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Dalian Port PDA Co Ltd revenue growth accelerated from 12.0% in 2015 to 44.4% in 2016

23/03/2017 • About Dalian Port PDA Co Ltd ($2880) • By InTwits

Dalian Port PDA Co Ltd reported 2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is declining: 11.3% in 2016 vs. 17.5% in 2015 vs. 35.2% in 2012
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 11.3% in 2016, 17.5% in 2015, 18.6% in 2014, 23.3% in 2013, 35.2% in 2012
  • Dalian Port PDA Co Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 11.8%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 8.6%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 2,677 in 2016, 6,180 in 2015, 5,301 in 2014, 9,886 in 2013, 5,328 in 2012
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 2.6%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 0.6x while industry average is -1.7x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Dalian Port PDA Co Ltd ($2880) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue4,4546,8427,9018,84512,77044.4%
Gross Profit1,3971,4471,3331,4131,343-5.0%
SG&A4915595866246646.5%
EBITDA1,5661,5921,4721,5501,447-6.6%
Net Income6006835214845319.6%
Balance Sheet
Cash2,5072,3392,4462,9336,662127.1%
Short Term Debt1,8403,6391,4851,1601,54833.4%
Long Term Debt9,5536,3707,8498,1695,926-27.5%
Cash flow
Capex8639198271,013556-45.2%
Ratios
Revenue growth17.4%53.6%15.5%12.0%44.4%
EBITDA growth3.5%1.7%-7.6%5.3%-6.6%
Gross Margin31.4%21.2%16.9%16.0%10.5%-5.5%
EBITDA Margin35.2%23.3%18.6%17.5%11.3%-6.2%
Net Income Margin13.5%10.0%6.6%5.5%4.2%-1.3%
SG&A, % of revenue11.0%8.2%7.4%7.1%5.2%-1.9%
CAPEX, % of revenue19.4%13.4%10.5%11.5%4.4%-7.1%
ROIC3.6%3.5%3.0%3.2%2.6%-0.6%
ROE4.7%5.2%3.8%3.5%3.3%-0.2%
Net Debt/EBITDA5.7x4.8x4.7x4.1x0.6x-3.6x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue jumped on 44.4%. Despite revenue decline the EBITDA margin expanded. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 1.6 pp from 2.6% to 4.2% in FY2016.

Gross Margin decreased on 5.5 pp from 16.0% to 10.5% in 2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased slightly on 1.9 pp from 7.1% to 5.2% in 2016.

Net Income marign decreased slightly on 1.3 pp from 5.5% to 4.2% in 2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2016 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 4.4%. The company's CAPEX/Revenue decreased on 9.1 pp from 13.4% in 2013 to 4.4% in 2016. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 8.8%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (2.62%) and ROE (3.34%). ROIC decreased slightly on 0.60 pp from 3.2% to 2.6% in 2016. ROE showed almost no change in 2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 0.6x and Debt / EBITDA is 5.2x. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 3.6x from 4.1x to 0.6x in 2016. Debt dropped on 19.9% while cash jumped on 127%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Commercial Services


Below we provide Dalian Port PDA Co Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Commercial Services industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Kai Yuan Holdings Ltd ($1215)99.1%14.9%-88.3%271.8%
China Seven Star Holdings Ltd ($245)-81.8%-39.3%195.3%14.5%
China Smartpay Group Holdings Ltd ($8325)274.7%75.6%124.5%79.5%
Celebrate International Holdings Ltd ($8212)1,437.6%-6.3%117.0%-78.1%
Haier Healthwise Holdings Ltd ($348)-50.1%-7.5%101.1%-9.4%
 
Median (67 companies)-6.2%8.6%9.8%4.0%8.0%
Dalian Port PDA Co Ltd ($2880)53.6%15.5%12.0%44.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
HC International Inc ($2280)87.5%91.9%92.5%89.6%
Winto Group Holdings Ltd ($8238)90.2%93.4%92.0%88.4%
Dingyi Group Investment Ltd ($508)75.8%64.5%86.0%89.6%
Fu Shou Yuan International Group Ltd ($1448)80.5%80.4%80.0%77.6%79.1%
Nirvana Asia Ltd ($1438)68.3%69.6%70.5%75.7%
 
Median (61 companies)31.9%31.0%31.1%31.5%31.9%
Dalian Port PDA Co Ltd ($2880)31.4%21.2%16.9%16.0%10.5%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Zuoli Kechuang Micro-Finance Co Ltd ($6866)61.6%84.9%75.9%80.9%
Shenzhen International Holdings Ltd ($152)60.2%65.8%97.1%73.6%
Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd ($1052)78.3%74.5%74.0%71.6%84.1%
CAR Inc ($699)43.6%30.1%43.1%67.4%62.5%
Jiangsu Expressway Co Ltd ($177)57.0%60.7%59.3%61.5%
 
Median (67 companies)17.5%14.9%11.2%9.8%1.5%
Dalian Port PDA Co Ltd ($2880)35.2%23.3%18.6%17.5%11.3%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Blue Sky Power Holdings Ltd ($6828)21.3%9.0%13.9%47.4%
COSCO Pacific Ltd ($1199)96.6%66.6%43.3%45.8%
Shenzhen International Holdings Ltd ($152)23.0%22.1%20.9%35.0%
Celebrate International Holdings Ltd ($8212)211.7%12.0%6.2%34.2%18.6%
China Maple Leaf Educational Systems Ltd ($1317)25.7%50.9%21.1%32.8%18.0%
 
Median (67 companies)2.7%3.4%2.4%2.8%2.3%
Dalian Port PDA Co Ltd ($2880)19.4%13.4%10.5%11.5%4.4%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Bamboos Health Care Holdings Ltd ($8216)71.1%50.1%58.3%40.0%
Wonderful Sky Financial Group Holdings Ltd ($1260)51.5%26.6%30.0%29.5%19.8%
1010 Printing Group Ltd ($1127)13.5%20.8%17.8%19.9%18.8%
China Packaging Holdings Development Ltd ($1439)52.0%46.6%34.1%19.8%
iOne Holdings Ltd ($982)12.5%11.1%9.4%19.2%
 
Median (67 companies)7.5%7.0%6.7%3.6%2.0%
Dalian Port PDA Co Ltd ($2880)3.6%3.5%3.0%3.2%2.6%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Celebrate International Holdings Ltd ($8212)22.2x
Kai Yuan Holdings Ltd ($1215)-143.8x-0.7x18.8x
Eagle Legend Asia Ltd ($936)4.0x4.0x3.3x6.2x
Sichuan Expressway Co Ltd ($107)2.7x3.8x4.3x5.5x
Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd ($1052)4.5x3.1x2.7x5.3x3.5x
 
Median (44 companies)-0.0x-0.7x-0.9x-0.8x-2.3x
Dalian Port PDA Co Ltd ($2880)5.7x4.8x4.7x4.1x0.6x