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ZTE Corp EBITDA dropped on 70.5% in 2016 and EBITDA Margin decreased on 5.3 pp from 7.4% to 2.2%

23/03/2017 • About ZTE Corp ($763) • By InTwits

ZTE Corp reported 2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • ZTE Corp doesn't have a profitable business model yet: 2016 ROIC is -1.4%
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 1.4% in 2016, 7.4% in 2015, 8.9% in 2014, 7.5% in 2013, 1.5% in 2012
  • ZTE Corp has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.7%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 5.9%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 9,905 in 2016, 8,485 in 2015, 4,319 in 2014, 4,881 in 2013, 3,970 in 2012
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -1.4%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

ZTE Corp ($763) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue84,11975,23480,14098,883101,2332.4%
Gross Profit18,57320,45923,32528,71529,9214.2%
SG&A13,79012,41712,32514,26715,3537.6%
EBITDA1,2795,6767,1037,3371,420-80.7%
Net Income-2,8411,3582,6343,625-1,856-151.2%
Balance Sheet
Cash21,19319,41018,11627,71330,0508.4%
Short Term Debt26,61718,72027,55426,41019,327-26.8%
Long Term Debt11,11613,81710,0406,0166,4106.5%
Cash flow
Capex1,5041,1041,0491,7652,13120.7%
Ratios
Revenue growth-2.5%-10.6%6.5%23.4%2.4%
EBITDA growth-78.3%343.7%25.2%3.3%-80.7%
Gross Margin22.1%27.2%29.1%29.0%29.6%0.5%
EBITDA Margin1.5%7.5%8.9%7.4%1.4%-6.0%
Net Income Margin-3.4%1.8%3.3%3.7%-1.8%-5.5%
SG&A, % of revenue16.4%16.5%15.4%14.4%15.2%0.7%
CAPEX, % of revenue1.8%1.5%1.3%1.8%2.1%0.3%
ROIC-0.5%6.8%9.3%8.3%-1.4%-9.7%
ROE-12.4%6.2%11.1%11.8%-7.2%-19.0%
Net Debt/EBITDA12.9x2.3x2.7x0.6x-3.0x-3.7x


ZTE Corp ($763) key quoterly financial indicators

mln. CNY16Q116Q216Q316Q4YoY change
P&L
Revenue21,43725,95023,67129,308
Net Income1,0749421,217-5,090
Balance Sheet
Cash37,33729,34526,91331,199
Short Term Debt31,25024,57926,90928,754
Long Term Debt6,2226,6765,4005,018
Ratios
Gross Margin33.4%32.4%27.7%27.8%
Net Income Margin 5.0% 3.6% 5.1% -17.4%

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue increased on 2.4%. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 2.1 pp from 31.4% to 33.5% in 2016.

Gross Margin increased slightly on 0.52 pp from 29.0% to 29.6% in 2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 0.74 pp from 14.4% to 15.2% in 2016.

Net Income marign decreased on 5.5 pp from 3.7% to -1.8% in 2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2016 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 2.1%. The company showed small growth in CAPEX/Revenue of 0.64 pp from 1.5% in 2013 to 2.1% in 2016. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 1.7%.ZTE Corp maintained rich investment policy and has spent a lot to CAPEX (150% of EBITDA).

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-1.42%) and ROE (-7.21%). ROIC decreased on 9.7 pp from 8.3% to -1.4% in 2016. ROE dropped on 19.0 pp from 11.8% to -7.2% in 2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is -3.0x Net Debt / EBITDA and 18.1x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 3.7x from 0.6x to -3.0x in 2016. Debt dropped on 20.6% while cash increased on 8.4%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Telecommunications


Below you can find ZTE Corp benchmarking vs. other companies in Telecommunications industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Hong Kong Television Network Ltd ($1137)107.4%-82.2%8,010.0%65.8%
Hanny Holdings Ltd ($275)131.2%-85.2%349.3%-78.5%
CCT Fortis Holdings Ltd ($138)-24.1%-55.3%-71.3%207.1%
Xi'an Haitian Antenna Technologies Co Ltd ($8227)-8.5%-45.9%-56.2%111.6%
China Trends Holdings Ltd ($8171)-70.2%-16.7%106.0%-22.7%
 
Median (54 companies)12.2%9.8%9.6%6.1%-2.7%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
HKBN Ltd ($1310)84.3%86.5%86.9%83.8%
Netel Technology Holdings Ltd ($8256)27.9%42.1%54.9%72.3%73.1%
Great World Co Holdings Ltd ($8003)-11.0%43.0%45.5%67.9%42.0%
APT Satellite Holdings Ltd ($1045)58.7%64.1%62.5%61.0%
Cisco Systems Inc ($4333)61.2%60.6%58.9%60.4%62.9%
 
Median (51 companies)23.6%24.3%25.0%22.7%35.6%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Asia Satellite Telecommunications Holdings Ltd ($1135)86.5%85.8%81.6%82.4%81.5%
APT Satellite Holdings Ltd ($1045)81.0%78.9%77.5%78.8%
Synertone Communication Corp ($1613)44.9%48.5%49.4%51.5%-77.6%
HKBN Ltd ($1310)39.2%40.1%39.0%35.2%
HKT Trust & HKT Ltd ($6823)36.3%35.0%35.9%34.9%37.2%
 
Median (54 companies)7.2%5.5%5.4%8.3%8.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
APT Satellite Holdings Ltd ($1045)74.3%2.5%27.2%115.8%
Hong Kong Television Network Ltd ($1137)12,435.9%504.9%1,283.5%79.4%
Asia Satellite Telecommunications Holdings Ltd ($1135)93.8%71.7%75.0%52.8%
China Fiber Optic Network System Group Ltd ($3777)4.8%16.3%13.1%31.9%
Directel Holdings Ltd ($8337)2.1%0.1%0.6%30.2%
 
Median (54 companies)2.1%2.9%2.9%2.6%8.4%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Telecom Service One Holdings Ltd ($8145)95.0%5.4%26.7%39.8%37.4%
VTech Holdings Ltd ($303)37.6%39.5%40.0%39.8%37.9%
Coolpad Group Ltd ($2369)8.1%6.0%9.6%29.1%
Telecom Digital Holdings Ltd ($8336)13.3%20.2%18.9%16.7%
SmarTone Telecommunications Holdings Ltd ($315)37.2%23.1%12.8%17.7%14.5%
 
Median (55 companies)7.3%6.0%5.8%5.4%5.2%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
CCT Land Holdings Ltd ($261)10.1x23.8x48.4x44.8x
China Energine International Holdings Ltd ($1185)13.3x31.7x
China Ground Source Energy Industry Group Ltd ($8128)-1.6x3.5x14.3x11.3x
China Electronics Corp Holdings Co Ltd ($85)-2.0x-1.3x12.5x7.6x
China All Access Holdings Ltd ($633)0.9x1.8x5.2x5.6x
 
Median (39 companies)-0.2x0.6x0.6x0.6x1.7x