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China Oilfield Services Ltd reports 220% EBITDA decline and 34.9% Revenue decline

21/03/2017 • About China Oilfield Services Ltd ($2883) • By InTwits

China Oilfield Services Ltd reported 2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • China Oilfield Services Ltd is a company in decline: 2016 revenue growth was -34.9%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -3.9%
  • EBITDA Margin is declining: -46.7% in 2016 vs. 25.2% in 2015 vs. 39.8% in 2012
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: -46.7% in 2016, 25.2% in 2015, 37.0% in 2014, 40.0% in 2013, 39.8% in 2012
  • China Oilfield Services Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 23.3%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 8.2%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 2,146 in 2016, 5,856 in 2015, 9,841 in 2014, 8,456 in 2013, 3,643 in 2012
  • The company has unprofitable business model: ROIC is at -14.3%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 9.3x while industry average is 4.9x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

China Oilfield Services Ltd ($2883) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue22,10527,36432,99323,17415,086-34.9%
Gross Profit-2,210
SG&A185566
EBITDA8,79210,95912,1965,845-7,038-220.4%
Net Income4,5596,7167,4921,074-11,456-1,166.8%
Balance Sheet
Cash9,8159,6015,43212,5746,071-51.7%
Short Term Debt1,6603,8043,81711,4525,990-47.7%
Long Term Debt31,71027,02723,32023,87327,33714.5%
Cash flow
Capex3,6438,4569,8415,8562,146-63.4%
Ratios
Revenue growth20.0%23.8%20.6%-29.8%-34.9%
EBITDA growth9.2%24.6%11.3%-52.1%-220.4%
Gross Margin-14.7%-14.7%
EBITDA Margin39.8%40.0%37.0%25.2%-46.7%-71.9%
Net Income Margin20.6%24.5%22.7%4.6%-75.9%-80.6%
SG&A, % of revenue0.8%3.8%3.8%
CAPEX, % of revenue16.5%30.9%29.8%25.3%14.2%-11.0%
ROIC8.9%11.2%11.6%2.1%-14.3%-16.4%
ROE15.0%19.3%17.7%2.3%-28.0%-30.2%
Net Debt/EBITDA2.7x1.9x1.8x3.9x-3.9x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 34.9%. Revenue decline was accompanies by EBITDA margin decline. EBITDA Margin dropped on 71.9 pp from 25.2% to -46.7% in 2016.

Net Income marign dropped on 80.6 pp from 4.6% to -75.9% in 2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


In 2016 the company had CAPEX/Revenue of 14.2%. China Oilfield Services Ltd showed big decline in CAPEX/Revenue of 16.7 pp from 30.9% in 2013 to 14.2% in 2016. Average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 23.1%.

Return on investment


The company operates at negative ROIC (-14.31%) and ROE (-27.96%). ROIC dropped on 16.4 pp from 2.1% to -14.3% in 2016. ROE dropped on 30.2 pp from 2.3% to -28.0% in 2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 9.3x Net Debt / EBITDA and Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 3.9x from 3.9x to in 2016. Debt decreased on 5.7% while cash dropped on 51.7%.

Management team


Qi Meisheng is a the company's CEO. Qi Meisheng has spent 2 years at the company.

Appendix 1: Peers in Oil&Gas Services


Below we provide China Oilfield Services Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Oil&Gas Services industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Hans Energy Co Ltd ($554)40.8%8.0%-4.0%5.5%
Hilong Holding Ltd ($1623)23.5%8.3%5.0%-3.6%
Sinopec Engineering Group Co Ltd ($2386)13.1%13.3%-7.8%-13.5%
Petro-King Oilfield Services Ltd ($2178)543.3%0.3%-33.5%-10.5%
Anton Oilfield Services Group/Hong Kong ($3337)59.2%26.4%-18.2%-11.5%
 
Median (12 companies)27.6%9.1%0.5%-27.4%-8.4%
China Oilfield Services Ltd ($2883)23.8%20.6%-29.8%-34.9%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Sinopec Kantons Holdings Ltd ($934)1.1%0.7%4.4%41.1%
Hilong Holding Ltd ($1623)39.5%40.3%39.6%32.6%
Anton Oilfield Services Group/Hong Kong ($3337)45.0%44.3%31.2%31.8%
TSC Group Holdings Ltd ($206)30.7%31.6%27.8%27.9%
Jutal Offshore Oil Services Ltd ($3303)21.7%25.1%19.6%19.6%
 
Median (10 companies)16.9%17.6%15.8%19.1%6.2%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Sinopec Kantons Holdings Ltd ($934)1.5%0.9%6.6%63.8%
Hans Energy Co Ltd ($554)40.4%45.0%42.8%42.7%
Hilong Holding Ltd ($1623)25.9%27.8%28.8%22.7%
Anton Oilfield Services Group/Hong Kong ($3337)24.5%28.0%12.5%17.2%
CIMC Enric Holdings Ltd ($3899)13.1%14.0%12.5%10.6%
 
Median (12 companies)12.4%14.0%11.0%8.6%0.9%
China Oilfield Services Ltd ($2883)39.8%40.0%37.0%25.2%-46.7%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
SPT Energy Group Inc ($1251)7.4%5.6%7.9%23.5%
Sinopec Kantons Holdings Ltd ($934)0.8%1.7%6.7%15.8%
Petro-King Oilfield Services Ltd ($2178)13.3%13.3%75.4%12.3%
Hilong Holding Ltd ($1623)16.7%18.9%48.1%9.6%
Anton Oilfield Services Group/Hong Kong ($3337)12.6%32.2%22.8%9.5%
 
Median (12 companies)6.4%5.2%6.3%7.2%0.2%
China Oilfield Services Ltd ($2883)16.5%30.9%29.8%25.3%14.2%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Sinopec Engineering Group Co Ltd ($2386)77.5%33.3%18.6%15.3%7.8%
CIMC Enric Holdings Ltd ($3899)20.3%20.0%21.3%8.9%
Hilong Holding Ltd ($1623)15.5%14.8%12.0%6.0%
Sinopec Kantons Holdings Ltd ($934)3.5%0.4%6.0%5.0%
Yuan Heng Gas Holdings Ltd ($332)-59.8%-0.0%25.6%3.9%-0.4%
 
Median (12 companies)10.7%11.1%7.9%1.8%3.7%
China Oilfield Services Ltd ($2883)8.9%11.2%11.6%2.1%-14.3%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Hans Energy Co Ltd ($554)14.0x11.9x12.9x11.3x
Yuan Heng Gas Holdings Ltd ($332)2.7x8.9x18.1x
Anton Oilfield Services Group/Hong Kong ($3337)0.0x0.9x7.4x6.4x
Hilong Holding Ltd ($1623)0.9x1.1x2.6x3.3x
Sinopec Kantons Holdings Ltd ($934)-7.1x-7.4x2.5x2.2x
 
Median (10 companies)0.0x-0.4x1.8x2.1x18.1x
China Oilfield Services Ltd ($2883)2.7x1.9x1.8x3.9x