0.77 pp from 9.8% to 10.5% in 2016.

Gross Margin increased slightly on 1.2 pp from 2.0% to 3.3% in 2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in 2016.

Net Income marign showed almost no change in 2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 0.80% in 2016. The company showed almost no change in CAPEX/Revenue from 2013 to 2016. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 0.82%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (3.77%) and ROE (1.81%). ROIC increased slightly on 1.5 pp from 2.3% to 3.8% in 2016. ROE showed almost no change in 2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 1.5x and Debt / EBITDA is 3.4x. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.5x from 2.1x to 1.5x in 2016. Debt dropped on 35.7% while cash dropped on 50.5%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Mining


Below we provide Jiangxi Copper Co Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Mining industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Mongolia Energy Corp Ltd ($276)89.7%-95.8%2,361.6%1,178.3%
Real Gold Mining Ltd ($246)-44.0%-68.0%-26.2%106.2%
REX Global Entertainment Holdings Ltd ($164)81.6%-15.5%96.4%30.4%
Hengxing Gold Holding Co Ltd ($2303)3,467.3%78.0%157.6%
Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd ($2899)2.5%18.1%26.9%6.1%
 
Median (49 companies)6.4%0.6%-5.1%-20.8%6.1%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Sino Prosper Group Holdings Ltd ($766)2.5%5.1%39.6%93.0%87.4%
REX Global Entertainment Holdings Ltd ($164)-15.8%-7.8%-0.8%88.6%87.3%
China Billion Resources Ltd ($274)71.4%47.2%73.4%79.7%
Sun International Resources Ltd ($8029)83.2%73.1%64.8%69.4%58.8%
Grand T G Gold Holdings Ltd ($8299)57.3%59.0%
 
Median (50 companies)15.2%14.0%15.4%15.5%24.0%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
G-Resources Group Ltd ($1051)54.5%53.4%58.3%
Grand T G Gold Holdings Ltd ($8299)53.7%58.9%
China Precious Metal Resources Holdings Co Ltd ($1194)70.0%64.6%59.6%51.3%
Timeless Software Ltd ($8028)-113.1%24.7%-13.7%46.1%28.0%
Hengxing Gold Holding Co Ltd ($2303)-766.2%24.5%43.9%
 
Median (51 companies)4.9%7.8%5.2%5.1%11.5%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Mongolia Energy Corp Ltd ($276)8,006.5%1,061.7%30,555.4%1,973.0%20.9%
Kaz Minerals ($847)36.6%136.5%168.8%168.7%41.9%
Chinalco Mining Corp International ($3668)115.6%
China Dynamics Holdings Ltd ($476)1.8%0.0%1.0%113.8%5.7%
MMG Ltd ($1208)25.7%22.6%41.9%100.4%31.0%
 
Median (50 companies)17.2%16.8%15.8%12.1%7.0%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
CGN Mining Co Ltd ($1164)2.6%3.3%7.9%16.7%
United Co RUSAL PLC ($486)0.3%-9.0%6.3%12.3%9.0%
Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Ltd ($98)7.6%8.8%11.7%11.8%
Timeless Software Ltd ($8028)-29.1%7.3%-4.6%11.6%3.9%
China Hongqiao Group Ltd ($1378)24.8%17.0%14.1%10.6%
 
Median (52 companies)1.5%2.7%0.8%-1.1%1.9%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd ($661)9.2x9.7x9.2x31.5x
Chinalco Mining Corp International ($3668)25.0x
MMG Ltd ($1208)2.1x2.0x10.2x20.2x10.4x
Kaz Minerals ($847)2.4x2.9x5.5x18.7x8.8x
China Precious Metal Resources Holdings Co Ltd ($1194)1.5x4.1x6.4x13.5x
 
Median (30 companies)2.0x1.9x4.4x3.8x4.4x