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Shui On Land Ltd EBITDA surged on 520% in 2016 and EBITDA Margin surged on 16.3 pp from 12.7% to 29.0%

22/03/2017 • About Shui On Land Ltd ($272) • By InTwits

Shui On Land Ltd reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • The company has potentially unprofitable business model: ROIC is at 4.9%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 7.3x while industry average is 4.2x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Shui On Land Ltd ($272) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue4,8219,82810,2496,47217,600171.9%
Gross Profit2,0603,1553,4461,6895,905249.6%
SG&A9451,2661,2341,1261,2137.7%
EBITDA1,3942,4562,4138245,110520.1%
Net Income2,0482,4392,3131,3391,53714.8%
Balance Sheet
Cash6,2875,3786,6683,3449,653188.7%
Short Term Debt10,4296,31511,47312,77812,457-2.5%
Long Term Debt26,72331,38136,56235,21434,666-1.6%
Cash flow
Capex4,0814,6364,4702,962-100.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth-43.2%103.9%4.3%-36.9%171.9%
EBITDA growth-54.0%76.2%-1.8%-65.9%520.1%
Gross Margin42.7%32.1%33.6%26.1%33.6%7.5%
EBITDA Margin28.9%25.0%23.5%12.7%29.0%16.3%
Net Income Margin42.5%24.8%22.6%20.7%8.7%-12.0%
SG&A, % of revenue19.6%12.9%12.0%17.4%6.9%-10.5%
CAPEX, % of revenue84.7%47.2%43.6%45.8%-45.8%
ROIC1.7%2.7%2.4%0.7%4.9%4.2%
ROE6.8%6.3%4.8%2.1%2.9%0.8%
Net Debt/EBITDA22.1x13.2x17.1x54.2x7.3x-46.9x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue surged on 172%. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased on 4.7 pp from 19.2% to 23.9% in FY2016.

Gross Margin increased on 7.5 pp from 26.1% to 33.6% in FY2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue dropped on 10.5 pp from 17.4% to 6.9% in FY2016.

Net Income marign dropped on 12.0 pp from 20.7% to 8.7% in FY2016.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (4.94%) and ROE (2.94%). ROIC increased on 4.2 pp from 0.70% to 4.9% in FY2016. ROE increased slightly on 0.82 pp from 2.1% to 2.9% in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 7.3x and Debt / EBITDA is 9.2x. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 46.9x from 54.2x to 7.3x in FY2016. Debt decreased slightly on 1.8% while cash jumped on 189%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Real Estate


Below we provide Shui On Land Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Real Estate industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd ($124)24,971.2%
GR Properties Ltd ($108)21.6%-82.9%14.6%1,203.6%
Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd ($169)-51.4%-86.2%1,071.2%-82.8%
Henderson Investment Ltd ($97)737.1%-0.9%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)-95.2%75.7%678.6%206.4%
 
Median (179 companies)17.9%13.1%5.3%4.5%8.3%
Shui On Land Ltd ($272)103.9%4.3%-36.9%171.9%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Renhe Commercial Holdings Co Ltd ($1387)79.0%95.2%97.9%99.9%
Tern Properties Co Ltd ($277)96.7%98.4%98.4%98.7%98.8%
YT Realty Group Ltd ($75)94.4%96.6%96.7%97.6%
Wah Ha Realty Co Ltd ($278)96.3%96.0%93.2%95.9%92.9%
Soundwill Holdings Ltd ($878)53.1%74.5%46.9%95.7%
 
Median (160 companies)41.9%41.9%39.3%38.4%43.6%
Shui On Land Ltd ($272)42.7%32.1%33.6%26.1%33.6%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Chinese Estates Holdings Ltd ($127)356.2%91.6%195.5%397.4%56.8%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)105.3%133.1%143.2%213.9%
SOHO China Ltd ($410)113.6%80.8%104.0%201.9%
Beijing Properties Holdings Ltd ($925)-606.3%2,162.6%224.3%186.5%
Swire Properties Ltd ($1972)154.5%114.6%73.2%100.3%105.1%
 
Median (179 companies)29.3%28.5%27.8%23.5%31.7%
Shui On Land Ltd ($272)28.9%25.0%23.5%12.7%29.0%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
LT Commercial Real Estate Ltd ($112)0.0%18.0%27,965.5%4,834.8%
China Oceanwide Holdings Ltd ($715)0.8%0.3%2.0%880.6%
Madex International Holdings Ltd ($231)174.5%519.7%205.3%350.6%
Pacific Century Premium Developments Ltd ($432)2.9%323.1%351.2%340.6%570.7%
Hon Kwok Land Investment Co Ltd ($160)20.6%157.3%144.5%296.3%28.1%
 
Median (179 companies)5.6%6.1%4.7%3.2%3.8%
Shui On Land Ltd ($272)84.7%47.2%43.6%45.8%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Hydoo International Holding Ltd ($1396)44.3%62.0%12.9%16.6%
Gemdale Properties & Investment Corp Ltd ($535)15.3%19.6%10.8%15.9%17.9%
China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd ($688)15.1%18.5%15.4%13.0%
Colour Life Services Group Co Ltd ($1778)44.2%47.9%29.3%14.5%13.1%
Dalian Wanda Commercial Properties Co Ltd ($3699)26.8%19.6%12.3%14.4%
 
Median (181 companies)4.2%4.1%4.2%2.5%3.3%
Shui On Land Ltd ($272)1.7%2.7%2.4%0.7%4.9%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Beijing Capital Land Ltd ($2868)7.1x4.6x11.7x49.1x37.0x
Talent Property Group Ltd ($760)43.0x
Mingfa Group International Co Ltd ($846)2.5x3.0x6.3x42.9x
Sunshine 100 China Holdings Ltd ($2608)9.9x12.4x12.9x42.3x
Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ($337)6.2x49.3x38.4x
 
Median (136 companies)2.3x2.7x3.0x3.2x2.7x
Shui On Land Ltd ($272)22.1x13.2x17.1x54.2x7.3x