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China Merchants Bank Co Ltd reports 92.8% CAPEX growth while 2.6% Revenue decline

24/03/2017 • About China Merchants Bank Co Ltd ($3968) • By InTwits

China Merchants Bank Co Ltd reported 2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • China Merchants Bank Co Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 3.9%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 2.3%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 17,504 in 2016, 9,079 in 2015, 8,125 in 2014, 8,211 in 2013, 6,494 in 2012
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 4.0%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 0.9x while industry average is
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

China Merchants Bank Co Ltd ($3968) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue176,882209,841280,956302,557295,523-2.3%
Net Income45,26851,74355,91157,69662,0817.6%
Balance Sheet
Cash752,262556,089710,771584,342597,5292.3%
Short Term Debt368,507639,314859,0391,168,7021,356,51016.1%
Long Term Debt77,11168,936104,86459,77653,163-11.1%
Cash flow
Capex6,4948,2118,1259,07917,50492.8%
Ratios
Revenue growth24.0%18.6%33.9%7.7%-2.3%
Net Income Margin25.6%24.7%19.9%19.1%21.0%1.9%
CAPEX, % of revenue3.7%3.9%2.9%3.0%5.9%2.9%
ROIC8.6%6.8%5.9%4.7%4.0%-0.7%
ROE24.8%22.2%19.3%17.1%16.3%-0.8%


China Merchants Bank Co Ltd ($3968) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. CNY16Q116Q216Q316Q4YoY change
P&L
Revenue83,26272,82968,76671,515
Net Income18,35016,88116,9119,939
Balance Sheet
Cash662,577693,195641,332597,529
Short Term Debt836,034627,150747,5041,356,510
Long Term Debt353,156346,427306,63653,163
Ratios
Net Income Margin 22.0% 23.2% 24.6% 13.9%

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue decreased on 2.3%.

Net Income marign increased slightly on 1.9 pp from 19.1% to 21.0% in 2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


China Merchants Bank Co Ltd's CAPEX/Revenue was 5.9% in 2016. CAPEX/Revenue increased on 2.0 pp from 3.9% in 2013 to 5.9% in 2016. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 3.9%.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROE (16.27%) while ROIC is low (4.04%). ROIC decreased slightly on 0.65 pp from 4.7% to 4.0% in 2016. ROE decreased slightly on 0.82 pp from 17.1% to 16.3% in 2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt surged on 14.7% while cash increased on 2.3%.

Management team


Tian Huiyu is a the company's CEO. Tian Huiyu has spent 5 years at the company.

Appendix 1: Peers in Banks


Below we provide China Merchants Bank Co Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Banks industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
KVB Kunlun Financial Group Ltd ($8077)43.4%6.8%116.4%
Huishang Bank Corp Ltd ($3698)22.8%24.3%24.6%17.3%
Shengjing Bank Co Ltd ($2066)36.3%40.1%24.3%17.5%
Bank of Chongqing Co Ltd ($1963)26.6%28.4%18.5%
BOC Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ($2388)15.1%11.4%-3.0%11.6%
 
Median (14 companies)36.7%12.1%23.6%4.8%-3.3%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top  FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
KVB Kunlun Financial Group Ltd ($8077)4.1%29.9%27.0%33.5%
 
Median (1 company)4.1%29.9%27.0%33.5%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Dah Sing Banking Group Ltd ($2356)3.9%4.1%2.2%7.5%
Dah Sing Financial Holdings Ltd ($440)3.0%3.4%1.7%5.9%
Harbin Bank Co Ltd ($6138)19.8%9.9%6.5%5.8%
Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank Co Ltd ($3618)4.0%4.3%4.8%4.4%2.0%
Shengjing Bank Co Ltd ($2066)1.6%2.2%5.0%3.0%2.3%
 
Median (14 companies)2.6%2.9%1.8%2.5%1.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Hang Seng Bank Ltd ($11)8.6%9.5%9.0%8.3%8.1%
Chong Hing Bank Ltd ($1111)5.5%5.2%16.4%5.7%5.6%
Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank Co Ltd ($3618)6.3%5.7%5.2%4.3%4.1%
Huishang Bank Corp Ltd ($3698)8.4%6.8%5.8%4.3%4.0%
Shengjing Bank Co Ltd ($2066)6.0%6.6%5.3%3.5%2.3%
 
Median (12 companies)6.0%6.2%5.4%4.3%3.1%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top  FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
KVB Kunlun Financial Group Ltd ($8077)-66.3x-7.1x-10.6x-5.7x
 
Median (1 company)-66.3x-7.1x-10.6x-5.7x