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Shenzhen Expressway Co Ltd CAPEX jumped on 198% in 2016 and Revenue jumped on 35.4%

17/03/2017 • About Shenzhen Expressway Co Ltd ($548) • By InTwits

Shenzhen Expressway Co Ltd reported 2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Shenzhen Expressway Co Ltd has high CAPEX intensity: 5 year average CAPEX/Revenue was 11.8%. At the same time it's a lot of higher than industry average of 8.2%.
  • CAPEX is quite volatile: 382 in 2016, 128 in 2015, 313 in 2014, 611 in 2013, 545 in 2012
  • The company has business model with low profitability: ROIC is at 8.0%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 0.9x while industry average is -1.6x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Shenzhen Expressway Co Ltd ($548) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue3,0223,1633,4893,2984,46635.4%
Gross Profit1,5111,6371,7841,6191,93319.4%
SG&A7480861411517.0%
EBITDA2,2452,5112,6741,7473,07676.1%
Net Income6857202,1871,5531,169-24.7%
Balance Sheet
Cash1,9541,0911,2556,1814,244-31.3%
Short Term Debt2,5401,0711,0461,8361,582-13.8%
Long Term Debt8,2998,3467,1894,8925,52613.0%
Cash flow
Capex545611313128382197.7%
Ratios
Revenue growth6.2%4.7%10.3%-5.5%35.4%
EBITDA growth-1.9%11.8%6.5%-34.7%76.1%
Gross Margin50.0%51.8%51.1%49.1%43.3%-5.8%
EBITDA Margin74.3%79.4%76.6%53.0%68.9%15.9%
Net Income Margin22.7%22.8%62.7%47.1%26.2%-20.9%
SG&A, % of revenue2.4%2.5%2.5%4.3%3.4%-0.9%
CAPEX, % of revenue18.1%19.3%9.0%3.9%8.6%4.7%
ROIC6.3%7.0%7.7%3.7%8.0%4.3%
ROE7.3%7.4%20.1%12.8%9.3%-3.5%
Net Debt/EBITDA4.0x3.3x2.6x0.3x0.9x0.6x

Revenue and profitability


Shenzhen Expressway Co Ltd's Revenue surged on 35.4%. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin jumped on 88.4 pp from -34.6% to 53.8% in FY2016.

Gross Margin decreased on 5.8 pp from 49.1% to 43.3% in 2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue decreased slightly on 0.90 pp from 4.3% to 3.4% in 2016.

Net Income marign dropped on 20.9 pp from 47.1% to 26.2% in 2016.

Capital expenditures (CAPEX) and working capital investments


The company's CAPEX/Revenue was 8.6% in 2016. Shenzhen Expressway Co Ltd showed big decline in CAPEX/Revenue of 10.7 pp from 19.3% in 2013 to 8.6% in 2016. It's average CAPEX/Revenue for the last three years was 7.1%.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (7.98%) and ROE (9.34%). ROIC increased on 4.3 pp from 3.7% to 8.0% in 2016. ROE decreased on 3.5 pp from 12.8% to 9.3% in 2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 0.9x Net Debt / EBITDA and 2.3x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA surged on 0.6x from 0.3x to 0.9x in 2016. Debt increased on 5.6% while cash dropped on 31.3%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Commercial Services


Below we provide Shenzhen Expressway Co Ltd benchmarking against other companies in Commercial Services industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Kai Yuan Holdings Ltd ($1215)99.1%14.9%-88.3%271.8%
China Seven Star Holdings Ltd ($245)6.7%-81.8%-39.3%195.3%
China Smartpay Group Holdings Ltd ($8325)274.7%75.6%124.5%79.5%
Celebrate International Holdings Ltd ($8212)1,437.6%-6.3%117.0%-78.1%
Haier Healthwise Holdings Ltd ($348)-50.1%-7.5%101.1%-9.4%
 
Median (67 companies)2.6%8.6%9.8%4.7%9.5%
Shenzhen Expressway Co Ltd ($548)4.7%10.3%-5.5%35.4%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
HC International Inc ($2280)87.5%91.9%92.5%89.6%
Winto Group Holdings Ltd ($8238)90.2%93.4%92.0%88.4%
Dingyi Group Investment Ltd ($508)75.8%64.5%86.0%89.6%
Fu Shou Yuan International Group Ltd ($1448)80.5%80.4%80.0%77.6%79.1%
Nirvana Asia Ltd ($1438)68.3%69.6%70.5%75.7%
 
Median (61 companies)31.5%30.5%31.0%30.9%30.8%
Shenzhen Expressway Co Ltd ($548)50.0%51.8%51.1%49.1%43.3%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Zuoli Kechuang Micro-Finance Co Ltd ($6866)61.6%84.9%75.9%80.9%
Shenzhen International Holdings Ltd ($152)60.2%65.8%97.1%73.6%
Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd ($1052)78.3%74.5%74.0%71.6%84.1%
CAR Inc ($699)43.6%30.1%43.1%67.4%62.5%
Jiangsu Expressway Co Ltd ($177)57.0%60.7%59.3%61.5%
 
Median (67 companies)17.5%14.9%11.2%9.8%1.5%
Shenzhen Expressway Co Ltd ($548)74.3%79.4%76.6%53.0%68.9%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Blue Sky Power Holdings Ltd ($6828)21.3%9.0%13.9%47.4%
COSCO Pacific Ltd ($1199)96.6%66.6%43.3%45.8%
Shenzhen International Holdings Ltd ($152)23.0%22.1%20.9%35.0%
Celebrate International Holdings Ltd ($8212)211.7%12.0%6.2%34.2%18.6%
China Maple Leaf Educational Systems Ltd ($1317)25.7%50.9%21.1%32.8%18.0%
 
Median (67 companies)2.7%3.4%2.4%2.8%2.3%
Shenzhen Expressway Co Ltd ($548)18.1%19.3%9.0%3.9%8.6%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Bamboos Health Care Holdings Ltd ($8216)71.1%50.1%58.3%40.0%
Wonderful Sky Financial Group Holdings Ltd ($1260)51.5%26.6%30.0%29.5%19.8%
1010 Printing Group Ltd ($1127)13.5%20.8%17.8%19.9%18.8%
China Packaging Holdings Development Ltd ($1439)52.0%46.6%34.1%19.8%
iOne Holdings Ltd ($982)12.5%11.1%9.4%19.2%
 
Median (67 companies)7.5%6.4%5.8%3.3%2.0%
Shenzhen Expressway Co Ltd ($548)6.3%7.0%7.7%3.7%8.0%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Celebrate International Holdings Ltd ($8212)22.2x
Kai Yuan Holdings Ltd ($1215)-143.8x-0.7x18.8x
Eagle Legend Asia Ltd ($936)4.0x4.0x3.3x6.2x
Sichuan Expressway Co Ltd ($107)2.7x3.8x4.3x5.5x
Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd ($1052)4.5x3.1x2.7x5.3x3.5x
 
Median (44 companies)-0.0x-0.7x-0.9x-0.8x-2.3x
Shenzhen Expressway Co Ltd ($548)4.0x3.3x2.6x0.3x0.9x