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Fosun International Ltd CAPEX dropped on 32.9% and Revenue decreased on 6.1%

28/03/2017 • About Fosun International Ltd ($656) • By InTwits

Fosun International Ltd reported 2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Fosun International Ltd has medium CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 9.4%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 4.9%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 1,432 in 2016, 1,594 in 2015, 1,879 in 2014, 3,298 in 2013, 4,912 in 2012
  • The company has business model with low profitability: ROIC is at 7.6%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Fosun International Ltd ($656) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue51,76551,01761,73878,79773,967-6.1%
Gross Profit9,32510,35814,61617,66225,87246.5%
SG&A5,7786,60811,34916,44723,37342.1%
EBITDA8,65511,75212,90017,52921,57723.1%
Net Income3,7075,5196,8548,03810,26827.7%
Balance Sheet
Cash19,31412,77725,84937,95535,755-5.8%
Short Term Debt27,15231,80946,74149,06044,155-10.0%
Long Term Debt30,15537,52549,71466,77082,60723.7%
Cash flow
Capex4,7016,5085,0317,8905,296-32.9%
Ratios
Revenue growth-8.9%-1.4%21.0%27.6%-6.1%
EBITDA growth-3.3%35.8%9.8%35.9%23.1%
Gross Margin18.0%20.3%23.7%22.4%35.0%12.6%
EBITDA Margin16.7%23.0%20.9%22.2%29.2%6.9%
Net Income Margin7.2%10.8%11.1%10.2%13.9%3.7%
SG&A, % of revenue11.2%13.0%18.4%20.9%31.6%10.7%
CAPEX, % of revenue9.1%12.8%8.1%10.0%7.2%-2.9%
ROIC6.1%7.9%6.8%6.9%7.6%0.7%
ROE11.1%14.8%15.4%12.9%12.2%-0.7%
Net Debt/EBITDA4.4x4.8x5.5x4.4x4.2x-0.2x

Revenue and profitability


Fosun International Ltd's Revenue decreased on 6.1%. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin increased on 6.9 pp from 22.2% to 29.2% in 2016.

Gross Margin surged on 12.6 pp from 22.4% to 35.0% in 2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue surged on 10.7 pp from 20.9% to 31.6% in 2016.

Net Income marign increased on 3.7 pp from 10.2% to 13.9% in 2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


Fosun International Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue was 7.2% in 2016. Fosun International Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 5.6 pp from 12.8% in 2013 to 7.2% in 2016. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 8.4%.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROE (12.22%) while ROIC is low (7.64%). ROIC increased slightly on 0.74 pp from 6.9% to 7.6% in 2016. ROE decreased slightly on 0.68 pp from 12.9% to 12.2% in 2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 4.2x and Debt / EBITDA is 5.9x. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.2x from 4.4x to 4.2x in 2016. Debt increased on 9.4% while cash decreased on 5.8%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Iron/Steel


Below we provide Fosun International Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Iron/Steel industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
CAA Resources Ltd ($2112)103.2%38.0%261.2%125.5%
Newton Resources Ltd ($1231)-41.6%170.9%
Wanguo International Mining Group Ltd ($3939)-1.0%-11.0%-16.2%0.7%
Da Ming International Holdings Ltd ($1090)29.3%29.8%-8.1%13.7%
China Metal International Holdings Inc ($319)-2.5%7.3%8.0%-10.8%
 
Median (19 companies)-12.0%0.6%-6.0%-21.1%15.5%
Fosun International Ltd ($656)-1.4%21.0%27.6%-6.1%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Newton Resources Ltd ($1231)-223.7%15.7%37.5%
Wanguo International Mining Group Ltd ($3939)47.4%50.7%39.6%29.2%
China Metal International Holdings Inc ($319)20.9%24.3%24.8%25.5%
China Hanking Holdings Ltd ($3788)53.6%54.4%35.1%23.8%
Vale SA ($6210)45.4%48.3%33.1%19.6%35.4%
 
Median (19 companies)14.8%12.7%11.3%8.5%9.4%
Fosun International Ltd ($656)18.0%20.3%23.7%22.4%35.0%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Wanguo International Mining Group Ltd ($3939)39.7%36.2%31.3%26.7%
China Metal International Holdings Inc ($319)19.7%21.3%21.0%22.0%
Xingda International Holdings Ltd ($1899)17.3%22.2%19.1%13.6%
Tiangong International Co Ltd ($826)25.1%25.8%19.3%11.6%
Xiwang Special Steel Co Ltd ($1266)9.2%11.7%13.4%11.2%
 
Median (19 companies)12.6%11.7%7.1%1.9%3,240.6%
Fosun International Ltd ($656)16.7%23.0%20.9%22.2%29.2%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Newton Resources Ltd ($1231)926.9%1,395.7%197.0%
Vale SA ($6210)34.0%28.1%29.8%34.5%18.3%
China Hanking Holdings Ltd ($3788)38.0%35.7%20.2%30.5%
Pan Asia Mining Ltd ($8173)1.5%0.4%2.4%24.4%7.6%
China Vanadium Titano - Magnetite Mining Co Ltd ($893)8.9%10.5%20.4%24.1%
 
Median (19 companies)8.3%10.5%6.4%7.2%12.9%
Fosun International Ltd ($656)9.1%12.8%8.1%10.0%7.2%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
China Metal International Holdings Inc ($319)11.0%12.0%12.7%11.4%
Wanguo International Mining Group Ltd ($3939)38.4%24.4%15.0%11.1%
Golik Holdings Ltd ($1118)7.0%7.4%10.0%10.8%
CAA Resources Ltd ($2112)69.2%33.5%2.2%6.9%
Xiwang Special Steel Co Ltd ($1266)7.8%8.7%11.5%4.6%
 
Median (19 companies)6.7%7.5%3.1%-3.9%33.9%
Fosun International Ltd ($656)6.1%7.9%6.8%6.9%7.6%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Angang Steel Co Ltd ($347)21.4x4.0x4.3x29.1x
China Hanking Holdings Ltd ($3788)0.4x2.5x4.7x27.3x
Tiangong International Co Ltd ($826)2.5x3.0x3.2x6.9x
China Oriental Group Co Ltd ($581)4.6x5.3x4.5x3.3x
Xiwang Special Steel Co Ltd ($1266)5.8x4.3x1.9x2.1x
 
Median (10 companies)2.1x2.5x2.9x1.5x4.2x
Fosun International Ltd ($656)4.4x4.8x5.5x4.4x4.2x