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China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd EBITDA Margin dropped on 32.9 pp from 32.9% to in 2016

22/03/2017 • About China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd ($688) • By InTwits

China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd reported 2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd is a fast growth stock: 2016 revenue growth was 13.3%, 5 year revenue CAGR was 25.3% at 2016 ROIC 13.0%
  • China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd has low CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 3.4%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 0.5%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 3,273 in 2016, 2,419 in 2015, 6,258 in 2014, 4,577 in 2013, 1,703 in 2012
  • The company has highly profitable business model: ROIC is at 13.0%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd ($688) key annual financial indicators

mln. HKD201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue64,58182,469130,957140,131158,71713.3%
Gross Profit24,72526,82239,31042,31245,6437.9%
SG&A2,0372,8173,9904,2136,55155.5%
EBITDA26,75827,78543,06746,17057,27824.1%
Net Income18,72223,04427,20033,31237,02111.1%
Balance Sheet
Cash39,88040,87658,281100,573157,16256.3%
Short Term Debt5,5464,14522,6667,26940,286454.2%
Long Term Debt54,06869,39775,890109,271133,53422.2%
Cash flow
Capex1,7034,5776,2582,4193,27335.3%
Ratios
Revenue growth25.8%27.7%58.8%7.0%13.3%
EBITDA growth20.3%3.8%55.0%7.2%24.1%
Gross Margin38.3%32.5%30.0%30.2%28.8%-1.4%
EBITDA Margin41.4%33.7%32.9%32.9%36.1%3.1%
Net Income Margin29.0%27.9%20.8%23.8%23.3%-0.4%
SG&A, % of revenue3.2%3.4%3.0%3.0%4.1%1.1%
CAPEX, % of revenue2.6%5.5%4.8%1.7%2.1%0.3%
ROIC18.4%15.1%18.5%15.4%13.0%-2.4%
ROE23.6%23.4%22.3%20.5%17.1%-3.3%
Net Debt/EBITDA0.7x1.2x0.9x0.3x0.3x-0.1x

Revenue and profitability


China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd's Revenue surged on 13.3%. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin increased slightly on 0.77 pp from 9.8% to 10.5% in 2016.

Gross Margin decreased slightly on 1.4 pp from 30.2% to 28.8% in 2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue increased slightly on 1.1 pp from 3.0% to 4.1% in 2016.

Net Income marign showed almost no change in 2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 2.1% in 2016. The company showed decline in CAPEX/Revenue of 3.5 pp from 5.5% in 2013 to 2.1% in 2016. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 2.9%.

Return on investment


The company operates at good ROIC (13.02%) and ROE (17.15%). ROIC decreased on 2.4 pp from 15.4% to 13.0% in 2016. ROE decreased on 3.3 pp from 20.5% to 17.1% in 2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 0.3x and Debt / EBITDA is 3.0x. Net Debt / EBITDA decreased on 0.1x from 0.3x to 0.3x in 2016. Debt jumped on 49.2% while cash jumped on 56.3%.

Valuation


China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd's trades at EV/EBITDA 4.6x and P/E 6.7x while industy averages are 17.8x and 21.9x. China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd's EV/(EBITDA-CAPEX) is 4.9x with the industry average at 22.8x.

Management team


The company's CEO Yan Jianguo has spent 1 year at the company. China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd's CFO Nip Yun Wing "Horace" has spent 9 years at the company.

Appendix 1: Peers in Real Estate


Below we provide China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Real Estate industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd ($124)24,971.2%
GR Properties Ltd ($108)21.6%-82.9%14.6%1,203.6%
Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd ($169)-51.4%-86.2%1,071.2%-82.8%
Henderson Investment Ltd ($97)737.1%-0.9%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)-95.2%75.7%678.6%206.4%
 
Median (179 companies)17.9%13.1%5.2%4.2%8.3%
China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd ($688)58.8%7.0%13.3%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Renhe Commercial Holdings Co Ltd ($1387)79.0%95.2%97.9%99.9%
Tern Properties Co Ltd ($277)96.7%98.4%98.4%98.7%98.8%
YT Realty Group Ltd ($75)94.4%96.6%96.7%97.6%
Wah Ha Realty Co Ltd ($278)96.3%96.0%93.2%95.9%92.9%
Soundwill Holdings Ltd ($878)53.1%74.5%46.9%95.7%
 
Median (160 companies)41.9%41.9%39.3%38.4%43.6%
China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd ($688)32.5%30.0%30.2%28.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Chinese Estates Holdings Ltd ($127)356.2%91.6%195.5%397.4%56.8%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)105.3%133.1%143.2%213.9%
SOHO China Ltd ($410)113.6%80.8%104.0%201.9%
Beijing Properties Holdings Ltd ($925)-606.3%2,162.6%224.3%186.5%
Swire Properties Ltd ($1972)154.5%114.6%73.2%100.3%105.1%
 
Median (179 companies)29.1%28.3%26.9%23.4%30.3%
China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd ($688)33.7%32.9%32.9%36.1%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
LT Commercial Real Estate Ltd ($112)0.0%18.0%27,965.5%4,834.8%
China Oceanwide Holdings Ltd ($715)0.8%0.3%2.0%880.6%
Madex International Holdings Ltd ($231)174.5%519.7%205.3%350.6%
Pacific Century Premium Developments Ltd ($432)2.9%323.1%351.2%340.6%570.7%
Hon Kwok Land Investment Co Ltd ($160)20.6%157.3%144.5%296.3%28.1%
 
Median (179 companies)5.7%6.2%4.7%3.3%4.0%
China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd ($688)5.5%4.8%1.7%2.1%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Hydoo International Holding Ltd ($1396)44.3%62.0%12.9%16.6%
Gemdale Properties & Investment Corp Ltd ($535)15.3%19.6%10.8%15.9%17.9%
Colour Life Services Group Co Ltd ($1778)44.2%47.9%29.3%14.5%13.1%
Dalian Wanda Commercial Properties Co Ltd ($3699)26.8%19.6%12.3%14.4%
China Resources Land Ltd ($1109)12.3%14.7%13.5%13.9%14.4%
 
Median (181 companies)4.1%4.0%4.1%2.4%3.3%
China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd ($688)15.1%18.5%15.4%13.0%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Shui On Land Ltd ($272)22.1x13.2x17.1x54.2x7.3x
Beijing Capital Land Ltd ($2868)7.1x4.6x11.7x49.1x37.0x
Talent Property Group Ltd ($760)43.0x
Mingfa Group International Co Ltd ($846)2.5x3.0x6.3x42.9x
Sunshine 100 China Holdings Ltd ($2608)9.9x12.4x12.9x42.3x
 
Median (136 companies)2.4x2.8x3.0x3.3x3.1x
China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd ($688)1.2x0.9x0.3x0.3x