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CNOOC Ltd Net Income dropped on 96.9% in 2016 and EBITDA Margin decreased on 8.2 pp from 53.0% to 44.8%

23/03/2017 • About CNOOC Ltd ($883) • By InTwits

CNOOC Ltd reported 2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • CNOOC Ltd is a company in decline: 2016 revenue growth was -14.6%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -9.5%
  • CNOOC Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 33.0%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 12.1%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 2,147 in 2016, 2,063 in 2015, 1,831 in 2014, 2,439 in 2013, 151 in 2012
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -0.6%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

CNOOC Ltd ($883) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue247,627285,857274,634171,437146,490-14.6%
SG&A3,3777,8596,6135,7056,49313.8%
EBITDA120,044134,959139,20190,89565,594-27.8%
Net Income63,69156,46160,19920,246637-96.9%
Balance Sheet
Cash55,02414,31814,91811,86713,73515.7%
Short Term Debt28,83049,84131,18033,58519,678-41.4%
Long Term Debt29,05682,011105,383131,060130,798-0.2%
Cash flow
Capex62,89886,71795,67367,67451,347-24.1%
Ratios
Revenue growth2.8%15.4%-3.9%-37.6%-14.6%
EBITDA growth-0.9%12.4%3.1%-34.7%-27.8%
EBITDA Margin48.5%47.2%50.7%53.0%44.8%-8.2%
Net Income Margin25.7%19.8%21.9%11.8%0.4%-11.4%
SG&A, % of revenue1.4%2.7%2.4%3.3%4.4%1.1%
CAPEX, % of revenue25.4%30.3%34.8%39.5%35.1%-4.4%
ROIC25.7%18.1%15.8%3.2%-0.6%-3.9%
ROE22.2%17.3%16.7%5.3%0.2%-5.1%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.0x0.9x0.9x1.7x2.1x0.4x

Revenue and profitability


CNOOC Ltd's Revenue dropped on 14.6%. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin decreased on 8.2 pp from 53.0% to 44.8% in 2016.

SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 1.1 pp from 3.3% to 4.4% in 2016.

Net Income marign dropped on 11.4 pp from 11.8% to 0.43% in 2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2016 CNOOC Ltd had CAPEX/Revenue of 35.1%. CAPEX/Revenue increased on 4.7 pp from 30.3% in 2013 to 35.1% in 2016. For the last three years the average CAPEX/Revenue was 36.5%.The company invested a big chunk of EBITDA (78.3%) to CAPEX which didn't stop revenue from falling.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-0.62%) and low but positive ROE (0.17%). ROIC decreased on 3.9 pp from 3.2% to -0.62% in 2016. ROE decreased on 5.1 pp from 5.3% to 0.17% in 2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 2.1x Net Debt / EBITDA and 2.3x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 0.4x from 1.7x to 2.1x in 2016. Debt decreased on 8.6% while cash surged on 15.7%.

Management team


Yang Hua is a CNOOC Ltd's CEO. Yang Hua has spent 8 years at the company. The company's CFO is Zhong Hua. Zhong Hua has 8 years tenure at the company.

Appendix 1: Peers in Oil&Gas


Below you can find CNOOC Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Oil&Gas industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Enviro Energy International Holdings Ltd ($1102)-57.9%1,572.5%-9.6%1,162.8%
Sino Oil And Gas Holdings Ltd ($702)-17.5%-25.3%-23.4%305.2%
Shanghai Tonva Petrochemical Co Ltd ($1103)33.1%-10.1%55.4%74.7%
China CBM Group Co Ltd ($8270)-27.6%1.8%60.9%9.3%
Yanchang Petroleum International Ltd ($346)641.9%155.6%15.5%4.4%
 
Median (15 companies)-13.9%8.7%-4.6%-11.5%18.7%
CNOOC Ltd ($883)-3.9%-37.6%-14.6%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
United Energy Group Ltd ($467)39.4%48.0%53.8%51.5%52.6%
EPI Holdings Ltd ($689)58.0%50.7%54.6%41.2%
Zhongyu Gas Holdings Ltd ($3633)23.6%23.8%24.9%24.0%
South Sea Petroleum Holdings Ltd ($76)27.3%25.3%38.5%22.2%
COSCO International Holdings Ltd ($517)6.9%7.5%10.6%11.5%
 
Median (11 companies)8.8%5.4%9.7%6.1%4.2%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Kunlun Energy Co Ltd ($135)47.0%39.5%34.9%30.9%
Zhongyu Gas Holdings Ltd ($3633)18.6%18.9%21.0%21.5%
China CBM Group Co Ltd ($8270)16.0%-4.7%7.5%11.4%
Shanghai Tonva Petrochemical Co Ltd ($1103)4.2%6.0%6.9%5.4%3.5%
Brightoil Petroleum Holdings Ltd ($933)1.1%-0.6%1.4%4.7%6.5%
 
Median (15 companies)2.1%-0.1%3.5%-10.9%5.0%
CNOOC Ltd ($883)47.2%50.7%53.0%44.8%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
MIE Holdings Corp ($1555)52.2%43.3%44.1%62.4%
United Energy Group Ltd ($467)37.2%62.7%42.4%49.1%
Zhongyu Gas Holdings Ltd ($3633)8.2%17.8%18.9%22.9%
Kunlun Energy Co Ltd ($135)46.7%35.5%19.9%14.2%
EPI Holdings Ltd ($689)30.6%30.9%4.1%12.8%
 
Median (15 companies)13.4%5.3%4.1%5.1%2.4%
CNOOC Ltd ($883)30.3%34.8%39.5%35.1%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Shanghai Tonva Petrochemical Co Ltd ($1103)7.3%12.6%13.0%13.9%9.6%
Brightoil Petroleum Holdings Ltd ($933)4.2%-4.4%6.5%13.8%6.7%
Zhongyu Gas Holdings Ltd ($3633)17.4%15.0%12.3%8.2%
Kunlun Energy Co Ltd ($135)13.0%12.6%11.0%7.7%
COSCO International Holdings Ltd ($517)3.8%2.4%2.9%2.8%
 
Median (17 companies)-0.7%-0.0%-0.6%-3.7%6.7%
CNOOC Ltd ($883)18.1%15.8%3.2%-0.6%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Zhongyu Gas Holdings Ltd ($3633)1.6x2.3x3.7x4.8x
Brightoil Petroleum Holdings Ltd ($933)8.9x3.1x2.9x2.6x
Shanghai Tonva Petrochemical Co Ltd ($1103)6.0x4.3x3.6x2.8x3.5x
China CBM Group Co Ltd ($8270)3.2x3.3x2.1x
Kunlun Energy Co Ltd ($135)0.8x1.0x0.9x0.9x
 
Median (6 companies)1.6x1.0x3.2x2.4x3.0x
CNOOC Ltd ($883)0.9x0.9x1.7x2.1x