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China Aoyuan Property Group Ltd EBITDA jumped on 32.5% in 2016 and Revenue jumped on 23.6%

12/03/2017 • About China Aoyuan Property Group Ltd ($3883) • By InTwits

China Aoyuan Property Group Ltd reported FY2016 financial results today. Overall the company's long term financial model is characterised by the following facts:
  • The company has business model with low profitability: ROIC is at 7.0%
  • It operates with medium-size leverage: Net Debt/EBITDA is 3.8x while industry average is 4.2x
Below you can find a comprehensive analysis of the key data driving the company's performance and stock price.

China Aoyuan Property Group Ltd ($3883) key annual financial indicators

mln. CNY201220132014201520162016/2015
P&L
Revenue3,9435,7296,9769,57211,82723.6%
Gross Profit1,1871,7592,0672,6463,27723.8%
SG&A6076707708901,08221.5%
EBITDA6361,1621,3611,8272,42132.5%
Net Income9307368098128818.5%
Balance Sheet
Cash2,3812,8121,9897,76910,47134.8%
Short Term Debt1,6752,4114,4642,5704,50675.3%
Long Term Debt3,2487,1137,03313,72715,0629.7%
Cash flow
Capex419476325885-100.0%
Ratios
Revenue growth30.5%45.3%21.8%37.2%23.6%
EBITDA growth36.8%82.7%17.2%34.2%32.5%
Gross Margin30.1%30.7%29.6%27.6%27.7%0.1%
EBITDA Margin16.1%20.3%19.5%19.1%20.5%1.4%
Net Income Margin23.6%12.8%11.6%8.5%7.4%-1.0%
SG&A, % of revenue15.4%11.7%11.0%9.3%9.1%-0.2%
CAPEX, % of revenue10.6%8.3%4.7%9.2%-9.2%
ROIC4.7%7.0%6.5%6.8%7.0%0.3%
ROE14.2%10.4%10.8%10.2%10.3%0.1%
Net Debt/EBITDA4.0x5.8x7.0x4.7x3.8x-0.9x

Revenue and profitability


China Aoyuan Property Group Ltd's Revenue surged on 23.6%. Having declining revenue the company managed to increase EBITDA margin. EBITDA Margin jumped on 23.0 pp from 62.1% to 85.1% in FY2016.

Gross Margin showed almost no change in FY2016. SG&A as a % of Revenue showed almost no change in FY2016.

Net Income marign decreased slightly on 1.0 pp from 8.5% to 7.4% in FY2016.

Return on investment


The company operates at low ROIC (7.04%) and ROE (10.27%). ROIC showed almost no change in FY2016. ROE showed almost no change in FY2016.

Leverage (Debt)


Debt level is 3.8x Net Debt / EBITDA and 8.1x Debt / EBITDA. Net Debt / EBITDA dropped on 0.9x from 4.7x to 3.8x in FY2016. Debt surged on 20.1% while cash surged on 34.8%.

Appendix 1: Peers in Real Estate


Below you can find China Aoyuan Property Group Ltd benchmarking vs. other companies in Real Estate industry. It's shown for the period of 5 years for the key financial metrics. Each table has median value for all the companies in the industry together with individual financial data of the top-5 companies in the industry by particular financial metric.

Top companies by Revenue growth, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Guangdong Land Holdings Ltd ($124)24,971.2%
GR Properties Ltd ($108)21.6%-82.9%14.6%1,203.6%
Wanda Hotel Development Co Ltd ($169)-51.4%-86.2%1,071.2%-82.8%
Henderson Investment Ltd ($97)-78.9%737.1%
ITC Properties Group Ltd ($199)-95.2%75.7%678.6%206.4%
 
Median (179 companies)15.9%13.1%5.2%4.2%6.9%
China Aoyuan Property Group Ltd ($3883)45.3%21.8%37.2%23.6%


Top companies by Gross margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Renhe Commercial Holdings Co Ltd ($1387)79.0%95.2%97.9%99.9%
Tern Properties Co Ltd ($277)96.7%98.4%98.4%98.7%98.8%
YT Realty Group Ltd ($75)94.4%96.6%96.7%97.6%
Wah Ha Realty Co Ltd ($278)96.3%96.0%93.2%95.9%92.9%
Soundwill Holdings Ltd ($878)53.1%74.5%46.9%95.7%
 
Median (160 companies)42.1%41.9%39.3%38.4%44.5%
China Aoyuan Property Group Ltd ($3883)30.1%30.7%29.6%27.6%27.7%


Top companies by EBITDA margin, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Chinese Estates Holdings Ltd ($127)356.2%91.6%195.5%397.4%56.8%
Zall Development Group Ltd ($2098)105.3%133.1%143.2%213.9%
SOHO China Ltd ($410)113.6%80.8%104.0%201.9%
Beijing Properties Holdings Ltd ($925)-606.3%2,162.6%224.3%186.5%
Swire Properties Ltd ($1972)154.5%114.6%73.2%100.3%
 
Median (179 companies)29.3%28.5%27.8%23.5%28.5%
China Aoyuan Property Group Ltd ($3883)16.1%20.3%19.5%19.1%20.5%


Top companies by CAPEX/Revenue, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
LT Commercial Real Estate Ltd ($112)0.0%18.0%27,965.5%4,834.8%
China Oceanwide Holdings Ltd ($715)0.8%0.3%2.0%880.6%
Madex International Holdings Ltd ($231)174.5%519.7%205.3%350.6%
Pacific Century Premium Developments Ltd ($432)2.9%323.1%351.2%340.6%570.7%
Hon Kwok Land Investment Co Ltd ($160)20.6%157.3%144.5%296.3%28.1%
 
Median (179 companies)5.6%6.1%4.8%3.2%3.3%
China Aoyuan Property Group Ltd ($3883)10.6%8.3%4.7%9.2%


Top companies by ROIC, %

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Hydoo International Holding Ltd ($1396)44.3%62.0%12.9%16.6%
Gemdale Properties & Investment Corp Ltd ($535)15.3%19.6%10.8%15.9%
China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd ($688)15.1%18.5%15.4%13.0%
Colour Life Services Group Co Ltd ($1778)44.2%47.9%29.3%14.5%
Dalian Wanda Commercial Properties Co Ltd ($3699)26.8%19.6%12.3%14.4%
 
Median (181 companies)4.0%4.0%4.1%2.4%2.5%
China Aoyuan Property Group Ltd ($3883)4.7%7.0%6.5%6.8%7.0%


Top companies by Net Debt / EBITDA

Top 5 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016
Shui On Land Ltd ($272)22.1x13.2x17.1x54.2x
Beijing Capital Land Ltd ($2868)7.1x4.6x11.7x49.1x37.0x
Talent Property Group Ltd ($760)43.0x
Mingfa Group International Co Ltd ($846)2.5x3.0x6.3x42.9x
Sunshine 100 China Holdings Ltd ($2608)9.9x12.4x12.9x42.3x
 
Median (136 companies)2.3x2.7x3.0x3.2x3.3x
China Aoyuan Property Group Ltd ($3883)4.0x5.8x7.0x4.7x3.8x