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Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd EBITDA jumped on 87.5% in 2016 and Revenue increased on 6.1%

17/03/2017 • About Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd ($2899) • By InTwits

Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd reported 2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • EBITDA Margin is quite volatile: 11.2% in 2016, 6.4% in 2015, 10.1% in 2014, 14.2% in 2013, 21.6% in 2012
  • Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 11.7%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 19.0%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 1,493 in FY2016, 660 in FY2015, 544 in FY2014, 1,504 in FY2013, 1,099 in FY2012
  • The company has business model with low profitability: ROIC is at 7.1%
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd ($2899) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue47,87449,05257,92273,49477,9436.1%
Gross Profit11,4998,2067,0405,4868,16148.8%
SG&A2,1752,4052,7402,6932,8676.5%
EBITDA10,3276,9795,8714,6698,75287.5%
Net Income5,2112,1252,3451,6561,84011.1%
Balance Sheet
Cash6,4673,8783,3204,7924,8431.1%
Short Term Debt7,2494,4346,18212,68421,16366.8%
Long Term Debt9,64212,40416,26317,55122,04625.6%
Cash flow
Capex7,9968,6216,2214,8585,52113.6%
Ratios
Revenue growth21.6%2.5%18.1%26.9%6.1%
EBITDA growth-3.5%-32.4%-15.9%-20.5%87.5%
Gross Margin24.0%16.7%12.2%7.5%10.5%3.0%
EBITDA Margin21.6%14.2%10.1%6.4%11.2%4.9%
Net Income Margin10.9%4.3%4.0%2.3%2.4%0.1%
SG&A, % of revenue4.5%4.9%4.7%3.7%3.7%0.0%
CAPEX, % of revenue16.7%17.6%10.7%6.6%7.1%0.5%
ROIC18.8%9.2%6.5%2.6%7.1%4.5%
ROE19.6%7.6%8.4%6.0%6.7%0.7%
Net Debt/EBITDA1.0x1.9x3.3x5.4x4.4x-1.1x

Revenue and profitability


Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd's Revenue increased on 6.1%. Revenue growth happened at the same time with EBITDA margin expansion. EBITDA Margin increased on 4.9 pp from 6.4% to 11.2% in 2016.

Gross Margin increased on 3.0 pp from 7.5% to 10.5% in 2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in 2016.

Net Income marign showed almost no change in 2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 7.1% in 2016. The company's CAPEX/Revenue dropped on 10.5 pp from 17.6% in 2013 to 7.1% in 2016. It's average level of CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 8.1%.Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd maintained rich investment policy and has spent a big chunk of EBITDA (63.1%) to CAPEX.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (7.10%) and ROE (6.65%). ROIC increased on 4.5 pp from 2.6% to 7.1% in 2016. ROE increased slightly on 0.70 pp from 6.0% to 6.7% in 2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Company's Net Debt / EBITDA is 4.4x and Debt / EBITDA is 4.9x. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 1.1x from 5.4x to 4.4x in 2016. Debt jumped on 42.9% while cash increased slightly on 1.1%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Mining


Below you can find Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Mining industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Mongolia Energy Corp Ltd ($276)89.7%-95.8%2,361.6%1,178.3%
Real Gold Mining Ltd ($246)-44.0%-68.0%-26.2%106.2%
REX Global Entertainment Holdings Ltd ($164)81.6%-15.5%96.4%30.4%
Hengxing Gold Holding Co Ltd ($2303)3,467.3%78.0%
China Gold International Resources Corp Ltd ($2099)-9.0%-8.2%22.4%
 
Median (47 companies)6.7%-1.7%-5.9%-20.8%3.8%
Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd ($2899)2.5%18.1%26.9%6.1%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Sino Prosper Group Holdings Ltd ($766)2.5%5.1%39.6%93.0%87.4%
REX Global Entertainment Holdings Ltd ($164)-15.8%-7.8%-0.8%88.6%87.3%
China Billion Resources Ltd ($274)71.4%47.2%73.4%79.7%
Sun International Resources Ltd ($8029)83.2%73.1%64.8%69.4%58.8%
Grand T G Gold Holdings Ltd ($8299)57.3%59.0%
 
Median (49 companies)14.4%13.8%15.5%16.7%28.2%
Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd ($2899)24.0%16.7%12.2%7.5%10.5%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
G-Resources Group Ltd ($1051)54.5%53.4%58.3%
Grand T G Gold Holdings Ltd ($8299)53.7%58.9%
China Precious Metal Resources Holdings Co Ltd ($1194)70.0%64.6%59.6%51.3%
Timeless Software Ltd ($8028)-113.1%24.7%-13.7%46.1%28.0%
Hengxing Gold Holding Co Ltd ($2303)-766.2%24.5%43.9%
 
Median (49 companies)4.9%7.8%5.2%5.1%11.5%
Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd ($2899)21.6%14.2%10.1%6.4%11.2%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Mongolia Energy Corp Ltd ($276)8,006.5%1,061.7%30,555.4%1,973.0%20.9%
Kaz Minerals ($847)36.6%136.5%168.8%168.7%41.9%
Chinalco Mining Corp International ($3668)115.6%
China Dynamics Holdings Ltd ($476)1.8%0.0%1.0%113.8%5.7%
MMG Ltd ($1208)25.7%22.6%41.9%100.4%31.0%
 
Median (48 companies)17.7%17.1%16.5%12.5%7.0%
Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd ($2899)16.7%17.6%10.7%6.6%7.1%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
CGN Mining Co Ltd ($1164)2.6%3.3%7.9%16.7%
United Co RUSAL PLC ($486)0.3%-9.0%6.3%12.3%9.0%
Xingfa Aluminium Holdings Ltd ($98)7.6%8.8%11.7%11.8%
Timeless Software Ltd ($8028)-29.1%7.3%-4.6%11.6%3.9%
China Hongqiao Group Ltd ($1378)24.8%17.0%14.1%10.6%
 
Median (50 companies)0.9%2.3%-0.1%-1.1%1.9%
Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd ($2899)18.8%9.2%6.5%2.6%7.1%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd ($661)9.2x9.7x9.2x31.5x
Chinalco Mining Corp International ($3668)25.0x
MMG Ltd ($1208)2.1x2.0x10.2x20.2x10.4x
Kaz Minerals ($847)2.4x2.9x5.5x18.7x8.8x
China Precious Metal Resources Holdings Co Ltd ($1194)1.5x4.1x6.4x13.5x
 
Median (29 companies)2.0x1.9x4.6x3.4x4.8x
Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd ($2899)1.0x1.9x3.3x5.4x4.4x