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Agricultural Bank of China Ltd revenue decreased on 7.5%

28/03/2017 • About Agricultural Bank of China Ltd ($1288) • By InTwits

Agricultural Bank of China Ltd reported 2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Agricultural Bank of China Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 3.4%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 2.3%.
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 6.2%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Agricultural Bank of China Ltd ($1288) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue653,759709,088800,181836,616773,879-7.5%
Net Income145,094166,315179,461180,582183,9411.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash2,613,1112,603,8022,743,0652,587,0572,811,6538.7%
Short Term Debt941,421945,3271,106,4861,585,7321,475,569-6.9%
Long Term Debt150,951156,404272,115259,075493,15990.4%
Cash flow
Capex27,87028,17025,99721,68722,6374.4%
Ratios
Revenue growth19.5%8.5%12.8%4.6%-7.5%
Net Income Margin22.2%23.5%22.4%21.6%23.8%2.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue4.3%4.0%3.2%2.6%2.9%0.3%
ROIC9.9%10.0%9.3%7.4%6.2%-1.1%
ROE20.7%20.9%19.6%16.8%15.5%-1.3%


Agricultural Bank of China Ltd ($1288) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. CNY16Q116Q216Q316Q4YoY change
P&L
Revenue207,382187,954191,993124,127
Net Income54,68850,46049,02229,771
Balance Sheet
Cash2,661,9872,628,9452,862,0872,811,653
Short Term Debt1,264,8231,436,4401,234,8831,475,569
Long Term Debt453,217265,718535,124493,159
Ratios
Net Income Margin 26.4% 26.8% 25.5% 24.0%

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 7.5%.

Net Income marign increased on 2.2 pp from 21.6% to 23.8% in 2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2016 Agricultural Bank of China Ltd had CAPEX/Revenue of 2.9%. CAPEX/Revenue decreased slightly on 1.0 pp from 4.0% in 2013 to 2.9% in 2016. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 2.9%.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROE (15.53%) while ROIC is low (6.25%). ROIC decreased slightly on 1.1 pp from 7.4% to 6.2% in 2016. ROE decreased slightly on 1.3 pp from 16.8% to 15.5% in 2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt increased on 6.7% while cash increased on 8.7%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Banks


Below you can find Agricultural Bank of China Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Banks industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
KVB Kunlun Financial Group Ltd ($8077)43.4%6.8%116.4%
Huishang Bank Corp Ltd ($3698)22.8%24.3%24.6%17.3%
Shengjing Bank Co Ltd ($2066)36.3%40.1%24.3%17.5%
Bank of Chongqing Co Ltd ($1963)26.6%28.4%18.5%
BOC Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ($2388)15.1%11.4%-3.0%11.6%
 
Median (14 companies)36.7%12.1%23.6%4.8%-3.3%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top  FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
KVB Kunlun Financial Group Ltd ($8077)4.1%29.9%27.0%33.5%
 
Median (1 company)4.1%29.9%27.0%33.5%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Dah Sing Banking Group Ltd ($2356)3.9%4.1%2.2%7.5%
Dah Sing Financial Holdings Ltd ($440)3.0%3.4%1.7%5.9%
Harbin Bank Co Ltd ($6138)19.8%9.9%6.5%5.8%
Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank Co Ltd ($3618)4.0%4.3%4.8%4.4%2.0%
Shengjing Bank Co Ltd ($2066)1.6%2.2%5.0%3.0%2.3%
 
Median (14 companies)2.6%2.9%1.8%2.5%1.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Hang Seng Bank Ltd ($11)8.6%9.5%9.0%8.3%8.1%
Chong Hing Bank Ltd ($1111)5.5%5.2%16.4%5.7%5.6%
Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank Co Ltd ($3618)6.3%5.7%5.2%4.3%4.1%
Huishang Bank Corp Ltd ($3698)8.4%6.8%5.8%4.3%4.0%
Shengjing Bank Co Ltd ($2066)6.0%6.6%5.3%3.5%2.3%
 
Median (12 companies)6.0%6.2%5.4%4.3%3.1%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top  FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
KVB Kunlun Financial Group Ltd ($8077)-66.3x-7.1x-10.6x-5.7x
 
Median (1 company)-66.3x-7.1x-10.6x-5.7x