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Modern Media Holdings revenue decline accelerated to 12.9% in FY2016 vs. 1.3% a year earliner

15/03/2017 • About Modern Media Holdings ($72) • By InTwits

Modern Media Holdings reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • Modern Media Holdings is a company in decline: FY2016 revenue growth was -12.9%, 5 years revenue CAGR was -2.4%
  • It operates with high leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 4.3x while industry average is -0.2x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

Modern Media Holdings ($72) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue655.3631.2603.8595.7518.9-12.9%
Gross Profit376.9352.1335.6302.3-100.0%
SG&A156.9146.8139.6133.5-100.0%
EBITDA122.182.181.660.4-100.0%
Net Income65.333.237.820.93.1-85.3%
Balance Sheet
Cash140.5128.7104.461.5-100.0%
Short Term Debt34.046.868.093.5-100.0%
Long Term Debt11.49.548.326.9-100.0%
Cash flow
Capex25.433.134.215.5-100.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth11.8%-3.7%-4.3%-1.3%-12.9%
EBITDA growth13.4%-32.8%-0.6%-26.0%
Gross Margin57.5%55.8%55.6%50.8%-50.8%
EBITDA Margin18.6%13.0%13.5%10.1%0.0%-10.1%
Net Income Margin10.0%5.3%6.3%3.5%0.6%-2.9%
SG&A, % of revenue23.9%23.3%23.1%22.4%-22.4%
CAPEX, % of revenue3.9%5.2%5.7%2.6%-2.6%
ROIC20.6%10.4%9.3%5.5%-5.5%
ROE16.6%7.7%8.4%4.5%-4.5%
Net Debt/EBITDA-0.8x-0.9x0.1x1.0x-1.0x

Revenue and profitability


The company's Revenue dropped on 12.9%.

Net Income marign decreased on 2.9 pp from 3.5% to 0.59% in FY2016.


Appendix 1: Peers in Media


Below we provide Modern Media Holdings benchmarking against other companies in Media industry for the last 5 years. We show data for the top-5 companies by key financial metric together with the median value for all the companies in the industry.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
CMMB Vision Holdings Ltd ($471)168.1%27.8%850.0%
SCMP Group Ltd ($583)7.8%12.5%-95.9%12.5%
Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Ltd ($423)2.7%3.1%5.3%4.9%
Focus Media Network Ltd ($8112)-10.6%34.6%5.6%-5.2%
Sing Tao News Corp Ltd ($1105)-7.5%-7.9%-2.4%-6.2%
 
Median (18 companies)4.5%-1.8%-3.9%-9.2%-14.6%
Modern Media Holdings ($72)-3.7%-4.3%-1.3%-12.9%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
I-CABLE Communications Ltd ($1097)94.8%94.7%94.1%94.4%94.0%
Focus Media Network Ltd ($8112)68.0%67.2%50.8%57.6%
Television Broadcasts Ltd ($511)62.9%60.9%59.0%54.9%
One Media Group Ltd ($426)57.3%56.7%54.5%52.7%45.6%
Media Chinese International Ltd ($685)39.5%39.5%39.1%38.6%38.2%
 
Median (15 companies)37.5%38.5%36.1%35.7%38.2%
Modern Media Holdings ($72)57.5%55.8%55.6%50.8%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
SCMP Group Ltd ($583)23.5%20.5%218.1%193.5%
Media Chinese International Ltd ($685)20.0%18.3%18.1%16.5%14.3%
One Media Group Ltd ($426)18.7%23.0%22.8%15.2%-5.8%
Phoenix Satellite Television Holdings Ltd ($2008)30.1%31.1%24.6%14.1%
Oriental Press Group ($18)9.5%12.8%14.6%13.9%9.2%
 
Median (18 companies)9.9%11.5%9.8%8.9%8.9%
Modern Media Holdings ($72)18.6%13.0%13.5%10.1%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
SCMP Group Ltd ($583)7.0%5.3%52.2%85.2%
Evergrande Health Industry Group Ltd ($708)14.6%2.4%2.9%13.5%
I-CABLE Communications Ltd ($1097)10.1%7.6%11.3%13.0%
Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Ltd ($423)8.4%8.5%1.3%10.0%1.5%
Tom Group Ltd ($2383)11.9%8.4%9.4%9.5%
 
Median (18 companies)2.7%5.3%2.3%6.5%1.3%
Modern Media Holdings ($72)3.9%5.2%5.7%2.6%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Media Chinese International Ltd ($685)18.6%17.8%18.4%15.6%11.1%
One Media Group Ltd ($426)25.6%21.8%16.0%8.9%-6.5%
Next Media Ltd ($282)8.5%6.7%8.2%6.8%-1.5%
Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Ltd ($423)11.5%-1.5%3.2%5.2%7.0%
Oriental Press Group ($18)2.5%4.0%4.5%4.0%1.4%
 
Median (18 companies)3.7%4.3%2.6%0.3%-1.6%
Modern Media Holdings ($72)20.6%10.4%9.3%5.5%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Tom Group Ltd ($2383)8.1x16.7x25.4x
I-CABLE Communications Ltd ($1097)-4.0x-0.8x0.2x2.0x3.8x
One Media Group Ltd ($426)-2.3x-0.6x-1.1x1.5x
Media Chinese International Ltd ($685)-1.4x0.8x0.6x0.2x-0.5x
Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Ltd ($423)-1.3x-4.6x-0.7x-0.1x-0.7x
 
Median (11 companies)-1.9x-1.5x-1.5x-0.3x-0.6x
Modern Media Holdings ($72)-0.8x-0.9x0.1x1.0x